Australia Next federal electionby 20 May 2028in 558 days Hung parliament 96% Labor majority under 1% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com Australia
Closest

Census map · Australia

Dwelling owned outright by division

Dwelling owned outright in every division in Australia: highest in Lyne (47.1%), lowest in Melbourne (14.8%); the middle division is at 31.3%. Of the fifth of divisions where it is highest, our forecast has One Nation winning 16 of 30; where it is lowest, Labor wins 16 of 30.

Canberra: 28.1% Fenner: 21.2% Banks: 33.4% Barton: 28.9% Bennelong: 27.6% Berowra: 34.1% Blaxland: 23.4% Bradfield: 36.5% Calare: 36.6% Chifley: 19.0% Cook: 35.6% Cowper: 40.7% Cunningham: 34.3% Dobell: 31.9% Eden-Monaro: 38.1% Farrer: 37.2% Fowler: 29.0% Gilmore: 45.4% Grayndler: 25.2% Greenway: 18.3% Hughes: 32.5% Hume: 26.2% Hunter: 34.0% Kingsford Smith: 25.7% Lindsay: 22.5% Lyne: 47.1% Macarthur: 21.2% Mackellar: 36.6% Macquarie: 37.2% Mitchell: 31.4% New England: 37.1% Newcastle: 29.1% Page: 42.1% Parkes: 36.4% Parramatta: 19.9% Reid: 24.5% Richmond: 40.5% Robertson: 35.4% Shortland: 39.0% Sydney: 15.4% Whitlam: 37.4% Warringah: 30.3% Wentworth: 26.3% Werriwa: 23.9% Bowman: 33.7% Brisbane: 19.0% Capricornia: 30.8% Dawson: 30.4% Fadden: 27.3% Fairfax: 33.2% Fisher: 34.6% Forde: 22.6% Griffith: 19.9% Groom: 31.5% Herbert: 23.1% Hinkler: 41.5% Kennedy: 34.9% Leichhardt: 25.9% Lilley: 25.4% Maranoa: 38.8% McPherson: 31.1% Moncrieff: 28.2% Moreton: 28.4% Oxley: 22.1% Petrie: 26.3% Rankin: 22.6% Ryan: 30.5% Wide Bay: 43.2% Adelaide: 26.1% Barker: 37.7% Boothby: 33.9% Grey: 38.3% Hindmarsh: 33.1% Kingston: 30.1% Makin: 31.8% Mayo: 39.1% Sturt: 35.5% Bass: 35.5% Braddon: 39.0% Franklin: 38.5% Lyons: 39.7% Aston: 34.7% Ballarat: 35.3% Bendigo: 37.3% Bruce: 30.0% Calwell: 21.5% Casey: 35.4% Chisholm: 38.3% Corio: 32.8% Deakin: 35.5% Dunkley: 28.7% Flinders: 41.9% Gellibrand: 23.6% Gippsland: 42.6% Goldstein: 37.5% Holt: 18.6% Hotham: 31.0% Indi: 40.5% Isaacs: 33.0% Jagajaga: 37.3% Kooyong: 37.6% Lalor: 21.0% La Trobe: 21.0% Mallee: 42.6% Maribyrnong: 33.1% McEwen: 27.5% Melbourne: 14.8% Menzies: 39.2% Scullin: 31.1% Wannon: 43.4% Wills: 28.0% Brand: 23.5% Canning: 31.6% Cowan: 28.6% Curtin: 34.3% Forrest: 32.4% Fremantle: 28.3% Moore: 37.7% O'Connor: 36.3% Pearce: 19.3% Perth: 24.2% Swan: 24.5% Tangney: 38.8% Paterson: 33.3% Riverina: 38.2% Watson: 26.2% Dickson: 28.8% Longman: 29.7% Blair: 24.1% Hasluck: 24.2% Lingiari: 16.1% Solomon: 15.7% Gorton: 29.8% Bonner: 30.2% Flynn: 31.5% Durack: 25.4% McMahon: 28.8% Wright: 30.0% Burt: 21.3% Bean: 30.7% Clark: 32.5% Cooper: 29.3% Fraser: 27.4% Macnamara: 21.4% Monash: 42.7% Nicholls: 38.3% Spence: 23.3% Hawke: 26.6% Corangamite: 36.8% Bullwinkel: 36.5%
  • 14.8% – 24.2% (29)
  • 24.2% – 29.1% (30)
  • 29.1% – 33.3% (30)
  • 33.3% – 37.4% (30)
  • 37.4% – 47.1% (31)
One hexagon per division, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#DivisionDwelling owned outrightProjected
1 Lyne 47.1%One Nation
2 Gilmore 45.4%One Nation
3 Wannon 43.4%Coalition
4 Wide Bay 43.2%One Nation
5 Monash 42.7%One Nation
6 Gippsland 42.6%One Nation
7 Mallee 42.6%One Nation
8 Page 42.1%Coalition
9 Flinders 41.9%Coalition
10 Hinkler 41.5%One Nation
11 Cowper 40.7%One Nation
12 Richmond 40.5%Greens
13 Indi 40.5%Independent
14 Lyons 39.7%Labor
15 Menzies 39.2%Coalition

