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United Kingdom · Scottish council elections 2027 · Moray

Moray: no party would have a majority, SNP largest

Moray elects all 26 councillors in 8 multi-member wards by single transferable vote on 6 May 2027; 14 make a majority. In 2022: Conservative 11, SNP 8, Labour 3, Independent 2, Green 1, Lib Dem 1.

The council after 6 May, our projection

SNP +2
10 seats · 7–11 in 80% of runs · 2022: 8 Control 0%
−4
7 seats · 5–8 in 80% of runs · 2022: 11 Control 0%
+5
5 seats · 3–9 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
−1
2 seats · 1–3 in 80% of runs · 2022: 3 Control 0%
Independent ±0
2 seats · 1–2 in 80% of runs · 2022: 2 Control 0%
−1
0 seats · 0–1 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%
−1
0 seats · 0–1 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 26). No overall control in over 99% of 400 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About Moray

    Moray elects 26 councillors in 8 multi-member wards by the single transferable vote; about 66,419 people are on its electoral roll.

    In May 2022 the Conservatives won 11 seats, the SNP 8 and Labour 3. Under the single transferable vote majorities are rare, and most councils are run by coalitions or minority administrations.

    On today's Holyrood polls our model has the SNP largest on 10 of 26 seats, 4 short of a majority.

    Ward by ward

    1. Ward 1 - Speyside Glenlivet3 seats SNP Conservative Independent SNP 33 · Independent 24 · Conservative 21 2022: SNP 37 · Conservative 34 · Independent 20; elected SNP, Conservative, Independent
    2. Ward 2 - Keith and Cullen3 seats 2 SNP Conservative SNP 40 · Conservative 29 · Reform UK 14 2022: Conservative 44 · SNP 44 · Lib Dem 10; elected 2 Conservative, SNP
    3. Ward 3 - Buckie3 seats 3 Reform UK Reform UK 86 · Green 14 2022: ; elected Conservative, SNP, Lib Dem
    4. Ward 4 - Fochabers Lhanbryde3 seats 2 SNP Conservative SNP 41 · Conservative 27 · Reform UK 14 2022: SNP 43 · Conservative 40 · Labour 10; elected Conservative, SNP, Labour
    5. Ward 5 - Heldon and Laich4 seats SNP Conservative Independent Reform UK SNP 26 · Conservative 25 · Independent 22 2022: Conservative 40 · SNP 29 · Independent 19; elected 2 Conservative, SNP, Independent
    6. Ward 6 - Elgin City North3 seats SNP Labour Conservative SNP 31 · Labour 22 · Conservative 17 2022: SNP 33 · Labour 28 · Conservative 26; elected SNP, Labour, Conservative
    7. Ward 7 - Elgin City South3 seats SNP Labour Conservative SNP 33 · Labour 21 · Conservative 17 2022: SNP 36 · Labour 28 · Conservative 27; elected SNP, Labour, Conservative
    8. Ward 8 - Forres4 seats 2 SNP Conservative Reform UK SNP 34 · Conservative 28 · Reform UK 15 2022: Conservative 41 · SNP 34 · Labour 11; elected 2 Conservative, SNP, Green

    First preferences: each party's share of the ward's first-preference votes. Results from the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. How it works.

    Every Scottish council

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