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Usual resident population by division

Usual resident population in every division in Australia: highest in Sydney (213,304), lowest in Braddon (109,554); the middle division is at 168,774. Of the fifth of divisions where it is highest, our forecast has Labor winning 16 of 30; where it is lowest, One Nation wins 17 of 30.

Canberra: 145,506 Fenner: 158,161 Banks: 171,365 Barton: 198,749 Bennelong: 193,182 Berowra: 194,092 Blaxland: 204,411 Bradfield: 192,728 Calare: 169,046 Chifley: 175,395 Cook: 156,475 Cowper: 167,162 Cunningham: 178,228 Dobell: 162,376 Eden-Monaro: 164,123 Farrer: 173,147 Fowler: 180,278 Gilmore: 161,031 Grayndler: 171,237 Greenway: 168,614 Hughes: 161,299 Hume: 151,310 Hunter: 167,552 Kingsford Smith: 184,709 Lindsay: 174,163 Lyne: 157,391 Macarthur: 160,645 Mackellar: 176,721 Macquarie: 159,154 Mitchell: 179,937 New England: 177,646 Newcastle: 167,273 Page: 171,514 Parkes: 181,703 Parramatta: 211,300 Reid: 201,276 Richmond: 167,870 Robertson: 152,401 Shortland: 156,974 Sydney: 213,304 Whitlam: 165,357 Warringah: 181,650 Wentworth: 179,355 Werriwa: 166,459 Bowman: 159,240 Brisbane: 183,332 Capricornia: 160,107 Dawson: 161,580 Fadden: 194,991 Fairfax: 168,934 Fisher: 172,768 Forde: 193,146 Griffith: 177,596 Groom: 160,422 Herbert: 164,214 Hinkler: 156,552 Kennedy: 171,218 Leichhardt: 175,810 Lilley: 161,555 Maranoa: 151,929 McPherson: 163,320 Moncrieff: 182,293 Moreton: 168,455 Oxley: 186,684 Petrie: 185,320 Rankin: 186,902 Ryan: 163,742 Wide Bay: 152,103 Adelaide: 197,605 Barker: 171,613 Boothby: 175,586 Grey: 171,682 Hindmarsh: 172,521 Kingston: 166,232 Makin: 173,776 Mayo: 173,652 Sturt: 187,292 Bass: 109,977 Braddon: 109,554 Franklin: 111,567 Lyons: 113,384 Aston: 173,811 Ballarat: 151,790 Bendigo: 157,350 Bruce: 195,183 Calwell: 179,073 Casey: 162,350 Chisholm: 189,865 Corio: 168,205 Deakin: 183,429 Dunkley: 169,297 Flinders: 163,851 Gellibrand: 198,019 Gippsland: 154,241 Goldstein: 170,699 Holt: 174,435 Hotham: 196,229 Indi: 156,640 Isaacs: 178,300 Jagajaga: 165,000 Kooyong: 172,265 Lalor: 179,684 La Trobe: 159,211 Mallee: 167,286 Maribyrnong: 167,244 McEwen: 155,153 Melbourne: 201,792 Menzies: 189,365 Scullin: 169,480 Wannon: 159,914 Wills: 169,854 Brand: 157,292 Canning: 149,790 Cowan: 167,703 Curtin: 164,110 Forrest: 151,756 Fremantle: 157,426 Moore: 161,930 O'Connor: 171,963 Pearce: 158,848 Perth: 168,230 Swan: 182,691 Tangney: 178,604 Paterson: 159,832 Riverina: 175,351 Watson: 193,481 Dickson: 159,602 Longman: 186,580 Blair: 189,759 Hasluck: 154,712 Lingiari: 112,786 Solomon: 118,468 Gorton: 178,278 Bonner: 162,813 Flynn: 158,649 Durack: 190,639 McMahon: 183,823 Wright: 181,766 Burt: 177,240 Bean: 152,573 Clark: 111,695 Cooper: 162,903 Fraser: 189,070 Macnamara: 168,324 Monash: 146,481 Nicholls: 164,952 Spence: 188,193 Hawke: 165,375 Corangamite: 139,802 Bullwinkel: 158,288
  • 109,554 – 158,161 (29)
  • 158,161 – 165,357 (30)
  • 165,357 – 172,521 (30)
  • 172,521 – 183,332 (30)
  • 183,332 – 213,304 (31)
One hexagon per division, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#DivisionUsual resident populationProjected
1 Sydney 213,304Labor
2 Parramatta 211,300Labor
3 Blaxland 204,411Labor
4 Melbourne 201,792Greens
5 Reid 201,276Labor
6 Barton 198,749Labor
7 Gellibrand 198,019Labor
8 Adelaide 197,605Labor
