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Aged 18-34 (15-19 band split 60/40 at 18) by division

Aged 18-34 (15-19 band split 60/40 at 18) in every division in Australia: highest in Melbourne (50.3%), lowest in Lyne (14.0%); the middle division is at 21.8%. Of the fifth of divisions where it is highest, our forecast has Labor winning 22 of 30; where it is lowest, One Nation wins 17 of 30.

Canberra: 31.4% Fenner: 26.8% Banks: 21.6% Barton: 29.0% Bennelong: 24.9% Berowra: 18.5% Blaxland: 29.6% Bradfield: 17.8% Calare: 19.9% Chifley: 24.5% Cook: 19.7% Cowper: 16.6% Cunningham: 23.4% Dobell: 19.8% Eden-Monaro: 19.1% Farrer: 19.4% Fowler: 24.0% Gilmore: 15.9% Grayndler: 27.8% Greenway: 23.2% Hughes: 20.5% Hume: 22.4% Hunter: 20.9% Kingsford Smith: 29.0% Lindsay: 25.2% Lyne: 14.0% Macarthur: 24.6% Mackellar: 17.6% Macquarie: 18.8% Mitchell: 18.3% New England: 19.8% Newcastle: 26.7% Page: 16.8% Parkes: 20.3% Parramatta: 27.1% Reid: 32.4% Richmond: 16.2% Robertson: 17.5% Shortland: 18.7% Sydney: 40.9% Whitlam: 19.3% Warringah: 22.5% Wentworth: 28.4% Werriwa: 23.7% Bowman: 17.8% Brisbane: 35.8% Capricornia: 21.8% Dawson: 21.7% Fadden: 21.9% Fairfax: 17.8% Fisher: 19.1% Forde: 24.1% Griffith: 32.5% Groom: 21.9% Herbert: 25.4% Hinkler: 16.0% Kennedy: 20.0% Leichhardt: 21.3% Lilley: 24.6% Maranoa: 18.4% McPherson: 20.8% Moncrieff: 25.2% Moreton: 27.0% Oxley: 24.2% Petrie: 20.3% Rankin: 23.4% Ryan: 24.4% Wide Bay: 14.8% Adelaide: 29.7% Barker: 17.9% Boothby: 21.7% Grey: 18.2% Hindmarsh: 22.0% Kingston: 20.7% Makin: 22.2% Mayo: 16.0% Sturt: 21.6% Bass: 21.9% Braddon: 18.9% Franklin: 20.2% Lyons: 18.6% Aston: 21.0% Ballarat: 20.5% Bendigo: 19.5% Bruce: 23.3% Calwell: 26.5% Casey: 20.1% Chisholm: 23.1% Corio: 23.4% Deakin: 20.3% Dunkley: 20.8% Flinders: 15.4% Gellibrand: 22.8% Gippsland: 18.0% Goldstein: 18.0% Holt: 25.7% Hotham: 29.0% Indi: 17.2% Isaacs: 22.1% Jagajaga: 19.8% Kooyong: 24.3% Lalor: 26.5% La Trobe: 24.3% Mallee: 18.8% Maribyrnong: 24.3% McEwen: 21.0% Melbourne: 50.3% Menzies: 21.6% Scullin: 24.6% Wannon: 17.6% Wills: 31.7% Brand: 23.2% Canning: 18.3% Cowan: 23.5% Curtin: 22.7% Forrest: 17.6% Fremantle: 22.9% Moore: 17.8% O'Connor: 18.5% Pearce: 23.0% Perth: 29.5% Swan: 30.0% Tangney: 19.4% Paterson: 20.7% Riverina: 19.6% Watson: 25.7% Dickson: 20.5% Longman: 21.1% Blair: 23.6% Hasluck: 23.8% Lingiari: 27.2% Solomon: 28.1% Gorton: 23.8% Bonner: 21.0% Flynn: 19.7% Durack: 22.6% McMahon: 22.8% Wright: 19.5% Burt: 23.6% Bean: 22.6% Clark: 27.7% Cooper: 27.2% Fraser: 28.6% Macnamara: 32.9% Monash: 17.0% Nicholls: 19.2% Spence: 24.1% Hawke: 23.4% Corangamite: 20.0% Bullwinkel: 18.4%
  • 14.0% – 18.6% (29)
  • 18.6% – 20.7% (30)
  • 20.7% – 23.0% (30)
  • 23.0% – 25.4% (30)
  • 25.4% – 50.3% (31)
One hexagon per division, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#DivisionAged 18-34 (15-19 band split 60/40 at 18)Projected
1 Melbourne 50.3%Greens
2 Sydney 40.9%Labor
3 Brisbane 35.8%Labor
4 Macnamara 32.9%Greens
5 Griffith 32.5%Labor
6 Reid 32.4%Labor
7 Wills 31.7%Greens
8 Canberra 31.4%Labor
9 Swan 30.0%Labor
10 Adelaide 29.7%Labor
11 Blaxland 29.6%Labor
12 Perth 29.5%Labor
13 Barton 29.0%Labor
