Australia Next federal electionby 20 May 2028in 558 days Hung parliament 96% Labor majority under 1% Calendar Track record Research
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Census map · Australia

Christian (all denominations) by division

Christian (all denominations) in every division in Australia: highest in Hume (60.0%), lowest in Melbourne (24.5%); the middle division is at 43.2%. Of the fifth of divisions where it is highest, our forecast has One Nation winning 21 of 30; where it is lowest, Labor wins 16 of 30.

Canberra: 32.9% Fenner: 38.3% Banks: 53.1% Barton: 44.3% Bennelong: 44.8% Berowra: 46.8% Blaxland: 31.5% Bradfield: 43.0% Calare: 56.1% Chifley: 48.7% Cook: 58.5% Cowper: 48.2% Cunningham: 49.4% Dobell: 51.6% Eden-Monaro: 48.0% Farrer: 53.4% Fowler: 45.9% Gilmore: 48.4% Grayndler: 38.1% Greenway: 44.6% Hughes: 54.6% Hume: 60.0% Hunter: 50.7% Kingsford Smith: 49.0% Lindsay: 52.6% Lyne: 54.1% Macarthur: 50.8% Mackellar: 49.2% Macquarie: 51.0% Mitchell: 50.5% New England: 55.9% Newcastle: 43.9% Page: 46.8% Parkes: 56.6% Parramatta: 35.8% Reid: 41.5% Richmond: 41.4% Robertson: 49.7% Shortland: 50.4% Sydney: 28.6% Whitlam: 53.8% Warringah: 43.8% Wentworth: 34.6% Werriwa: 48.2% Bowman: 49.6% Brisbane: 40.4% Capricornia: 49.8% Dawson: 49.9% Fadden: 44.1% Fairfax: 43.2% Fisher: 44.1% Forde: 42.5% Griffith: 40.9% Groom: 55.8% Herbert: 47.4% Hinkler: 49.0% Kennedy: 49.1% Leichhardt: 43.6% Lilley: 47.4% Maranoa: 56.1% McPherson: 45.2% Moncrieff: 43.3% Moreton: 38.6% Oxley: 42.7% Petrie: 47.0% Rankin: 41.6% Ryan: 43.2% Wide Bay: 44.1% Adelaide: 37.4% Barker: 41.0% Boothby: 40.5% Grey: 41.0% Hindmarsh: 47.3% Kingston: 36.0% Makin: 40.0% Mayo: 36.9% Sturt: 45.2% Bass: 38.8% Braddon: 39.1% Franklin: 38.8% Lyons: 41.8% Aston: 42.5% Ballarat: 41.2% Bendigo: 40.5% Bruce: 42.1% Calwell: 41.1% Casey: 37.8% Chisholm: 39.4% Corio: 44.3% Deakin: 42.7% Dunkley: 39.1% Flinders: 42.1% Gellibrand: 37.2% Gippsland: 40.7% Goldstein: 40.3% Holt: 36.5% Hotham: 39.1% Indi: 44.3% Isaacs: 39.3% Jagajaga: 44.2% Kooyong: 40.7% Lalor: 38.2% La Trobe: 38.1% Mallee: 45.7% Maribyrnong: 51.9% McEwen: 43.2% Melbourne: 24.5% Menzies: 42.5% Scullin: 48.0% Wannon: 45.0% Wills: 34.6% Brand: 39.0% Canning: 42.1% Cowan: 45.3% Curtin: 42.2% Forrest: 40.0% Fremantle: 43.0% Moore: 47.5% O'Connor: 38.3% Pearce: 42.1% Perth: 38.2% Swan: 37.4% Tangney: 44.2% Paterson: 52.6% Riverina: 58.9% Watson: 35.3% Dickson: 48.8% Longman: 43.8% Blair: 45.2% Hasluck: 42.6% Lingiari: 43.3% Solomon: 37.7% Gorton: 52.7% Bonner: 48.6% Flynn: 47.3% Durack: 38.0% McMahon: 56.1% Wright: 45.9% Burt: 38.6% Bean: 43.1% Clark: 33.7% Cooper: 37.5% Fraser: 37.1% Macnamara: 28.7% Monash: 40.4% Nicholls: 47.0% Spence: 35.3% Hawke: 46.1% Corangamite: 42.7% Bullwinkel: 41.8%
  • 24.5% – 38.6% (29)
  • 38.6% – 42.1% (30)
  • 42.1% – 44.6% (30)
  • 44.6% – 49.1% (30)
  • 49.1% – 60.0% (31)
One hexagon per division, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#DivisionChristian (all denominations)Projected
1 Hume 60.0%Coalition
2 Riverina 58.9%One Nation
3 Cook 58.5%Coalition
4 Parkes 56.6%One Nation
5 Maranoa 56.1%One Nation
6 Calare 56.1%One Nation
7 McMahon 56.1%One Nation
8 New England 55.9%One Nation
9 Groom 55.8%One Nation
10 Hughes 54.6%One Nation
11 Lyne 54.1%One Nation
12 Whitlam 53.8%One Nation
13 Farrer 53.4%One Nation
14 Banks 53.1%Coalition
15 Gorton 52.7%Labor

