United Kingdom General electionby 15 Aug 2029in 1,017 days Majority for any party 44% Labour largest party 94% Calendar Track record Research
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United Kingdom · Scottish council elections 2027 · Renfrewshire

Renfrewshire: no party would have a majority, SNP largest

Renfrewshire elects all 43 councillors in 12 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 22 make a majority. In 2022: SNP 21, Labour 15, Conservative 5, Lib Dem 1, Independent 1.

The council after 6 May, our projection

SNP −1
20 seats · 17–23 in 80% of runs · 2022: 21 Control 24%
−2
13 seats · 10–14 in 80% of runs · 2022: 15 Control 0%
+6
6 seats · 2–10 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
−3
2 seats · 1–4 in 80% of runs · 2022: 5 Control 0%
±0
1 seats · 0–1 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%
Independent ±0
1 seats · 1–2 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (22 of 43). No overall control in 77% of 400 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About Renfrewshire

    Renfrewshire elects 43 councillors in 12 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 141,764 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 the SNP won 21 seats, Labour 15 and the Conservatives 5. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has the SNP largest on 20 of 43 seats, 2 short of a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 - Renfrew North and Braehead4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 46 · Labour 22 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 49 · Labour 30 · Conservative 16; elected 2 SNP, Labour, Conservative
    2. Ward 10 - Houston, Crosslee and Linwood4 seats 2 SNP Labour Conservative SNP 38 · Labour 30 · Conservative 15 2022: SNP 39 · Labour 37 · Conservative 24; elected 2 SNP, Labour, Conservative
    3. Ward 11 - Bishopton, Bridge of Weir and Langbank3 seats SNP Labour Conservative SNP 35 · Conservative 23 · Labour 18 2022: SNP 36 · Conservative 34 · Labour 23; elected SNP, Labour, Conservative
    4. Ward 12 - Erskine and Inchinnan4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 41 · Labour 26 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 44 · Labour 34 · Conservative 18; elected 2 SNP, Labour, Conservative
    5. Ward 2 - Renfrew South and Gallowhill3 seats 2 SNP Labour SNP 50 · Labour 27 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 52 · Labour 36 · Conservative 12; elected 2 SNP, Labour
    6. Ward 3 - Paisley Northeast and Ralston3 seats SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 38 · Labour 26 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 40 · Labour 34 · Conservative 20; elected SNP, Labour, Conservative
    7. Ward 4 - Paisley Northwest4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 41 · Labour 24 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 45 · Labour 32 · Conservative 9; elected 2 SNP, 2 Labour
    8. Ward 5 - Paisley East and Central3 seats 2 SNP Labour SNP 43 · Labour 28 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 45 · Labour 35 · Conservative 11; elected 2 SNP, Labour
    9. Ward 6 - Paisley Southeast3 seats SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 35 · Labour 21 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 38 · Labour 29 · Conservative 12; elected 2 SNP, Labour
    10. Ward 7 - Paisley Southwest4 seats 2 SNP Labour Lib Dem SNP 41 · Labour 19 · Lib Dem 16 2022: SNP 46 · Labour 26 · Lib Dem 14; elected 2 SNP, Labour, Lib Dem
    11. Ward 8 - Johnstone South and Elderslie4 seats 2 SNP 2 Labour SNP 38 · Labour 36 · Reform UK 14 2022: Labour 46 · SNP 40 · Conservative 11; elected 2 SNP, 2 Labour
    12. Ward 9 - Johnstone North, Kilbarchan, Howwood and Lochwinnoch4 seats Independent SNP Labour Reform UK Independent 28 · SNP 27 · Labour 20 2022: SNP 31 · Labour 28 · Independent 24; elected 2 Labour, Independent, SNP

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

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