United Kingdom General electionby 15 Aug 2029in 1,017 days Majority for any party 44% Labour largest party 94% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

West Dunbartonshire: no party would have a majority, SNP largest

West Dunbartonshire elects all 22 councillors in 6 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 12 make a majority. In 2022: Labour 12, SNP 9, Others 1.

The council after 6 May, our projection

SNP ±0
9 seats · 8–12 in 80% of runs · 2022: 9 Control 15%
−4
8 seats · 6–10 in 80% of runs · 2022: 12 Control 1%
+3
3 seats · 0–6 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
Others +1
2 seats · 0–2 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (12 of 22). No overall control in 84% of 400 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About West Dunbartonshire

    West Dunbartonshire elects 22 councillors in 6 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 68,611 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 Labour won 12 seats, the SNP 9 and local and other parties 1. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has the SNP largest on 9 of 22 seats, 3 short of a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 - Lomond3 seats SNP Labour Others SNP 32 · Labour 29 · Others 14 2022: Labour 38 · SNP 35 · Conservative 15; elected 2 Labour, SNP
    2. Ward 2 - Leven4 seats SNP Labour Others Reform UK SNP 33 · Labour 26 · Others 19 2022: SNP 37 · Labour 35 · Others 16; elected 2 Labour, SNP, Others
    3. Ward 3 - Dumbarton4 seats 2 SNP 2 Labour SNP 38 · Labour 35 · Reform UK 14 2022: Labour 46 · SNP 41 · Conservative 9; elected 2 SNP, 2 Labour
    4. Ward 4 - Kilpatrick3 seats 2 Labour SNP Labour 45 · SNP 36 · Reform UK 14 2022: Labour 56 · SNP 38 · Conservative 6; elected 2 Labour, SNP
    5. Ward 5 - Clydebank Central4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 49 · Labour 30 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 52 · Labour 40 · Conservative 8; elected 2 SNP, 2 Labour
    6. Ward 6 - Clydebank Waterfront4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 49 · Labour 28 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 52 · Labour 37 · Conservative 8; elected 2 SNP, 2 Labour

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

    Every Scottish council

    You may also like