Australia Next federal electionby 20 May 2028in 558 days Hung parliament 96% Labor majority under 1% Calendar Track record Research
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Technicians and trades workers by division

Technicians and trades workers in every division in Australia: highest in Canning (19.5%), lowest in Bradfield (5.2%); the middle division is at 13.7%. Of the fifth of divisions where it is highest, our forecast has One Nation winning 25 of 30; where it is lowest, Labor wins 17 of 30.

Canberra: 6.3% Fenner: 11.3% Banks: 11.0% Barton: 10.8% Bennelong: 7.9% Berowra: 9.4% Blaxland: 12.5% Bradfield: 5.2% Calare: 15.1% Chifley: 10.6% Cook: 12.4% Cowper: 13.3% Cunningham: 13.4% Dobell: 15.1% Eden-Monaro: 14.2% Farrer: 13.9% Fowler: 11.7% Gilmore: 16.3% Grayndler: 8.3% Greenway: 10.3% Hughes: 12.9% Hume: 15.8% Hunter: 17.6% Kingsford Smith: 10.4% Lindsay: 13.6% Lyne: 15.3% Macarthur: 12.8% Mackellar: 12.1% Macquarie: 15.2% Mitchell: 8.8% New England: 13.7% Newcastle: 11.9% Page: 13.3% Parkes: 13.1% Parramatta: 8.9% Reid: 8.6% Richmond: 14.8% Robertson: 13.5% Shortland: 15.6% Sydney: 7.1% Whitlam: 16.5% Warringah: 6.5% Wentworth: 5.6% Werriwa: 12.0% Bowman: 15.6% Brisbane: 7.9% Capricornia: 17.9% Dawson: 17.6% Fadden: 14.5% Fairfax: 15.0% Fisher: 15.4% Forde: 16.0% Griffith: 8.6% Groom: 14.5% Herbert: 14.5% Hinkler: 13.9% Kennedy: 15.9% Leichhardt: 14.4% Lilley: 11.7% Maranoa: 13.2% McPherson: 13.9% Moncrieff: 13.3% Moreton: 10.6% Oxley: 12.2% Petrie: 13.4% Rankin: 13.5% Ryan: 7.8% Wide Bay: 14.9% Adelaide: 10.5% Barker: 13.8% Boothby: 10.9% Grey: 14.7% Hindmarsh: 13.2% Kingston: 16.3% Makin: 15.0% Mayo: 14.4% Sturt: 9.9% Bass: 13.6% Braddon: 15.1% Franklin: 14.1% Lyons: 15.8% Aston: 14.5% Ballarat: 14.5% Bendigo: 13.9% Bruce: 15.9% Calwell: 14.9% Casey: 18.4% Chisholm: 8.0% Corio: 14.2% Deakin: 12.0% Dunkley: 16.3% Flinders: 17.0% Gellibrand: 10.7% Gippsland: 15.4% Goldstein: 7.5% Holt: 16.4% Hotham: 11.1% Indi: 15.2% Isaacs: 12.8% Jagajaga: 11.6% Kooyong: 5.4% Lalor: 12.8% La Trobe: 16.1% Mallee: 12.9% Maribyrnong: 10.2% McEwen: 16.3% Melbourne: 7.2% Menzies: 9.7% Scullin: 14.4% Wannon: 13.4% Wills: 9.8% Brand: 19.1% Canning: 19.5% Cowan: 15.6% Curtin: 7.5% Forrest: 18.1% Fremantle: 15.2% Moore: 14.1% O'Connor: 16.4% Pearce: 17.9% Perth: 10.8% Swan: 12.9% Tangney: 11.4% Paterson: 16.7% Riverina: 14.1% Watson: 11.8% Dickson: 14.1% Longman: 16.0% Blair: 14.7% Hasluck: 16.3% Lingiari: 14.1% Solomon: 13.6% Gorton: 13.2% Bonner: 11.2% Flynn: 17.4% Durack: 18.4% McMahon: 12.2% Wright: 16.7% Burt: 17.2% Bean: 11.2% Clark: 11.4% Cooper: 10.1% Fraser: 11.1% Macnamara: 7.3% Monash: 16.1% Nicholls: 14.5% Spence: 14.6% Hawke: 15.8% Corangamite: 14.7% Bullwinkel: 17.4%
  • 5.2% – 10.6% (29)
  • 10.6% – 12.9% (29)
  • 12.9% – 14.4% (31)
  • 14.4% – 15.8% (29)
  • 15.8% – 19.5% (32)
One hexagon per division, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#DivisionTechnicians and trades workersProjected
1 Canning 19.5%One Nation
2 Brand 19.1%One Nation
3 Durack 18.4%One Nation
4 Casey 18.4%Coalition
5 Forrest 18.1%One Nation
6 Capricornia 17.9%One Nation
7 Pearce 17.9%One Nation
8 Hunter 17.6%One Nation
