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United Kingdom · Scottish council elections 2027 · Scottish Borders

Scottish Borders: no party would have a majority, SNP largest

Scottish Borders elects all 34 councillors in 11 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 18 make a majority. In 2022: Conservative 14, SNP 9, Independent 7, Lib Dem 3, Green 1.

The council after 6 May, our projection

SNP ±0
9 seats · 8–10 in 80% of runs · 2022: 9 Control 0%
−6
8 seats · 5–11 in 80% of runs · 2022: 14 Control 0%
Independent +1
8 seats · 5–8 in 80% of runs · 2022: 7 Control 0%
+6
6 seats · 2–10 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
±0
3 seats · 2–6 in 80% of runs · 2022: 3 Control 0%
−1
0 seats · 0–3 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (18 of 34). No overall control in over 99% of 400 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About Scottish Borders

    Scottish Borders elects 34 councillors in 11 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 94,198 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 the Conservatives won 14 seats, the SNP 9 and independents 7. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has the SNP largest on 9 of 34 seats, 9 short of a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 - Tweeddale West3 seats SNP Lib Dem Conservative Lib Dem 25 · SNP 24 · Conservative 18 2022: Conservative 28 · SNP 26 · Lib Dem 23; elected SNP, Lib Dem, Conservative
    2. Ward 10 - Hawick & Denholm3 seats 2 Independent Reform UK Independent 79 · Reform UK 11 · Conservative 4 2022: Independent 82 · Conservative 9 · Green 4; elected 2 Independent, Conservative
    3. Ward 11 - Hawick & Hermitage3 seats Independent SNP Reform UK Independent 56 · SNP 13 · Reform UK 12 2022: Independent 55 · Conservative 18 · SNP 17; elected Independent, Conservative, SNP
    4. Ward 2 - Tweeddale East3 seats SNP Independent Reform UK SNP 27 · Independent 21 · Reform UK 13 2022: SNP 30 · Conservative 23 · Independent 18; elected SNP, Conservative, Independent
    5. Ward 3 - Galashiels & District4 seats SNP Conservative Lib Dem Reform UK SNP 32 · Independent 19 · Conservative 16 2022: SNP 36 · Conservative 26 · Independent 17; elected SNP, Conservative, Lib Dem, Green
    6. Ward 4 - Selkirkshire3 seats Independent Conservative SNP Independent 45 · SNP 19 · Conservative 15 2022: Independent 41 · Conservative 26 · SNP 22; elected Independent, Conservative, SNP
    7. Ward 5 - Leaderdale & Melrose3 seats Independent Conservative SNP Independent 37 · SNP 17 · Conservative 13 2022: Independent 34 · Conservative 24 · SNP 20; elected Independent, Conservative, SNP
    8. Ward 6 - Mid Berwickshire3 seats Conservative SNP Reform UK Conservative 32 · SNP 25 · Reform UK 14 2022: Conservative 46 · SNP 26 · Lib Dem 11; elected 2 Conservative, SNP
    9. Ward 7 - East Berwickshire3 seats Conservative SNP Independent Independent 29 · Conservative 27 · SNP 19 2022: Conservative 41 · Independent 24 · SNP 21; elected Conservative, SNP, Independent
    10. Ward 8 - Kelso & District3 seats Lib Dem Conservative Reform UK Lib Dem 34 · Conservative 32 · Reform UK 15 2022: Conservative 47 · Lib Dem 30 · Green 13; elected 2 Conservative, Lib Dem
    11. Ward 9 - Jedburgh & District3 seats Conservative SNP Independent Conservative 34 · Independent 22 · SNP 22 2022: Conservative 50 · SNP 23 · Independent 18; elected 2 Conservative, SNP

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

    Every Scottish council

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