Australia Next federal electionby 20 May 2028in 558 days Hung parliament 96% Labor majority under 1% Calendar Track record Research
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Professionals by division

Professionals in every division in Australia: highest in Wentworth (43.2%), lowest in Spence (11.3%); the middle division is at 20.4%. Of the fifth of divisions where it is highest, our forecast has Labor winning 17 of 30; where it is lowest, One Nation wins 27 of 30.

Canberra: 37.6% Fenner: 28.2% Banks: 26.6% Barton: 27.1% Bennelong: 38.7% Berowra: 35.9% Blaxland: 20.1% Bradfield: 41.7% Calare: 17.8% Chifley: 19.7% Cook: 26.2% Cowper: 20.0% Cunningham: 27.0% Dobell: 18.0% Eden-Monaro: 18.6% Farrer: 15.2% Fowler: 18.2% Gilmore: 19.5% Grayndler: 39.5% Greenway: 28.8% Hughes: 24.7% Hume: 17.7% Hunter: 14.9% Kingsford Smith: 31.9% Lindsay: 17.1% Lyne: 16.9% Macarthur: 18.8% Mackellar: 28.0% Macquarie: 23.2% Mitchell: 33.9% New England: 16.4% Newcastle: 29.7% Page: 17.8% Parkes: 15.5% Parramatta: 34.6% Reid: 34.0% Richmond: 21.9% Robertson: 24.3% Shortland: 21.3% Sydney: 41.4% Whitlam: 18.1% Warringah: 40.0% Wentworth: 43.2% Werriwa: 19.9% Bowman: 18.4% Brisbane: 37.1% Capricornia: 15.2% Dawson: 15.7% Fadden: 18.3% Fairfax: 21.5% Fisher: 20.7% Forde: 14.8% Griffith: 36.2% Groom: 20.3% Herbert: 19.3% Hinkler: 16.9% Kennedy: 13.8% Leichhardt: 20.9% Lilley: 27.8% Maranoa: 12.3% McPherson: 23.5% Moncrieff: 20.9% Moreton: 31.5% Oxley: 21.4% Petrie: 20.1% Rankin: 17.3% Ryan: 38.3% Wide Bay: 15.9% Adelaide: 30.3% Barker: 12.4% Boothby: 30.1% Grey: 13.4% Hindmarsh: 22.2% Kingston: 17.8% Makin: 18.2% Mayo: 21.7% Sturt: 31.8% Bass: 19.7% Braddon: 14.6% Franklin: 23.9% Lyons: 12.9% Aston: 23.6% Ballarat: 21.6% Bendigo: 21.8% Bruce: 18.4% Calwell: 16.5% Casey: 19.7% Chisholm: 35.3% Corio: 22.4% Deakin: 29.2% Dunkley: 19.7% Flinders: 20.0% Gellibrand: 26.9% Gippsland: 16.6% Goldstein: 34.2% Holt: 14.5% Hotham: 28.3% Indi: 17.2% Isaacs: 22.6% Jagajaga: 32.0% Kooyong: 40.7% Lalor: 19.0% La Trobe: 18.3% Mallee: 14.5% Maribyrnong: 30.6% McEwen: 20.5% Melbourne: 41.8% Menzies: 32.6% Scullin: 18.1% Wannon: 16.2% Wills: 37.2% Brand: 14.1% Canning: 13.9% Cowan: 18.5% Curtin: 39.8% Forrest: 16.2% Fremantle: 26.1% Moore: 26.9% O'Connor: 13.4% Pearce: 16.7% Perth: 33.6% Swan: 27.0% Tangney: 31.4% Paterson: 15.6% Riverina: 17.1% Watson: 21.1% Dickson: 22.5% Longman: 13.3% Blair: 15.7% Hasluck: 17.2% Lingiari: 20.4% Solomon: 23.0% Gorton: 18.6% Bonner: 28.1% Flynn: 12.4% Durack: 14.5% McMahon: 19.1% Wright: 14.8% Burt: 15.7% Bean: 28.5% Clark: 27.8% Cooper: 35.2% Fraser: 25.2% Macnamara: 38.6% Monash: 16.7% Nicholls: 15.3% Spence: 11.3% Hawke: 15.6% Corangamite: 23.9% Bullwinkel: 18.3%
  • 11.3% – 16.2% (29)
  • 16.2% – 18.8% (30)
  • 18.8% – 22.5% (30)
  • 22.5% – 30.3% (30)
  • 30.3% – 43.2% (31)
One hexagon per division, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#DivisionProfessionalsProjected
1 Wentworth 43.2%Independent
2 Melbourne 41.8%Greens
3 Bradfield 41.7%Independent
4 Sydney 41.4%Labor
5 Kooyong 40.7%Independent
6 Warringah 40.0%Independent
7 Curtin 39.8%Independent
8 Grayndler 39.5%Labor
9 Bennelong 38.7%Labor