9 Dawson 17.6%One Nation
10 Bullwinkel 17.4%One Nation
11 Flynn 17.4%One Nation
12 Burt 17.2%One Nation
13 Flinders 17.0%Coalition
14 Paterson 16.7%One Nation
15 Wright 16.7%One Nation

Lowest: the bottom 15

#DivisionTechnicians and trades workersProjected
150 Bradfield 5.2%Independent
149 Kooyong 5.4%Independent
148 Wentworth 5.6%Independent
147 Canberra 6.3%Labor
146 Warringah 6.5%Independent
145 Sydney 7.1%Labor
144 Melbourne 7.2%Greens
143 Macnamara 7.3%Greens
142 Goldstein 7.5%Independent
141 Curtin 7.5%Independent
140 Ryan 7.8%Greens
139 Brisbane 7.9%Labor
138 Bennelong 7.9%Labor
137 Chisholm 8.0%Labor
136 Grayndler 8.3%Labor
Every division (150), highest first
#DivisionRegionTechnicians and trades workersProjected
1 Canning Western Australia19.5%One Nation
2 Brand Western Australia19.1%One Nation
3 Durack Western Australia18.4%One Nation
4 Casey Victoria18.4%Coalition
5 Forrest Western Australia18.1%One Nation
6 Capricornia Queensland17.9%One Nation
7 Pearce Western Australia17.9%One Nation
8 Hunter New South Wales17.6%One Nation
9 Dawson Queensland17.6%One Nation
10 Bullwinkel Western Australia17.4%One Nation
11 Flynn Queensland17.4%One Nation
12 Burt Western Australia17.2%One Nation
13 Flinders Victoria17.0%Coalition
14 Paterson New South Wales16.7%One Nation
15 Wright Queensland16.7%One Nation
16 Whitlam New South Wales16.5%One Nation
17 Holt Victoria16.4%One Nation
18 O'Connor Western Australia16.4%One Nation
19 Hasluck Western Australia16.3%Labor
20 Dunkley Victoria16.3%One Nation
21 McEwen Victoria16.3%One Nation
22 Gilmore New South Wales16.3%One Nation
23 Kingston South Australia16.3%Labor
24 Monash Victoria16.1%One Nation
25 La Trobe Victoria16.1%One Nation
26 Forde Queensland16.0%One Nation
27 Longman Queensland16.0%One Nation
28 Bruce Victoria15.9%One Nation
29 Kennedy Queensland15.9%One Nation
30 Lyons Tasmania15.8%Labor
31 Hume New South Wales15.8%Coalition
32 Hawke Victoria15.8%One Nation
33 Shortland New South Wales15.6%One Nation
34 Cowan Western Australia15.6%Labor
35 Bowman Queensland15.6%One Nation
36 Gippsland Victoria15.4%One Nation
37 Fisher Queensland15.4%Coalition
38 Lyne New South Wales15.3%One Nation
39 Macquarie New South Wales15.2%One Nation
40 Indi Victoria15.2%Independent
41 Fremantle Western Australia15.2%Labor
42 Dobell New South Wales15.1%One Nation
43 Braddon Tasmania15.1%One Nation
44 Calare New South Wales15.1%One Nation
45 Fairfax Queensland15.0%One Nation
46 Makin South Australia15.0%Labor
47 Calwell Victoria14.9%Labor
48 Wide Bay Queensland14.9%One Nation
49 Richmond New South Wales14.8%Greens
50 Grey South Australia14.7%One Nation
51 Corangamite Victoria14.7%Labor
52 Blair Queensland14.7%One Nation
53 Spence South Australia14.6%One Nation
54 Groom Queensland14.5%One Nation
55 Herbert Queensland14.5%Coalition
56 Ballarat Victoria14.5%One Nation
57 Fadden Queensland14.5%One Nation
58 Aston Victoria14.5%Coalition
59 Nicholls Victoria14.5%One Nation
60 Leichhardt Queensland14.4%One Nation
61 Mayo South Australia14.4%Centre Alliance
62 Scullin Victoria14.4%Labor
63 Eden-Monaro New South Wales14.2%One Nation
64 Corio Victoria14.2%One Nation
65 Lingiari Northern Territory14.1%One Nation
