United Kingdom General electionby 15 Aug 2029in 1,017 days Majority for any party 44% Labour largest party 94% Calendar Track record Research
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United Kingdom · Scottish council elections 2027 · Edinburgh

Edinburgh: no party would have a majority, SNP largest

Edinburgh elects all 63 councillors in 17 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 32 make a majority. In 2022: SNP 19, Labour 13, Lib Dem 12, Green 10, Conservative 9.

The council after 6 May, our projection

SNP +1
20 seats · 15–23 in 80% of runs · 2022: 19 Control 0%
+1
13 seats · 10–17 in 80% of runs · 2022: 12 Control 0%
−1
12 seats · 6–13 in 80% of runs · 2022: 13 Control 0%
+9
9 seats · 2–15 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
−5
5 seats · 2–11 in 80% of runs · 2022: 10 Control 0%
−5
4 seats · 2–8 in 80% of runs · 2022: 9 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (32 of 63). No overall control in over 99% of 400 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About Edinburgh

    Edinburgh elects 63 councillors in 17 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 399,239 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 the SNP won 19 seats, Labour 13 and the Liberal Democrats 12. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has the SNP largest on 20 of 63 seats, 12 short of a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 - Almond4 seats 3 Lib Dem SNP Lib Dem 57 · SNP 17 · Reform UK 12 2022: Lib Dem 60 · SNP 21 · Conservative 7; elected 3 Lib Dem, SNP
    2. Ward 10 - Morningside4 seats Labour Lib Dem Green SNP Lib Dem 24 · Green 17 · Labour 17 2022: Labour 23 · Lib Dem 21 · Green 21; elected Labour, Lib Dem, Green, Conservative
    3. Ward 11 - City Centre4 seats Green Lib Dem SNP Reform UK SNP 23 · Lib Dem 17 · Green 16 2022: SNP 24 · Conservative 21 · Green 20; elected Conservative, Green, Labour, SNP
    4. Ward 12 - Leith Walk4 seats Green SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 28 · Green 21 · Labour 14 2022: SNP 31 · Green 26 · Labour 20; elected Green, SNP, Labour, Lib Dem
    5. Ward 13 - Leith3 seats SNP Green Labour SNP 30 · Green 21 · Labour 16 2022: SNP 33 · Green 26 · Labour 21; elected SNP, Green, Labour
    6. Ward 14 - Craigentinny/Duddingston4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 35 · Labour 16 · Reform UK 15 2022: SNP 37 · Labour 21 · Conservative 19; elected Labour, SNP, Conservative, Green
    7. Ward 15 - Southside/Newington4 seats Labour Green SNP Lib Dem Green 19 · Lib Dem 19 · SNP 18 2022: Labour 24 · Green 23 · SNP 19; elected Labour, Green, SNP, Lib Dem
    8. Ward 16 - Liberton/Gilmerton4 seats Labour SNP Conservative Reform UK SNP 29 · Labour 26 · Reform UK 14 2022: Labour 33 · SNP 31 · Conservative 18; elected 2 SNP, Labour, Conservative
    9. Ward 17 - Portobello/Craigmillar4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 36 · Labour 18 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 37 · Labour 24 · Green 16; elected SNP, Labour, Green, Conservative
    10. Ward 2 - Pentland Hills4 seats Conservative SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 30 · Conservative 23 · Reform UK 15 2022: Conservative 34 · SNP 31 · Labour 17; elected 2 SNP, Conservative, Labour
    11. Ward 3 - Drum Brae/Gyle3 seats 2 Lib Dem SNP Lib Dem 51 · SNP 20 · Reform UK 13 2022: Lib Dem 52 · SNP 24 · Conservative 11; elected 2 Lib Dem, SNP
    12. Ward 4 - Forth4 seats Lib Dem Labour SNP Reform UK SNP 28 · Lib Dem 22 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 31 · Lib Dem 20 · Labour 19; elected Lib Dem, Labour, SNP, Green
    13. Ward 5 - Inverleith4 seats 2 Lib Dem SNP Reform UK Lib Dem 36 · SNP 18 · Reform UK 14 2022: Lib Dem 34 · Conservative 20 · SNP 20; elected Lib Dem, SNP, Conservative, Green
    14. Ward 6 - Corstorphine/Murrayfield3 seats 2 Lib Dem SNP Lib Dem 50 · SNP 16 · Reform UK 13 2022: Lib Dem 50 · SNP 19 · Conservative 16; elected 2 Lib Dem, SNP
    15. Ward 7 - Sighthill/Gorgie4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 33 · Labour 16 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 36 · Labour 23 · Green 13; elected 2 SNP, Labour, Green
    16. Ward 8 - Colinton/Fairmilehead3 seats Labour Conservative SNP Labour 26 · Conservative 20 · SNP 17 2022: Labour 33 · Conservative 30 · SNP 17; elected Labour, Conservative, SNP
    17. Ward 9 - Fountainbridge/Craiglockhart3 seats Conservative SNP Labour SNP 22 · Conservative 18 · Labour 17 2022: Conservative 27 · SNP 23 · Labour 22; elected Conservative, SNP, Labour

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

    Every Scottish council

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