9 Hotham 196,229Labor
10 Bruce 195,183One Nation
11 Fadden 194,991One Nation
12 Berowra 194,092Coalition
13 Watson 193,481Labor
14 Bennelong 193,182Labor
15 Forde 193,146One Nation

Lowest: the bottom 15

#DivisionUsual resident populationProjected
150 Braddon 109,554One Nation
149 Bass 109,977Labor
148 Franklin 111,567Labor
147 Clark 111,695Independent
146 Lingiari 112,786One Nation
145 Lyons 113,384Labor
144 Solomon 118,468One Nation
143 Corangamite 139,802Labor
142 Canberra 145,506Labor
141 Monash 146,481One Nation
140 Canning 149,790One Nation
139 Hume 151,310Coalition
138 Forrest 151,756One Nation
137 Ballarat 151,790One Nation
136 Maranoa 151,929One Nation
Every division (150), highest first
#DivisionRegionUsual resident populationProjected
1 Sydney New South Wales213,304Labor
2 Parramatta New South Wales211,300Labor
3 Blaxland New South Wales204,411Labor
4 Melbourne Victoria201,792Greens
5 Reid New South Wales201,276Labor
6 Barton New South Wales198,749Labor
7 Gellibrand Victoria198,019Labor
8 Adelaide South Australia197,605Labor
9 Hotham Victoria196,229Labor
10 Bruce Victoria195,183One Nation
11 Fadden Queensland194,991One Nation
12 Berowra New South Wales194,092Coalition
13 Watson New South Wales193,481Labor
14 Bennelong New South Wales193,182Labor
15 Forde Queensland193,146One Nation
16 Bradfield New South Wales192,728Independent
17 Durack Western Australia190,639One Nation
18 Chisholm Victoria189,865Labor
19 Blair Queensland189,759One Nation
20 Menzies Victoria189,365Coalition
21 Fraser Victoria189,070Labor
22 Spence South Australia188,193One Nation
23 Sturt South Australia187,292Labor
24 Rankin Queensland186,902Labor
25 Oxley Queensland186,684Labor
26 Longman Queensland186,580One Nation
27 Petrie Queensland185,320One Nation
28 Kingsford Smith New South Wales184,709Labor
29 McMahon New South Wales183,823One Nation
30 Deakin Victoria183,429Coalition
31 Brisbane Queensland183,332Labor
32 Swan Western Australia182,691Labor
33 Moncrieff Queensland182,293Coalition
34 Wright Queensland181,766One Nation
35 Parkes New South Wales181,703One Nation
36 Warringah New South Wales181,650Independent
37 Fowler New South Wales180,278Independent
38 Mitchell New South Wales179,937Coalition
39 Lalor Victoria179,684Labor
40 Wentworth New South Wales179,355Independent
41 Calwell Victoria179,073Labor
42 Tangney Western Australia178,604Labor
43 Isaacs Victoria178,300Labor
44 Gorton Victoria178,278Labor
45 Cunningham New South Wales178,228Labor
46 New England New South Wales177,646One Nation
47 Griffith Queensland177,596Labor
48 Burt Western Australia177,240One Nation
49 Mackellar New South Wales176,721Independent
50 Leichhardt Queensland175,810One Nation
51 Boothby South Australia175,586Labor
52 Chifley New South Wales175,395Labor
53 Riverina New South Wales175,351One Nation
54 Holt Victoria174,435One Nation
55 Lindsay New South Wales174,163One Nation
56 Aston Victoria173,811Coalition
57 Makin South Australia173,776Labor
58 Mayo South Australia173,652Centre Alliance
59 Farrer New South Wales173,147One Nation
60 Fisher Queensland172,768Coalition
61 Hindmarsh South Australia172,521Labor
62 Kooyong Victoria172,265Independent
63 O'Connor Western Australia171,963One Nation
64 Grey South Australia171,682One Nation
65 Barker South Australia171,613Coalition
66 Page New South Wales171,514Coalition
67 Banks New South Wales171,365Coalition
