United Kingdom General electionby 15 Aug 2029in 1,017 days Majority for any party 44% Labour largest party 94% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com United Kingdom
Closest
United Kingdom · Scottish council elections 2027 · East Renfrewshire

East Renfrewshire: no party would have a majority, SNP largest

East Renfrewshire elects all 18 councillors in 5 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 10 make a majority. In 2022: SNP 6, Labour 5, Conservative 5, Independent 2.

The council after 6 May, our projection

SNP −1
5 seats · 5–7 in 80% of runs · 2022: 6 Control 0%
−1
4 seats · 2–5 in 80% of runs · 2022: 5 Control 0%
−2
3 seats · 1–5 in 80% of runs · 2022: 5 Control 0%
+3
3 seats · 1–5 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
Independent +1
3 seats · 1–3 in 80% of runs · 2022: 2 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (10 of 18). No overall control in over 99% of 400 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About East Renfrewshire

    East Renfrewshire elects 18 councillors in 5 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 74,886 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 the SNP won 6 seats, Labour 5 and the Conservatives 5. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has the SNP largest on 5 of 18 seats, 5 short of a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 - Barrhead, Liboside and Uplawmoor4 seats Independent SNP Labour Reform UK Independent 35 · SNP 29 · Labour 14 2022: SNP 33 · Independent 31 · Labour 20; elected 2 SNP, Independent, Labour
    2. Ward 2 - Newton Mearns North and Neilston3 seats SNP Conservative Labour SNP 32 · Conservative 24 · Labour 20 2022: Conservative 34 · SNP 32 · Labour 25; elected SNP, Conservative, Labour
    3. Ward 3 - Giffnock and Thornliebank3 seats SNP Labour Independent SNP 24 · Independent 24 · Labour 16 2022: SNP 26 · Conservative 25 · Labour 22; elected SNP, Conservative, Labour
    4. Ward 4 - Clarkston, Netherlee and Williamwood4 seats SNP Conservative Independent Reform UK SNP 26 · Independent 24 · Conservative 14 2022: SNP 29 · Conservative 24 · Independent 21; elected SNP, Conservative, Labour, Independent
    5. Ward 5 - Newton Mearns South and Eaglesham4 seats 2 Conservative SNP Reform UK Conservative 36 · SNP 25 · Reform UK 15 2022: Conservative 49 · SNP 24 · Labour 19; elected 2 Conservative, SNP, Labour

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

    Every Scottish council

    You may also like

    Local elections, May 2027 215 English councils, ward by ward Seats All 650 constituencies: results, projections and seats at risk Map Every seat on a hex or real map, under any reading of the polls By-elections What the polls imply, and how by-elections differ