United Kingdom General electionby 15 Aug 2029in 1,017 days Majority for any party 44% Labour largest party 94% Calendar Track record Research
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Highland: no party would have a majority, SNP largest

Highland elects all 74 councillors in 21 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 38 make a majority. In 2022: SNP 22, Independent 21, Lib Dem 15, Conservative 10, Green 4, Labour 2.

The council after 6 May, our projection

SNP ±0
22 seats · 19–26 in 80% of runs · 2022: 22 Control 0%
Independent −1
20 seats · 10–22 in 80% of runs · 2022: 21 Control 0%
+1
16 seats · 12–23 in 80% of runs · 2022: 15 Control 0%
+14
14 seats · 5–21 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
−1
1 seats · 0–2 in 80% of runs · 2022: 2 Control 0%
−9
1 seats · 0–5 in 80% of runs · 2022: 10 Control 0%
−4
0 seats · 0–3 in 80% of runs · 2022: 4 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (38 of 74). No overall control in over 99% of 400 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About Highland

    Highland elects 74 councillors in 21 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 183,619 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 the SNP won 22 seats, independents 21 and the Liberal Democrats 15. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has the SNP largest on 22 of 74 seats, 16 short of a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Aird and Loch Ness4 seats SNP Independent Conservative Reform UK Independent 34 · SNP 22 · Reform UK 13 2022: Independent 31 · SNP 26 · Conservative 21; elected SNP, Independent, Conservative, Green
    2. Badenoch and Strathspey4 seats 2 Independent SNP Reform UK Independent 41 · SNP 19 · Reform UK 12 2022: Independent 38 · SNP 23 · Conservative 16; elected 2 Independent, SNP, Conservative
    3. Black Isle3 seats SNP Lib Dem Independent Independent 29 · SNP 21 · Lib Dem 16 2022: Independent 26 · SNP 25 · Lib Dem 16; elected SNP, Lib Dem, Independent
    4. Caol and Mallaig3 seats 3 Reform UK Reform UK 86 · Green 14 2022: ; elected Lib Dem, Conservative, Green
    5. Cromarty Firth4 seats SNP Lib Dem Independent Reform UK Independent 30 · Lib Dem 26 · SNP 23 2022: Independent 29 · SNP 29 · Lib Dem 28; elected 2 Independent, SNP, Lib Dem
    6. Culloden and Ardersier3 seats SNP Independent Lib Dem SNP 32 · Independent 17 · Lib Dem 16 2022: SNP 38 · Conservative 18 · Independent 16; elected SNP, Independent, Lib Dem
    7. Dingwall and Seaforth4 seats 2 Independent SNP Lib Dem Independent 30 · SNP 27 · Lib Dem 17 2022: SNP 32 · Independent 28 · Lib Dem 17; elected 2 Independent, SNP, Lib Dem
    8. East Sutherland and Edderton3 seats Lib Dem SNP Independent Lib Dem 34 · SNP 21 · Independent 20 2022: Lib Dem 36 · SNP 27 · Independent 19; elected Lib Dem, SNP, Independent
    9. Eilean a' Cheò4 seats 2 Independent SNP Reform UK Independent 55 · SNP 17 · Reform UK 11 2022: Independent 56 · SNP 23 · Conservative 11; elected 2 Independent, SNP, Conservative
    10. Fort William and Ardnamurchan4 seats 2 Lib Dem SNP Reform UK Lib Dem 37 · SNP 28 · Reform UK 13 2022: Lib Dem 37 · SNP 33 · Conservative 10; elected Lib Dem, SNP, Green, Independent
    11. Inverness Central3 seats Labour SNP Reform UK SNP 38 · Labour 17 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 41 · Labour 24 · Conservative 13; elected 2 SNP, Labour
    12. Inverness Millburn3 seats SNP Lib Dem Reform UK SNP 37 · Lib Dem 26 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 41 · Lib Dem 24 · Conservative 22; elected SNP, Lib Dem, Conservative
    13. Inverness Ness-side3 seats 2 Lib Dem SNP Lib Dem 44 · SNP 24 · Reform UK 13 2022: Lib Dem 45 · SNP 29 · Conservative 9; elected Lib Dem, SNP, Labour
    14. Inverness South4 seats 2 SNP Independent Reform UK SNP 30 · Independent 27 · Reform UK 13 2022: SNP 35 · Independent 25 · Conservative 17; elected SNP, Independent, Conservative, Lib Dem
    15. Inverness West3 seats Lib Dem SNP Reform UK Lib Dem 34 · SNP 26 · Reform UK 13 2022: Lib Dem 34 · SNP 31 · Conservative 9; elected Lib Dem, SNP, Green
    16. Nairn and Cawdor4 seats 2 Independent SNP Reform UK Independent 45 · SNP 21 · Reform UK 12 2022: Independent 44 · SNP 27 · Conservative 16; elected 2 Independent, SNP, Conservative
    17. North, West and Central Sutherland3 seats SNP Lib Dem Independent SNP 28 · Lib Dem 27 · Independent 18 2022: SNP 35 · Lib Dem 28 · Independent 17; elected SNP, Lib Dem, Independent
    18. Tain and Easter Ross3 seats SNP Lib Dem Independent Independent 38 · SNP 24 · Lib Dem 20 2022: Independent 37 · SNP 31 · Lib Dem 22; elected SNP, Lib Dem, Independent
    19. Thurso and Northwest Caithness4 seats 2 Independent Lib Dem SNP Independent 37 · Lib Dem 26 · SNP 15 2022: Independent 36 · Lib Dem 27 · SNP 18; elected Lib Dem, Independent, SNP, Conservative
    20. Wester Ross, Strathpeffer and Lochalsh4 seats 2 SNP Independent Lib Dem SNP 33 · Independent 30 · Lib Dem 13 2022: SNP 41 · Independent 29 · Conservative 17; elected 2 SNP, Independent, Conservative
    21. Wick and East Caithness4 seats Lib Dem SNP Independent Reform UK Lib Dem 29 · Independent 25 · SNP 21 2022: Lib Dem 30 · SNP 25 · Independent 23; elected Lib Dem, SNP, Conservative, Independent

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

    Every Scottish council

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