Lowest: the bottom 15

#DivisionChristian (all denominations)Projected
150 Melbourne 24.5%Greens
149 Sydney 28.6%Labor
148 Macnamara 28.7%Greens
147 Blaxland 31.5%Labor
146 Canberra 32.9%Labor
145 Clark 33.7%Independent
144 Wentworth 34.6%Independent
143 Wills 34.6%Greens
142 Spence 35.3%One Nation
141 Watson 35.3%Labor
140 Parramatta 35.8%Labor
139 Kingston 36.0%Labor
138 Holt 36.5%One Nation
137 Mayo 36.9%Centre Alliance
136 Fraser 37.1%Labor
Every division (150), highest first
#DivisionRegionChristian (all denominations)Projected
1 Hume New South Wales60.0%Coalition
2 Riverina New South Wales58.9%One Nation
3 Cook New South Wales58.5%Coalition
4 Parkes New South Wales56.6%One Nation
5 Maranoa Queensland56.1%One Nation
6 Calare New South Wales56.1%One Nation
7 McMahon New South Wales56.1%One Nation
8 New England New South Wales55.9%One Nation
9 Groom Queensland55.8%One Nation
10 Hughes New South Wales54.6%One Nation
11 Lyne New South Wales54.1%One Nation
12 Whitlam New South Wales53.8%One Nation
13 Farrer New South Wales53.4%One Nation
14 Banks New South Wales53.1%Coalition
15 Gorton Victoria52.7%Labor
16 Lindsay New South Wales52.6%One Nation
17 Paterson New South Wales52.6%One Nation
18 Maribyrnong Victoria51.9%Labor
19 Dobell New South Wales51.6%One Nation
20 Macquarie New South Wales51.0%One Nation
21 Macarthur New South Wales50.8%Labor
22 Hunter New South Wales50.7%One Nation
23 Mitchell New South Wales50.5%Coalition
24 Shortland New South Wales50.4%One Nation
25 Dawson Queensland49.9%One Nation
26 Capricornia Queensland49.8%One Nation
27 Robertson New South Wales49.7%One Nation
28 Bowman Queensland49.6%One Nation
29 Cunningham New South Wales49.4%Labor
30 Mackellar New South Wales49.2%Independent
31 Kennedy Queensland49.1%One Nation
32 Hinkler Queensland49.0%One Nation
33 Kingsford Smith New South Wales49.0%Labor
34 Dickson Queensland48.8%One Nation
35 Chifley New South Wales48.7%Labor
36 Bonner Queensland48.6%Labor
37 Gilmore New South Wales48.4%One Nation
38 Werriwa New South Wales48.2%Labor
39 Cowper New South Wales48.2%One Nation
40 Scullin Victoria48.0%Labor
41 Eden-Monaro New South Wales48.0%One Nation
42 Moore Western Australia47.5%One Nation
43 Lilley Queensland47.4%Labor
44 Herbert Queensland47.4%Coalition
45 Hindmarsh South Australia47.3%Labor
46 Flynn Queensland47.3%One Nation
47 Petrie Queensland47.0%One Nation
48 Nicholls Victoria47.0%One Nation
49 Page New South Wales46.8%Coalition
50 Berowra New South Wales46.8%Coalition
51 Hawke Victoria46.1%One Nation
52 Wright Queensland45.9%One Nation
53 Fowler New South Wales45.9%Independent
54 Mallee Victoria45.7%One Nation
55 Cowan Western Australia45.3%Labor
56 Sturt South Australia45.2%Labor
57 McPherson Queensland45.2%One Nation
58 Blair Queensland45.2%One Nation
59 Wannon Victoria45.0%Coalition
60 Bennelong New South Wales44.8%Labor
61 Greenway New South Wales44.6%Labor
62 Barton New South Wales44.3%Labor
63 Indi Victoria44.3%Independent
64 Corio Victoria44.3%One Nation
65 Tangney Western Australia44.2%Labor
66 Jagajaga Victoria44.2%Labor
67 Wide Bay Queensland44.1%One Nation
