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Bachelor degree or higher (incl. graduate diploma/certificate) by division

Bachelor degree or higher (incl. graduate diploma/certificate) in every division in Australia: highest in Bradfield (53.8%), lowest in Spence (9.4%); the middle division is at 22.0%. Of the fifth of divisions where it is highest, our forecast has Labor winning 17 of 30; where it is lowest, One Nation wins 28 of 30.

Canberra: 52.8% Fenner: 39.7% Banks: 28.6% Barton: 33.4% Bennelong: 48.7% Berowra: 43.6% Blaxland: 21.4% Bradfield: 53.8% Calare: 16.7% Chifley: 24.5% Cook: 28.1% Cowper: 16.5% Cunningham: 26.6% Dobell: 15.2% Eden-Monaro: 21.3% Farrer: 14.1% Fowler: 15.6% Gilmore: 17.9% Grayndler: 45.1% Greenway: 36.5% Hughes: 26.7% Hume: 17.7% Hunter: 13.0% Kingsford Smith: 38.1% Lindsay: 17.5% Lyne: 13.5% Macarthur: 19.9% Mackellar: 33.7% Macquarie: 24.6% Mitchell: 41.5% New England: 14.9% Newcastle: 29.1% Page: 15.9% Parkes: 12.7% Parramatta: 43.8% Reid: 43.6% Richmond: 21.6% Robertson: 22.4% Shortland: 18.2% Sydney: 52.5% Whitlam: 17.5% Warringah: 52.3% Wentworth: 53.6% Werriwa: 18.8% Bowman: 18.4% Brisbane: 46.3% Capricornia: 12.6% Dawson: 13.9% Fadden: 19.1% Fairfax: 22.3% Fisher: 20.6% Forde: 14.5% Griffith: 44.2% Groom: 19.7% Herbert: 17.7% Hinkler: 12.1% Kennedy: 11.1% Leichhardt: 19.0% Lilley: 30.9% Maranoa: 11.0% McPherson: 23.9% Moncrieff: 23.9% Moreton: 38.8% Oxley: 23.5% Petrie: 20.1% Rankin: 19.3% Ryan: 46.5% Wide Bay: 14.5% Adelaide: 37.1% Barker: 10.9% Boothby: 34.1% Grey: 10.0% Hindmarsh: 23.8% Kingston: 16.7% Makin: 19.3% Mayo: 22.7% Sturt: 38.0% Bass: 20.1% Braddon: 12.8% Franklin: 26.7% Lyons: 12.7% Aston: 27.8% Ballarat: 22.4% Bendigo: 21.1% Bruce: 21.7% Calwell: 20.8% Casey: 21.7% Chisholm: 45.3% Corio: 23.7% Deakin: 34.7% Dunkley: 20.2% Flinders: 21.0% Gellibrand: 36.7% Gippsland: 13.7% Goldstein: 44.1% Holt: 19.6% Hotham: 36.7% Indi: 17.1% Isaacs: 27.0% Jagajaga: 37.4% Kooyong: 52.8% Lalor: 27.4% La Trobe: 22.2% Mallee: 11.8% Maribyrnong: 35.5% McEwen: 24.5% Melbourne: 53.8% Menzies: 40.8% Scullin: 22.6% Wannon: 16.7% Wills: 44.1% Brand: 13.4% Canning: 11.8% Cowan: 20.9% Curtin: 48.5% Forrest: 16.1% Fremantle: 28.5% Moore: 29.2% O'Connor: 12.8% Pearce: 17.3% Perth: 39.8% Swan: 33.6% Tangney: 36.9% Paterson: 13.9% Riverina: 16.1% Watson: 22.8% Dickson: 23.6% Longman: 11.8% Blair: 14.3% Hasluck: 19.7% Lingiari: 13.9% Solomon: 28.6% Gorton: 23.0% Bonner: 32.4% Flynn: 10.4% Durack: 12.3% McMahon: 19.7% Wright: 14.3% Burt: 18.1% Bean: 35.8% Clark: 36.8% Cooper: 41.0% Fraser: 29.8% Macnamara: 50.7% Monash: 16.1% Nicholls: 13.1% Spence: 9.4% Hawke: 17.4% Corangamite: 26.7% Bullwinkel: 17.6%
  • 9.4% – 14.9% (29)
  • 14.9% – 19.7% (30)
  • 19.7% – 24.5% (30)
  • 24.5% – 36.9% (30)
  • 36.9% – 53.8% (31)
One hexagon per division, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#DivisionBachelor degree or higher (incl. graduate diploma/certificate)Projected
1 Bradfield 53.8%Independent
2 Melbourne 53.8%Greens
3 Wentworth 53.6%Independent
4 Canberra 52.8%Labor
5 Kooyong 52.8%Independent
6 Sydney 52.5%Labor
7 Warringah 52.3%Independent
8 Macnamara 50.7%Greens
9 Bennelong 48.7%Labor
10 Curtin 48.5%Independent