10 Macnamara 38.6%Greens
11 Ryan 38.3%Greens
12 Canberra 37.6%Labor
13 Wills 37.2%Greens
14 Brisbane 37.1%Labor
15 Griffith 36.2%Labor

Lowest: the bottom 15

#DivisionProfessionalsProjected
150 Spence 11.3%One Nation
149 Maranoa 12.3%One Nation
148 Barker 12.4%Coalition
147 Flynn 12.4%One Nation
146 Lyons 12.9%Labor
145 Longman 13.3%One Nation
144 Grey 13.4%One Nation
143 O'Connor 13.4%One Nation
142 Kennedy 13.8%One Nation
141 Canning 13.9%One Nation
140 Brand 14.1%One Nation
139 Durack 14.5%One Nation
138 Mallee 14.5%One Nation
137 Holt 14.5%One Nation
136 Braddon 14.6%One Nation
Every division (150), highest first
#DivisionRegionProfessionalsProjected
1 Wentworth New South Wales43.2%Independent
2 Melbourne Victoria41.8%Greens
3 Bradfield New South Wales41.7%Independent
4 Sydney New South Wales41.4%Labor
5 Kooyong Victoria40.7%Independent
6 Warringah New South Wales40.0%Independent
7 Curtin Western Australia39.8%Independent
8 Grayndler New South Wales39.5%Labor
9 Bennelong New South Wales38.7%Labor
10 Macnamara Victoria38.6%Greens
11 Ryan Queensland38.3%Greens
12 Canberra Australian Capital Territory37.6%Labor
13 Wills Victoria37.2%Greens
14 Brisbane Queensland37.1%Labor
15 Griffith Queensland36.2%Labor
16 Berowra New South Wales35.9%Coalition
17 Chisholm Victoria35.3%Labor
18 Cooper Victoria35.2%Labor
19 Parramatta New South Wales34.6%Labor
20 Goldstein Victoria34.2%Independent
21 Reid New South Wales34.0%Labor
22 Mitchell New South Wales33.9%Coalition
23 Perth Western Australia33.6%Labor
24 Menzies Victoria32.6%Coalition
25 Jagajaga Victoria32.0%Labor
26 Kingsford Smith New South Wales31.9%Labor
27 Sturt South Australia31.8%Labor
28 Moreton Queensland31.5%Labor
29 Tangney Western Australia31.4%Labor
30 Maribyrnong Victoria30.6%Labor
31 Adelaide South Australia30.3%Labor
32 Boothby South Australia30.1%Labor
33 Newcastle New South Wales29.7%Labor
34 Deakin Victoria29.2%Coalition
35 Greenway New South Wales28.8%Labor
36 Bean Australian Capital Territory28.5%Labor
37 Hotham Victoria28.3%Labor
38 Fenner Australian Capital Territory28.2%Labor
39 Bonner Queensland28.1%Labor
40 Mackellar New South Wales28.0%Independent
41 Clark Tasmania27.8%Independent
42 Lilley Queensland27.8%Labor
43 Barton New South Wales27.1%Labor
44 Cunningham New South Wales27.0%Labor
45 Swan Western Australia27.0%Labor
46 Moore Western Australia26.9%One Nation
47 Gellibrand Victoria26.9%Labor
48 Banks New South Wales26.6%Coalition
49 Cook New South Wales26.2%Coalition
50 Fremantle Western Australia26.1%Labor
51 Fraser Victoria25.2%Labor
52 Hughes New South Wales24.7%One Nation
53 Robertson New South Wales24.3%One Nation
54 Corangamite Victoria23.9%Labor
55 Franklin Tasmania23.9%Labor
56 Aston Victoria23.6%Coalition
57 McPherson Queensland23.5%One Nation
58 Macquarie New South Wales23.2%One Nation
59 Solomon Northern Territory23.0%One Nation
60 Isaacs Victoria22.6%Labor
61 Dickson Queensland22.5%One Nation
62 Corio Victoria22.4%One Nation
63 Hindmarsh South Australia22.2%Labor
64 Richmond New South Wales21.9%Greens
65 Bendigo Victoria21.8%One Nation
66 Mayo South Australia21.7%Centre Alliance
67 Ballarat Victoria21.6%One Nation
