United Kingdom General electionby 15 Aug 2029in 1,017 days Majority for any party 44% Labour largest party 94% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com United Kingdom
Closest
United Kingdom · Scottish council elections 2027 · Dumfries & Galloway

Dumfries & Galloway: no party would have a majority, Conservative largest

Dumfries & Galloway elects all 43 councillors in 12 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 22 make a majority. In 2022: Conservative 16, SNP 11, Labour 9, Independent 6, Lib Dem 1.

The council after 6 May, our projection

−2
14 seats · 11–15 in 80% of runs · 2022: 16 Control 0%
SNP +1
12 seats · 11–16 in 80% of runs · 2022: 11 Control 0%
+7
7 seats · 2–11 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
−4
5 seats · 2–7 in 80% of runs · 2022: 9 Control 0%
Independent −2
4 seats · 2–5 in 80% of runs · 2022: 6 Control 0%
±0
1 seats · 1–2 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (22 of 43). No overall control in over 99% of 400 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About Dumfries & Galloway

    Dumfries & Galloway elects 43 councillors in 12 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 119,226 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 the Conservatives won 16 seats, the SNP 11 and Labour 9. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has the Conservatives largest on 14 of 43 seats, 8 short of a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 - Stranraer and the Rhins4 seats Conservative SNP Independent Reform UK Independent 29 · Conservative 26 · SNP 21 2022: Conservative 40 · Independent 24 · SNP 23; elected 2 Conservative, SNP, Independent
    2. Ward 10 - Annandale South4 seats Conservative SNP Lib Dem Reform UK Conservative 26 · SNP 21 · Lib Dem 21 2022: Conservative 38 · SNP 22 · Labour 19; elected Conservative, SNP, Labour, Lib Dem
    3. Ward 11 - Annandale North4 seats 2 Conservative SNP Reform UK Conservative 37 · SNP 30 · Reform UK 15 2022: Conservative 50 · SNP 30 · Labour 14; elected 2 Conservative, SNP, Labour
    4. Ward 12 - Annandale East and Eskdale3 seats Conservative Labour Independent Conservative 29 · Independent 19 · Labour 16 2022: Conservative 43 · Labour 21 · Independent 15; elected Conservative, Labour, Independent
    5. Ward 2 - Mid Galloway and Wigtown West4 seats 2 Conservative SNP Reform UK Conservative 37 · SNP 31 · Reform UK 15 2022: Conservative 50 · SNP 30 · Labour 11; elected 2 Conservative, SNP, Labour
    6. Ward 3 - Dee and Glenkens3 seats SNP Conservative Independent Conservative 25 · SNP 24 · Independent 18 2022: Conservative 38 · SNP 25 · Independent 15; elected SNP, Conservative, Independent
    7. Ward 4 - Castle Douglas and Crocketford3 seats Conservative SNP Reform UK Independent 23 · SNP 23 · Conservative 22 2022: Conservative 36 · SNP 25 · Independent 20; elected Conservative, SNP, Independent
    8. Ward 5 - Abbey3 seats SNP Labour Conservative SNP 30 · Conservative 25 · Labour 20 2022: Conservative 37 · SNP 31 · Labour 26; elected SNP, Labour, Conservative
    9. Ward 6 - North West Dumfries4 seats 2 SNP Conservative Labour SNP 39 · Labour 22 · Conservative 19 2022: SNP 40 · Conservative 28 · Labour 27; elected 2 Labour, SNP, Conservative
    10. Ward 7 - Mid and Upper Nithsdale3 seats SNP Independent Conservative Independent 31 · SNP 26 · Conservative 19 2022: Conservative 31 · SNP 29 · Independent 27; elected SNP, Independent, Conservative
    11. Ward 8 - Lochar4 seats SNP Conservative Labour Reform UK SNP 34 · Conservative 28 · Labour 17 2022: Conservative 40 · SNP 34 · Labour 22; elected 2 Conservative, SNP, Labour
    12. Ward 9 - Nith4 seats SNP Conservative Labour Reform UK SNP 32 · Conservative 18 · Labour 18 2022: SNP 33 · Conservative 28 · Labour 24; elected SNP, Conservative, Labour, Independent

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

    Every Scottish council

    You may also like

    Local elections, May 2027 215 English councils, ward by ward Seats All 650 constituencies: results, projections and seats at risk Map Every seat on a hex or real map, under any reading of the polls By-elections What the polls imply, and how by-elections differ