14 Kingsford Smith 29.0%Labor
15 Hotham 29.0%Labor

Lowest: the bottom 15

#DivisionAged 18-34 (15-19 band split 60/40 at 18)Projected
150 Lyne 14.0%One Nation
149 Wide Bay 14.8%One Nation
148 Flinders 15.4%Coalition
147 Gilmore 15.9%One Nation
146 Hinkler 16.0%One Nation
145 Mayo 16.0%Centre Alliance
144 Richmond 16.2%Greens
143 Cowper 16.6%One Nation
142 Page 16.8%Coalition
141 Monash 17.0%One Nation
140 Indi 17.2%Independent
139 Robertson 17.5%One Nation
138 Wannon 17.6%Coalition
137 Forrest 17.6%One Nation
136 Mackellar 17.6%Independent
Every division (150), highest first
#DivisionRegionAged 18-34 (15-19 band split 60/40 at 18)Projected
1 Melbourne Victoria50.3%Greens
2 Sydney New South Wales40.9%Labor
3 Brisbane Queensland35.8%Labor
4 Macnamara Victoria32.9%Greens
5 Griffith Queensland32.5%Labor
6 Reid New South Wales32.4%Labor
7 Wills Victoria31.7%Greens
8 Canberra Australian Capital Territory31.4%Labor
9 Swan Western Australia30.0%Labor
10 Adelaide South Australia29.7%Labor
11 Blaxland New South Wales29.6%Labor
12 Perth Western Australia29.5%Labor
13 Barton New South Wales29.0%Labor
14 Kingsford Smith New South Wales29.0%Labor
15 Hotham Victoria29.0%Labor
16 Fraser Victoria28.6%Labor
17 Wentworth New South Wales28.4%Independent
18 Solomon Northern Territory28.1%One Nation
19 Grayndler New South Wales27.8%Labor
20 Clark Tasmania27.7%Independent
21 Lingiari Northern Territory27.2%One Nation
22 Cooper Victoria27.2%Labor
23 Parramatta New South Wales27.1%Labor
24 Moreton Queensland27.0%Labor
25 Fenner Australian Capital Territory26.8%Labor
26 Newcastle New South Wales26.7%Labor
27 Calwell Victoria26.5%Labor
28 Lalor Victoria26.5%Labor
29 Watson New South Wales25.7%Labor
30 Holt Victoria25.7%One Nation
31 Herbert Queensland25.4%Coalition
32 Moncrieff Queensland25.2%Coalition
33 Lindsay New South Wales25.2%One Nation
34 Bennelong New South Wales24.9%Labor
35 Scullin Victoria24.6%Labor
36 Lilley Queensland24.6%Labor
37 Macarthur New South Wales24.6%Labor
38 Chifley New South Wales24.5%Labor
39 Ryan Queensland24.4%Greens
40 Maribyrnong Victoria24.3%Labor
41 La Trobe Victoria24.3%One Nation
42 Kooyong Victoria24.3%Independent
43 Oxley Queensland24.2%Labor
44 Forde Queensland24.1%One Nation
45 Spence South Australia24.1%One Nation
46 Fowler New South Wales24.0%Independent
47 Gorton Victoria23.8%Labor
48 Hasluck Western Australia23.8%Labor
49 Werriwa New South Wales23.7%Labor
50 Blair Queensland23.6%One Nation
51 Burt Western Australia23.6%One Nation
52 Cowan Western Australia23.5%Labor
53 Hawke Victoria23.4%One Nation
54 Rankin Queensland23.4%Labor
55 Corio Victoria23.4%One Nation
56 Cunningham New South Wales23.4%Labor
57 Bruce Victoria23.3%One Nation
58 Greenway New South Wales23.2%Labor
59 Brand Western Australia23.2%One Nation
60 Chisholm Victoria23.1%Labor
61 Pearce Western Australia23.0%One Nation
62 Fremantle Western Australia22.9%Labor
63 Gellibrand Victoria22.8%Labor
64 McMahon New South Wales22.8%One Nation
65 Curtin Western Australia22.7%Independent
66 Bean Australian Capital Territory22.6%Labor
67 Durack Western Australia22.6%One Nation
68 Warringah New South Wales22.5%Independent
