United Kingdom General electionby 15 Aug 2029in 1,017 days Majority for any party 44% Labour largest party 94% Calendar Track record Research
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United Kingdom · Scottish council elections 2027 · Orkney Islands

Orkney Islands: independents would keep a majority between them

Orkney Islands elects all 21 councillors in 6 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 11 make a majority. In 2022: Independent 19, Green 2.

The council after 6 May, our projection

Independent −1
18 seats · 13–19 in 80% of runs · 2022: 19 Control over 99%
+2
2 seats · 0–6 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
−1
1 seats · 0–4 in 80% of runs · 2022: 2 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No overall control in 0% of 400 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About Orkney Islands

    Orkney Islands elects 21 councillors in 6 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 17,713 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 independents won 19 seats, the Greens 2. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has independents largest on 18 of 21 seats, a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 - Kirkwall East4 seats 3 Independent Green Independent 70 · Green 18 · Reform UK 11 2022: Independent 72 · Green 28; elected 3 Independent, Green
    2. Ward 2 - Kirkwall West and Orphir4 seats 3 Independent Reform UK Independent 80 · Reform UK 11 · Green 9 2022: Independent 86 · Green 14; elected 3 Independent, Green
    3. Ward 3 - Stromness and South Isles3 seats 3 Independent Independent 80 · Reform UK 11 · Green 9 2022: Independent 86 · Green 14; elected 3 Independent
    4. Ward 4 - West Mainland4 seats 4 Independent Independent 82 · Reform UK 11 · Green 8 2022: Independent 88 · Green 12; elected 4 Independent
    5. Ward 5 - East Mainland, South Ronaldsay and Burray3 seats 2 Independent Reform UK Independent 80 · Reform UK 11 · Green 9 2022: Independent 85 · Green 15; elected 3 Independent
    6. Ward 6 - North Isles3 seats 3 Independent Independent 88 · Reform UK 10 · Green 2 2022: Independent 100; elected 3 Independent

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

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