68 Grayndler New South Wales171,237Labor
69 Kennedy Queensland171,218One Nation
70 Goldstein Victoria170,699Independent
71 Wills Victoria169,854Greens
72 Scullin Victoria169,480Labor
73 Dunkley Victoria169,297One Nation
74 Calare New South Wales169,046One Nation
75 Fairfax Queensland168,934One Nation
76 Greenway New South Wales168,614Labor
77 Moreton Queensland168,455Labor
78 Macnamara Victoria168,324Greens
79 Perth Western Australia168,230Labor
80 Corio Victoria168,205One Nation
81 Richmond New South Wales167,870Greens
82 Cowan Western Australia167,703Labor
83 Hunter New South Wales167,552One Nation
84 Mallee Victoria167,286One Nation
85 Newcastle New South Wales167,273Labor
86 Maribyrnong Victoria167,244Labor
87 Cowper New South Wales167,162One Nation
88 Werriwa New South Wales166,459Labor
89 Kingston South Australia166,232Labor
90 Hawke Victoria165,375One Nation
91 Whitlam New South Wales165,357One Nation
92 Jagajaga Victoria165,000Labor
93 Nicholls Victoria164,952One Nation
94 Herbert Queensland164,214Coalition
95 Eden-Monaro New South Wales164,123One Nation
96 Curtin Western Australia164,110Independent
97 Flinders Victoria163,851Coalition
98 Ryan Queensland163,742Greens
99 McPherson Queensland163,320One Nation
100 Cooper Victoria162,903Labor
101 Bonner Queensland162,813Labor
102 Dobell New South Wales162,376One Nation
103 Casey Victoria162,350Coalition
104 Moore Western Australia161,930One Nation
105 Dawson Queensland161,580One Nation
106 Lilley Queensland161,555Labor
107 Hughes New South Wales161,299One Nation
108 Gilmore New South Wales161,031One Nation
109 Macarthur New South Wales160,645Labor
110 Groom Queensland160,422One Nation
111 Capricornia Queensland160,107One Nation
112 Wannon Victoria159,914Coalition
113 Paterson New South Wales159,832One Nation
114 Dickson Queensland159,602One Nation
115 Bowman Queensland159,240One Nation
116 La Trobe Victoria159,211One Nation
117 Macquarie New South Wales159,154One Nation
118 Pearce Western Australia158,848One Nation
119 Flynn Queensland158,649One Nation
120 Bullwinkel Western Australia158,288One Nation
121 Fenner Australian Capital Territory158,161Labor
122 Fremantle Western Australia157,426Labor
123 Lyne New South Wales157,391One Nation
124 Bendigo Victoria157,350One Nation
125 Brand Western Australia157,292One Nation
126 Shortland New South Wales156,974One Nation
127 Indi Victoria156,640Independent
128 Hinkler Queensland156,552One Nation
129 Cook New South Wales156,475Coalition
130 McEwen Victoria155,153One Nation
131 Hasluck Western Australia154,712Labor
132 Gippsland Victoria154,241One Nation
133 Bean Australian Capital Territory152,573Labor
134 Robertson New South Wales152,401One Nation
135 Wide Bay Queensland152,103One Nation
136 Maranoa Queensland151,929One Nation
137 Ballarat Victoria151,790One Nation
138 Forrest Western Australia151,756One Nation
139 Hume New South Wales151,310Coalition
140 Canning Western Australia149,790One Nation
141 Monash Victoria146,481One Nation
142 Canberra Australian Capital Territory145,506Labor
143 Corangamite Victoria139,802Labor
144 Solomon Northern Territory118,468One Nation
145 Lyons Tasmania113,384Labor
146 Lingiari Northern Territory112,786One Nation
147 Clark Tasmania111,695Independent
148 Franklin Tasmania111,567Labor
149 Bass Tasmania109,977Labor
150 Braddon Tasmania109,554One Nation