66 Riverina New South Wales14.1%One Nation
67 Franklin Tasmania14.1%Labor
68 Moore Western Australia14.1%One Nation
69 Dickson Queensland14.1%One Nation
70 Farrer New South Wales13.9%One Nation
71 Bendigo Victoria13.9%One Nation
72 Hinkler Queensland13.9%One Nation
73 McPherson Queensland13.9%One Nation
74 Barker South Australia13.8%Coalition
75 New England New South Wales13.7%One Nation
76 Lindsay New South Wales13.6%One Nation
77 Bass Tasmania13.6%Labor
78 Solomon Northern Territory13.6%One Nation
79 Robertson New South Wales13.5%One Nation
80 Rankin Queensland13.5%Labor
81 Cunningham New South Wales13.4%Labor
82 Wannon Victoria13.4%Coalition
83 Petrie Queensland13.4%One Nation
84 Page New South Wales13.3%Coalition
85 Moncrieff Queensland13.3%Coalition
86 Cowper New South Wales13.3%One Nation
87 Maranoa Queensland13.2%One Nation
88 Gorton Victoria13.2%Labor
89 Hindmarsh South Australia13.2%Labor
90 Parkes New South Wales13.1%One Nation
91 Hughes New South Wales12.9%One Nation
92 Swan Western Australia12.9%Labor
93 Mallee Victoria12.9%One Nation
94 Lalor Victoria12.8%Labor
95 Isaacs Victoria12.8%Labor
96 Macarthur New South Wales12.8%Labor
97 Blaxland New South Wales12.5%Labor
98 Cook New South Wales12.4%Coalition
99 Oxley Queensland12.2%Labor
100 McMahon New South Wales12.2%One Nation
101 Mackellar New South Wales12.1%Independent
102 Werriwa New South Wales12.0%Labor
103 Deakin Victoria12.0%Coalition
104 Newcastle New South Wales11.9%Labor
105 Watson New South Wales11.8%Labor
106 Lilley Queensland11.7%Labor
107 Fowler New South Wales11.7%Independent
108 Jagajaga Victoria11.6%Labor
109 Clark Tasmania11.4%Independent
110 Tangney Western Australia11.4%Labor
111 Fenner Australian Capital Territory11.3%Labor
112 Bean Australian Capital Territory11.2%Labor
113 Bonner Queensland11.2%Labor
114 Fraser Victoria11.1%Labor
115 Hotham Victoria11.1%Labor
116 Banks New South Wales11.0%Coalition
117 Boothby South Australia10.9%Labor
118 Barton New South Wales10.8%Labor
119 Perth Western Australia10.8%Labor
120 Gellibrand Victoria10.7%Labor
121 Chifley New South Wales10.6%Labor
122 Moreton Queensland10.6%Labor
123 Adelaide South Australia10.5%Labor
124 Kingsford Smith New South Wales10.4%Labor
125 Greenway New South Wales10.3%Labor
126 Maribyrnong Victoria10.2%Labor
127 Cooper Victoria10.1%Labor
128 Sturt South Australia9.9%Labor
129 Wills Victoria9.8%Greens
130 Menzies Victoria9.7%Coalition
131 Berowra New South Wales9.4%Coalition
132 Parramatta New South Wales8.9%Labor
133 Mitchell New South Wales8.8%Coalition
134 Griffith Queensland8.6%Labor
135 Reid New South Wales8.6%Labor
136 Grayndler New South Wales8.3%Labor
137 Chisholm Victoria8.0%Labor
138 Bennelong New South Wales7.9%Labor
139 Brisbane Queensland7.9%Labor
140 Ryan Queensland7.8%Greens
141 Curtin Western Australia7.5%Independent
142 Goldstein Victoria7.5%Independent
143 Macnamara Victoria7.3%Greens
144 Melbourne Victoria7.2%Greens
145 Sydney New South Wales7.1%Labor
146 Warringah New South Wales6.5%Independent
147 Canberra Australian Capital Territory6.3%Labor
148 Wentworth New South Wales5.6%Independent
149 Kooyong Victoria5.4%Independent
150 Bradfield New South Wales5.2%Independent