68 Fadden Queensland44.1%One Nation
69 Fisher Queensland44.1%Coalition
70 Newcastle New South Wales43.9%Labor
71 Warringah New South Wales43.8%Independent
72 Longman Queensland43.8%One Nation
73 Leichhardt Queensland43.6%One Nation
74 Lingiari Northern Territory43.3%One Nation
75 Moncrieff Queensland43.3%Coalition
76 Fairfax Queensland43.2%One Nation
77 McEwen Victoria43.2%One Nation
78 Ryan Queensland43.2%Greens
79 Bean Australian Capital Territory43.1%Labor
80 Bradfield New South Wales43.0%Independent
81 Fremantle Western Australia43.0%Labor
82 Corangamite Victoria42.7%Labor
83 Deakin Victoria42.7%Coalition
84 Oxley Queensland42.7%Labor
85 Hasluck Western Australia42.6%Labor
86 Menzies Victoria42.5%Coalition
87 Aston Victoria42.5%Coalition
88 Forde Queensland42.5%One Nation
89 Curtin Western Australia42.2%Independent
90 Bruce Victoria42.1%One Nation
91 Flinders Victoria42.1%Coalition
92 Canning Western Australia42.1%One Nation
93 Pearce Western Australia42.1%One Nation
94 Lyons Tasmania41.8%Labor
95 Bullwinkel Western Australia41.8%One Nation
96 Rankin Queensland41.6%Labor
97 Reid New South Wales41.5%Labor
98 Richmond New South Wales41.4%Greens
99 Ballarat Victoria41.2%One Nation
100 Calwell Victoria41.1%Labor
101 Barker South Australia41.0%Coalition
102 Grey South Australia41.0%One Nation
103 Griffith Queensland40.9%Labor
104 Kooyong Victoria40.7%Independent
105 Gippsland Victoria40.7%One Nation
106 Boothby South Australia40.5%Labor
107 Bendigo Victoria40.5%One Nation
108 Brisbane Queensland40.4%Labor
109 Monash Victoria40.4%One Nation
110 Goldstein Victoria40.3%Independent
111 Forrest Western Australia40.0%One Nation
112 Makin South Australia40.0%Labor
113 Chisholm Victoria39.4%Labor
114 Isaacs Victoria39.3%Labor
115 Dunkley Victoria39.1%One Nation
116 Hotham Victoria39.1%Labor
117 Braddon Tasmania39.1%One Nation
118 Brand Western Australia39.0%One Nation
119 Bass Tasmania38.8%Labor
120 Franklin Tasmania38.8%Labor
121 Moreton Queensland38.6%Labor
122 Burt Western Australia38.6%One Nation
123 Fenner Australian Capital Territory38.3%Labor
124 O'Connor Western Australia38.3%One Nation
125 Perth Western Australia38.2%Labor
126 Lalor Victoria38.2%Labor
127 La Trobe Victoria38.1%One Nation
128 Grayndler New South Wales38.1%Labor
129 Durack Western Australia38.0%One Nation
130 Casey Victoria37.8%Coalition
131 Solomon Northern Territory37.7%One Nation
132 Cooper Victoria37.5%Labor
133 Swan Western Australia37.4%Labor
134 Adelaide South Australia37.4%Labor
135 Gellibrand Victoria37.2%Labor
136 Fraser Victoria37.1%Labor
137 Mayo South Australia36.9%Centre Alliance
138 Holt Victoria36.5%One Nation
139 Kingston South Australia36.0%Labor
140 Parramatta New South Wales35.8%Labor
141 Watson New South Wales35.3%Labor
142 Spence South Australia35.3%One Nation
143 Wills Victoria34.6%Greens
144 Wentworth New South Wales34.6%Independent
145 Clark Tasmania33.7%Independent
146 Canberra Australian Capital Territory32.9%Labor
147 Blaxland New South Wales31.5%Labor
148 Macnamara Victoria28.7%Greens
149 Sydney New South Wales28.6%Labor
150 Melbourne Victoria24.5%Greens