68 Fairfax Queensland21.5%One Nation
69 Oxley Queensland21.4%Labor
70 Shortland New South Wales21.3%One Nation
71 Watson New South Wales21.1%Labor
72 Leichhardt Queensland20.9%One Nation
73 Moncrieff Queensland20.9%Coalition
74 Fisher Queensland20.7%Coalition
75 McEwen Victoria20.5%One Nation
76 Lingiari Northern Territory20.4%One Nation
77 Groom Queensland20.3%One Nation
78 Petrie Queensland20.1%One Nation
79 Blaxland New South Wales20.1%Labor
80 Flinders Victoria20.0%Coalition
81 Cowper New South Wales20.0%One Nation
82 Werriwa New South Wales19.9%Labor
83 Chifley New South Wales19.7%Labor
84 Casey Victoria19.7%Coalition
85 Dunkley Victoria19.7%One Nation
86 Bass Tasmania19.7%Labor
87 Gilmore New South Wales19.5%One Nation
88 Herbert Queensland19.3%Coalition
89 McMahon New South Wales19.1%One Nation
90 Lalor Victoria19.0%Labor
91 Macarthur New South Wales18.8%Labor
92 Gorton Victoria18.6%Labor
93 Eden-Monaro New South Wales18.6%One Nation
94 Cowan Western Australia18.5%Labor
95 Bowman Queensland18.4%One Nation
96 Bruce Victoria18.4%One Nation
97 La Trobe Victoria18.3%One Nation
98 Fadden Queensland18.3%One Nation
99 Bullwinkel Western Australia18.3%One Nation
100 Fowler New South Wales18.2%Independent
101 Makin South Australia18.2%Labor
102 Scullin Victoria18.1%Labor
103 Whitlam New South Wales18.1%One Nation
104 Dobell New South Wales18.0%One Nation
105 Calare New South Wales17.8%One Nation
106 Page New South Wales17.8%Coalition
107 Kingston South Australia17.8%Labor
108 Hume New South Wales17.7%Coalition
109 Rankin Queensland17.3%Labor
110 Hasluck Western Australia17.2%Labor
111 Indi Victoria17.2%Independent
112 Riverina New South Wales17.1%One Nation
113 Lindsay New South Wales17.1%One Nation
114 Lyne New South Wales16.9%One Nation
115 Hinkler Queensland16.9%One Nation
116 Monash Victoria16.7%One Nation
117 Pearce Western Australia16.7%One Nation
118 Gippsland Victoria16.6%One Nation
119 Calwell Victoria16.5%Labor
120 New England New South Wales16.4%One Nation
121 Wannon Victoria16.2%Coalition
122 Forrest Western Australia16.2%One Nation
123 Wide Bay Queensland15.9%One Nation
124 Dawson Queensland15.7%One Nation
125 Blair Queensland15.7%One Nation
126 Burt Western Australia15.7%One Nation
127 Paterson New South Wales15.6%One Nation
128 Hawke Victoria15.6%One Nation
129 Parkes New South Wales15.5%One Nation
130 Nicholls Victoria15.3%One Nation
131 Farrer New South Wales15.2%One Nation
132 Capricornia Queensland15.2%One Nation
133 Hunter New South Wales14.9%One Nation
134 Wright Queensland14.8%One Nation
135 Forde Queensland14.8%One Nation
136 Braddon Tasmania14.6%One Nation
137 Holt Victoria14.5%One Nation
138 Mallee Victoria14.5%One Nation
139 Durack Western Australia14.5%One Nation
140 Brand Western Australia14.1%One Nation
141 Canning Western Australia13.9%One Nation
142 Kennedy Queensland13.8%One Nation
143 O'Connor Western Australia13.4%One Nation
144 Grey South Australia13.4%One Nation
145 Longman Queensland13.3%One Nation
146 Lyons Tasmania12.9%Labor
147 Flynn Queensland12.4%One Nation
148 Barker South Australia12.4%Coalition
149 Maranoa Queensland12.3%One Nation
150 Spence South Australia11.3%One Nation