11 Ryan 46.5%Greens
12 Brisbane 46.3%Labor
13 Chisholm 45.3%Labor
14 Grayndler 45.1%Labor
15 Griffith 44.2%Labor

Lowest: the bottom 15

#DivisionBachelor degree or higher (incl. graduate diploma/certificate)Projected
150 Spence 9.4%One Nation
149 Grey 10.0%One Nation
148 Flynn 10.4%One Nation
147 Barker 10.9%Coalition
146 Maranoa 11.0%One Nation
145 Kennedy 11.1%One Nation
144 Mallee 11.8%One Nation
143 Longman 11.8%One Nation
142 Canning 11.8%One Nation
141 Hinkler 12.1%One Nation
140 Durack 12.3%One Nation
139 Capricornia 12.6%One Nation
138 Parkes 12.7%One Nation
137 Lyons 12.7%Labor
136 O'Connor 12.8%One Nation
Every division (150), highest first
#DivisionRegionBachelor degree or higher (incl. graduate diploma/certificate)Projected
1 Bradfield New South Wales53.8%Independent
2 Melbourne Victoria53.8%Greens
3 Wentworth New South Wales53.6%Independent
4 Canberra Australian Capital Territory52.8%Labor
5 Kooyong Victoria52.8%Independent
6 Sydney New South Wales52.5%Labor
7 Warringah New South Wales52.3%Independent
8 Macnamara Victoria50.7%Greens
9 Bennelong New South Wales48.7%Labor
10 Curtin Western Australia48.5%Independent
11 Ryan Queensland46.5%Greens
12 Brisbane Queensland46.3%Labor
13 Chisholm Victoria45.3%Labor
14 Grayndler New South Wales45.1%Labor
15 Griffith Queensland44.2%Labor
16 Goldstein Victoria44.1%Independent
17 Wills Victoria44.1%Greens
18 Parramatta New South Wales43.8%Labor
19 Berowra New South Wales43.6%Coalition
20 Reid New South Wales43.6%Labor
21 Mitchell New South Wales41.5%Coalition
22 Cooper Victoria41.0%Labor
23 Menzies Victoria40.8%Coalition
24 Perth Western Australia39.8%Labor
25 Fenner Australian Capital Territory39.7%Labor
26 Moreton Queensland38.8%Labor
27 Kingsford Smith New South Wales38.1%Labor
28 Sturt South Australia38.0%Labor
29 Jagajaga Victoria37.4%Labor
30 Adelaide South Australia37.1%Labor
31 Tangney Western Australia36.9%Labor
32 Clark Tasmania36.8%Independent
33 Gellibrand Victoria36.7%Labor
34 Hotham Victoria36.7%Labor
35 Greenway New South Wales36.5%Labor
36 Bean Australian Capital Territory35.8%Labor
37 Maribyrnong Victoria35.5%Labor
38 Deakin Victoria34.7%Coalition
39 Boothby South Australia34.1%Labor
40 Mackellar New South Wales33.7%Independent
41 Swan Western Australia33.6%Labor
42 Barton New South Wales33.4%Labor
43 Bonner Queensland32.4%Labor
44 Lilley Queensland30.9%Labor
45 Fraser Victoria29.8%Labor
46 Moore Western Australia29.2%One Nation
47 Newcastle New South Wales29.1%Labor
48 Solomon Northern Territory28.6%One Nation
49 Banks New South Wales28.6%Coalition
50 Fremantle Western Australia28.5%Labor
51 Cook New South Wales28.1%Coalition
52 Aston Victoria27.8%Coalition
53 Lalor Victoria27.4%Labor
54 Isaacs Victoria27.0%Labor
55 Franklin Tasmania26.7%Labor
56 Hughes New South Wales26.7%One Nation
57 Corangamite Victoria26.7%Labor
58 Cunningham New South Wales26.6%Labor
59 Macquarie New South Wales24.6%One Nation
60 McEwen Victoria24.5%One Nation
61 Chifley New South Wales24.5%Labor
62 McPherson Queensland23.9%One Nation
63 Moncrieff Queensland23.9%Coalition
64 Hindmarsh South Australia23.8%Labor
65 Corio Victoria23.7%One Nation
66 Dickson Queensland23.6%One Nation
67 Oxley Queensland23.5%Labor