Lowest: the bottom 15

#DivisionDwelling owned outrightProjected
150 Melbourne 14.8%Greens
149 Sydney 15.4%Labor
148 Solomon 15.7%One Nation
147 Lingiari 16.1%One Nation
146 Greenway 18.3%Labor
145 Holt 18.6%One Nation
144 Chifley 19.0%Labor
143 Brisbane 19.0%Labor
142 Pearce 19.3%One Nation
141 Griffith 19.9%Labor
140 Parramatta 19.9%Labor
139 Lalor 21.0%Labor
138 La Trobe 21.0%One Nation
137 Macarthur 21.2%Labor
136 Fenner 21.2%Labor
Every division (150), highest first
#DivisionRegionDwelling owned outrightProjected
1 Lyne New South Wales47.1%One Nation
2 Gilmore New South Wales45.4%One Nation
3 Wannon Victoria43.4%Coalition
4 Wide Bay Queensland43.2%One Nation
5 Monash Victoria42.7%One Nation
6 Gippsland Victoria42.6%One Nation
7 Mallee Victoria42.6%One Nation
8 Page New South Wales42.1%Coalition
9 Flinders Victoria41.9%Coalition
10 Hinkler Queensland41.5%One Nation
11 Cowper New South Wales40.7%One Nation
12 Richmond New South Wales40.5%Greens
13 Indi Victoria40.5%Independent
14 Lyons Tasmania39.7%Labor
15 Menzies Victoria39.2%Coalition
16 Mayo South Australia39.1%Centre Alliance
17 Shortland New South Wales39.0%One Nation
18 Braddon Tasmania39.0%One Nation
19 Maranoa Queensland38.8%One Nation
20 Tangney Western Australia38.8%Labor
21 Franklin Tasmania38.5%Labor
22 Nicholls Victoria38.3%One Nation
23 Grey South Australia38.3%One Nation
24 Chisholm Victoria38.3%Labor
25 Riverina New South Wales38.2%One Nation
26 Eden-Monaro New South Wales38.1%One Nation
27 Barker South Australia37.7%Coalition
28 Moore Western Australia37.7%One Nation
29 Kooyong Victoria37.6%Independent
30 Goldstein Victoria37.5%Independent
31 Whitlam New South Wales37.4%One Nation
32 Jagajaga Victoria37.3%Labor
33 Bendigo Victoria37.3%One Nation
34 Farrer New South Wales37.2%One Nation
35 Macquarie New South Wales37.2%One Nation
36 New England New South Wales37.1%One Nation
37 Corangamite Victoria36.8%Labor
38 Mackellar New South Wales36.6%Independent
39 Calare New South Wales36.6%One Nation
40 Bradfield New South Wales36.5%Independent
41 Bullwinkel Western Australia36.5%One Nation
42 Parkes New South Wales36.4%One Nation
43 O'Connor Western Australia36.3%One Nation
44 Cook New South Wales35.6%Coalition
45 Sturt South Australia35.5%Labor
46 Bass Tasmania35.5%Labor
47 Deakin Victoria35.5%Coalition
48 Robertson New South Wales35.4%One Nation
49 Casey Victoria35.4%Coalition
50 Ballarat Victoria35.3%One Nation
51 Kennedy Queensland34.9%One Nation
52 Aston Victoria34.7%Coalition
53 Fisher Queensland34.6%Coalition
54 Cunningham New South Wales34.3%Labor
55 Curtin Western Australia34.3%Independent
