United Kingdom General electionby 15 Aug 2029in 1,017 days Majority for any party 44% Labour largest party 94% Calendar Track record Research
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Stirling: no party would have a majority, SNP largest

Stirling elects all 23 councillors in 7 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 12 make a majority. In 2022: SNP 8, Conservative 7, Labour 6, Green 1, Independent 1.

The council after 6 May, our projection

SNP ±0
8 seats · 7–10 in 80% of runs · 2022: 8 Control 4%
−2
5 seats · 4–7 in 80% of runs · 2022: 7 Control 0%
−2
4 seats · 0–5 in 80% of runs · 2022: 6 Control 0%
+4
4 seats · 1–7 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
±0
1 seats · 0–2 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%
Independent ±0
1 seats · 1–2 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (12 of 23). No overall control in 96% of 400 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About Stirling

    Stirling elects 23 councillors in 7 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 71,385 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 the SNP won 8 seats, the Conservatives 7 and Labour 6. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has the SNP largest on 8 of 23 seats, 4 short of a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 - Trossachs and Teith3 seats Conservative SNP Reform UK SNP 33 · Conservative 32 · Reform UK 15 2022: Conservative 45 · SNP 33 · Labour 9; elected 2 Conservative, SNP
    2. Ward 2 - Forth and Endrick3 seats SNP Conservative Reform UK SNP 33 · Conservative 23 · Reform UK 14 2022: Conservative 36 · SNP 35 · Labour 14; elected SNP, Conservative, Labour
    3. Ward 3 - Dunblane and Bridge of Allan4 seats Conservative SNP Green Reform UK SNP 24 · Conservative 19 · Reform UK 14 2022: Conservative 30 · SNP 26 · Green 16; elected Conservative, SNP, Green, Labour
    4. Ward 4 - Stirling North4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 37 · Labour 15 · Reform UK 15 2022: SNP 38 · Conservative 23 · Labour 20; elected 2 SNP, Conservative, Labour
    5. Ward 5 - Stirling West3 seats Conservative SNP Labour SNP 34 · Conservative 25 · Labour 15 2022: Conservative 37 · SNP 36 · Labour 20; elected Conservative, SNP, Labour
    6. Ward 6 - Stirling East3 seats SNP Conservative Labour SNP 36 · Labour 16 · Conservative 14 2022: SNP 39 · Conservative 23 · Labour 22; elected SNP, Conservative, Labour
    7. Ward 7 - Bannockburn3 seats Independent Labour SNP Independent 30 · SNP 25 · Labour 14 2022: SNP 29 · Independent 26 · Labour 21; elected Independent, Labour, SNP

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

    Every Scottish council

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