69 Hume New South Wales22.4%Coalition
70 Makin South Australia22.2%Labor
71 Isaacs Victoria22.1%Labor
72 Hindmarsh South Australia22.0%Labor
73 Fadden Queensland21.9%One Nation
74 Bass Tasmania21.9%Labor
75 Groom Queensland21.9%One Nation
76 Capricornia Queensland21.8%One Nation
77 Boothby South Australia21.7%Labor
78 Dawson Queensland21.7%One Nation
79 Menzies Victoria21.6%Coalition
80 Banks New South Wales21.6%Coalition
81 Sturt South Australia21.6%Labor
82 Leichhardt Queensland21.3%One Nation
83 Longman Queensland21.1%One Nation
84 Aston Victoria21.0%Coalition
85 McEwen Victoria21.0%One Nation
86 Bonner Queensland21.0%Labor
87 Hunter New South Wales20.9%One Nation
88 McPherson Queensland20.8%One Nation
89 Dunkley Victoria20.8%One Nation
90 Kingston South Australia20.7%Labor
91 Paterson New South Wales20.7%One Nation
92 Hughes New South Wales20.5%One Nation
93 Dickson Queensland20.5%One Nation
94 Ballarat Victoria20.5%One Nation
95 Deakin Victoria20.3%Coalition
96 Parkes New South Wales20.3%One Nation
97 Petrie Queensland20.3%One Nation
98 Franklin Tasmania20.2%Labor
99 Casey Victoria20.1%Coalition
100 Kennedy Queensland20.0%One Nation
101 Corangamite Victoria20.0%Labor
102 Calare New South Wales19.9%One Nation
103 Jagajaga Victoria19.8%Labor
104 Dobell New South Wales19.8%One Nation
105 New England New South Wales19.8%One Nation
106 Flynn Queensland19.7%One Nation
107 Cook New South Wales19.7%Coalition
108 Riverina New South Wales19.6%One Nation
109 Bendigo Victoria19.5%One Nation
110 Wright Queensland19.5%One Nation
111 Farrer New South Wales19.4%One Nation
112 Tangney Western Australia19.4%Labor
113 Whitlam New South Wales19.3%One Nation
114 Nicholls Victoria19.2%One Nation
115 Eden-Monaro New South Wales19.1%One Nation
116 Fisher Queensland19.1%Coalition
117 Braddon Tasmania18.9%One Nation
118 Mallee Victoria18.8%One Nation
119 Macquarie New South Wales18.8%One Nation
120 Shortland New South Wales18.7%One Nation
121 Lyons Tasmania18.6%Labor
122 Berowra New South Wales18.5%Coalition
123 O'Connor Western Australia18.5%One Nation
124 Maranoa Queensland18.4%One Nation
125 Bullwinkel Western Australia18.4%One Nation
126 Mitchell New South Wales18.3%Coalition
127 Canning Western Australia18.3%One Nation
128 Grey South Australia18.2%One Nation
129 Gippsland Victoria18.0%One Nation
130 Goldstein Victoria18.0%Independent
131 Barker South Australia17.9%Coalition
132 Moore Western Australia17.8%One Nation
133 Bowman Queensland17.8%One Nation
134 Bradfield New South Wales17.8%Independent
135 Fairfax Queensland17.8%One Nation
136 Mackellar New South Wales17.6%Independent
137 Forrest Western Australia17.6%One Nation
138 Wannon Victoria17.6%Coalition
139 Robertson New South Wales17.5%One Nation
140 Indi Victoria17.2%Independent
141 Monash Victoria17.0%One Nation
142 Page New South Wales16.8%Coalition
143 Cowper New South Wales16.6%One Nation
144 Richmond New South Wales16.2%Greens
145 Mayo South Australia16.0%Centre Alliance
146 Hinkler Queensland16.0%One Nation
147 Gilmore New South Wales15.9%One Nation
148 Flinders Victoria15.4%Coalition
149 Wide Bay Queensland14.8%One Nation
150 Lyne New South Wales14.0%One Nation