United Kingdom General electionby 15 Aug 2029in 1,017 days Majority for any party 44% Labour largest party 94% Calendar Track record Research
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United Kingdom · Scottish council elections 2027 · East Lothian

East Lothian: no party would have a majority, SNP largest

East Lothian elects all 22 councillors in 6 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 12 make a majority. In 2022: Labour 10, SNP 7, Conservative 4, Green 1.

The council after 6 May, our projection

SNP ±0
7 seats · 6–9 in 80% of runs · 2022: 7 Control 0%
−3
7 seats · 5–9 in 80% of runs · 2022: 10 Control 0%
+5
5 seats · 1–6 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
−1
3 seats · 1–5 in 80% of runs · 2022: 4 Control 0%
−1
0 seats · 0–3 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (12 of 22). No overall control in over 99% of 400 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About East Lothian

    East Lothian elects 22 councillors in 6 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 88,076 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 Labour won 10 seats, the SNP 7 and the Conservatives 4. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has the SNP largest on 7 of 22 seats, 5 short of a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 - Musselburgh4 seats 2 SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 33 · Labour 24 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 34 · Labour 31 · Conservative 15; elected 2 Labour, SNP, Green
    2. Ward 2 - Preston, Seton and Gosford4 seats Labour Conservative SNP Reform UK Labour 32 · SNP 29 · Reform UK 15 2022: Labour 40 · SNP 30 · Conservative 20; elected 2 Labour, Conservative, SNP
    3. Ward 3 - Tranent, Wallyford and Macmerry4 seats 2 Labour SNP Reform UK Labour 36 · SNP 31 · Reform UK 14 2022: Labour 46 · SNP 33 · Conservative 13; elected 2 Labour, 2 SNP
    4. Ward 4 - North Berwick Coastal3 seats Labour Conservative SNP Conservative 27 · SNP 20 · Labour 17 2022: Conservative 39 · Labour 21 · SNP 20; elected Labour, Conservative, SNP
    5. Ward 5 - Haddington and Lammermuir4 seats Conservative Labour SNP Reform UK Labour 29 · SNP 25 · Reform UK 15 2022: Labour 36 · SNP 26 · Conservative 22; elected 2 Labour, Conservative, SNP
    6. Ward 6 - Dunbar and East Linton3 seats SNP Labour Reform UK SNP 26 · Labour 19 · Reform UK 15 2022: SNP 27 · Labour 25 · Conservative 21; elected SNP, Labour, Conservative

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

    Every Scottish council

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