United Kingdom General electionby 15 Aug 2029in 1,017 days Majority for any party 44% Labour largest party 94% Calendar Track record Research
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United Kingdom · Scottish council elections 2027 · Midlothian

Midlothian: no party would have a majority, SNP largest

Midlothian elects all 18 councillors in 6 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 10 make a majority. In 2022: SNP 8, Labour 7, Conservative 3.

The council after 6 May, our projection

SNP ±0
8 seats · 6–10 in 80% of runs · 2022: 8 Control 10%
−1
6 seats · 5–7 in 80% of runs · 2022: 7 Control 0%
+4
4 seats · 0–6 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
−3
0 seats · 0–2 in 80% of runs · 2022: 3 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (10 of 18). No overall control in 90% of 400 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About Midlothian

    Midlothian elects 18 councillors in 6 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 75,636 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 the SNP won 8 seats, Labour 7 and the Conservatives 3. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has the SNP largest on 8 of 18 seats, 2 short of a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 - Penicuik3 seats 2 SNP Labour SNP 41 · Labour 18 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 43 · Labour 24 · Conservative 18; elected 2 SNP, Labour
    2. Ward 2 - Bonnyrigg3 seats Labour SNP Reform UK SNP 35 · Labour 33 · Reform UK 15 2022: Labour 40 · SNP 35 · Conservative 17; elected Labour, SNP, Conservative
    3. Ward 3 - Dalkeith3 seats Labour SNP Reform UK Labour 37 · SNP 34 · Reform UK 15 2022: Labour 46 · SNP 35 · Conservative 11; elected 2 Labour, SNP
    4. Ward 4 - Midlothian West3 seats Labour SNP Reform UK SNP 35 · Labour 20 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 37 · Labour 27 · Conservative 19; elected Labour, Conservative, SNP
    5. Ward 5 - Midlothian East3 seats Labour SNP Reform UK SNP 33 · Labour 23 · Reform UK 15 2022: SNP 34 · Labour 30 · Conservative 22; elected Labour, Conservative, SNP
    6. Ward 6 - Midlothian South3 seats 2 SNP Labour SNP 40 · Labour 29 · Reform UK 15 2022: SNP 41 · Labour 37 · Conservative 13; elected 2 SNP, Labour

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

    Every Scottish council

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