68 Gorton Victoria23.0%Labor
69 Watson New South Wales22.8%Labor
70 Mayo South Australia22.7%Centre Alliance
71 Scullin Victoria22.6%Labor
72 Robertson New South Wales22.4%One Nation
73 Ballarat Victoria22.4%One Nation
74 Fairfax Queensland22.3%One Nation
75 La Trobe Victoria22.2%One Nation
76 Bruce Victoria21.7%One Nation
77 Casey Victoria21.7%Coalition
78 Richmond New South Wales21.6%Greens
79 Blaxland New South Wales21.4%Labor
80 Eden-Monaro New South Wales21.3%One Nation
81 Bendigo Victoria21.1%One Nation
82 Flinders Victoria21.0%Coalition
83 Cowan Western Australia20.9%Labor
84 Calwell Victoria20.8%Labor
85 Fisher Queensland20.6%Coalition
86 Dunkley Victoria20.2%One Nation
87 Petrie Queensland20.1%One Nation
88 Bass Tasmania20.1%Labor
89 Macarthur New South Wales19.9%Labor
90 McMahon New South Wales19.7%One Nation
91 Hasluck Western Australia19.7%Labor
92 Groom Queensland19.7%One Nation
93 Holt Victoria19.6%One Nation
94 Makin South Australia19.3%Labor
95 Rankin Queensland19.3%Labor
96 Fadden Queensland19.1%One Nation
97 Leichhardt Queensland19.0%One Nation
98 Werriwa New South Wales18.8%Labor
99 Bowman Queensland18.4%One Nation
100 Shortland New South Wales18.2%One Nation
101 Burt Western Australia18.1%One Nation
102 Gilmore New South Wales17.9%One Nation
103 Hume New South Wales17.7%Coalition
104 Herbert Queensland17.7%Coalition
105 Bullwinkel Western Australia17.6%One Nation
106 Whitlam New South Wales17.5%One Nation
107 Lindsay New South Wales17.5%One Nation
108 Hawke Victoria17.4%One Nation
109 Pearce Western Australia17.3%One Nation
110 Indi Victoria17.1%Independent
111 Kingston South Australia16.7%Labor
112 Calare New South Wales16.7%One Nation
113 Wannon Victoria16.7%Coalition
114 Cowper New South Wales16.5%One Nation
115 Forrest Western Australia16.1%One Nation
116 Riverina New South Wales16.1%One Nation
117 Monash Victoria16.1%One Nation
118 Page New South Wales15.9%Coalition
119 Fowler New South Wales15.6%Independent
120 Dobell New South Wales15.2%One Nation
121 New England New South Wales14.9%One Nation
122 Forde Queensland14.5%One Nation
123 Wide Bay Queensland14.5%One Nation
124 Wright Queensland14.3%One Nation
125 Blair Queensland14.3%One Nation
126 Farrer New South Wales14.1%One Nation
127 Lingiari Northern Territory13.9%One Nation
128 Dawson Queensland13.9%One Nation
129 Paterson New South Wales13.9%One Nation
130 Gippsland Victoria13.7%One Nation
131 Lyne New South Wales13.5%One Nation
132 Brand Western Australia13.4%One Nation
133 Nicholls Victoria13.1%One Nation
134 Hunter New South Wales13.0%One Nation
135 Braddon Tasmania12.8%One Nation
136 O'Connor Western Australia12.8%One Nation
137 Lyons Tasmania12.7%Labor
138 Parkes New South Wales12.7%One Nation
139 Capricornia Queensland12.6%One Nation
140 Durack Western Australia12.3%One Nation
141 Hinkler Queensland12.1%One Nation
142 Canning Western Australia11.8%One Nation
143 Longman Queensland11.8%One Nation
144 Mallee Victoria11.8%One Nation
145 Kennedy Queensland11.1%One Nation
146 Maranoa Queensland11.0%One Nation
147 Barker South Australia10.9%Coalition
148 Flynn Queensland10.4%One Nation
149 Grey South Australia10.0%One Nation
150 Spence South Australia9.4%One Nation