56 Berowra New South Wales34.1%Coalition
57 Hunter New South Wales34.0%One Nation
58 Boothby South Australia33.9%Labor
59 Bowman Queensland33.7%One Nation
60 Banks New South Wales33.4%Coalition
61 Paterson New South Wales33.3%One Nation
62 Fairfax Queensland33.2%One Nation
63 Maribyrnong Victoria33.1%Labor
64 Hindmarsh South Australia33.1%Labor
65 Isaacs Victoria33.0%Labor
66 Corio Victoria32.8%One Nation
67 Hughes New South Wales32.5%One Nation
68 Clark Tasmania32.5%Independent
69 Forrest Western Australia32.4%One Nation
70 Dobell New South Wales31.9%One Nation
71 Makin South Australia31.8%Labor
72 Canning Western Australia31.6%One Nation
73 Flynn Queensland31.5%One Nation
74 Groom Queensland31.5%One Nation
75 Mitchell New South Wales31.4%Coalition
76 Scullin Victoria31.1%Labor
77 McPherson Queensland31.1%One Nation
78 Hotham Victoria31.0%Labor
79 Capricornia Queensland30.8%One Nation
80 Bean Australian Capital Territory30.7%Labor
81 Ryan Queensland30.5%Greens
82 Dawson Queensland30.4%One Nation
83 Warringah New South Wales30.3%Independent
84 Bonner Queensland30.2%Labor
85 Kingston South Australia30.1%Labor
86 Wright Queensland30.0%One Nation
87 Bruce Victoria30.0%One Nation
88 Gorton Victoria29.8%Labor
89 Longman Queensland29.7%One Nation
90 Cooper Victoria29.3%Labor
91 Newcastle New South Wales29.1%Labor
92 Fowler New South Wales29.0%Independent
93 Barton New South Wales28.9%Labor
94 Dickson Queensland28.8%One Nation
95 McMahon New South Wales28.8%One Nation
96 Dunkley Victoria28.7%One Nation
97 Cowan Western Australia28.6%Labor
98 Moreton Queensland28.4%Labor
99 Fremantle Western Australia28.3%Labor
100 Moncrieff Queensland28.2%Coalition
101 Canberra Australian Capital Territory28.1%Labor
102 Wills Victoria28.0%Greens
103 Bennelong New South Wales27.6%Labor
104 McEwen Victoria27.5%One Nation
105 Fraser Victoria27.4%Labor
106 Fadden Queensland27.3%One Nation
107 Hawke Victoria26.6%One Nation
108 Wentworth New South Wales26.3%Independent
109 Petrie Queensland26.3%One Nation
110 Hume New South Wales26.2%Coalition
111 Watson New South Wales26.2%Labor
112 Adelaide South Australia26.1%Labor
113 Leichhardt Queensland25.9%One Nation
114 Kingsford Smith New South Wales25.7%Labor
115 Lilley Queensland25.4%Labor
116 Durack Western Australia25.4%One Nation
117 Grayndler New South Wales25.2%Labor
118 Reid New South Wales24.5%Labor
119 Swan Western Australia24.5%Labor
120 Perth Western Australia24.2%Labor
121 Hasluck Western Australia24.2%Labor
122 Blair Queensland24.1%One Nation
123 Werriwa New South Wales23.9%Labor
124 Gellibrand Victoria23.6%Labor
125 Brand Western Australia23.5%One Nation
126 Blaxland New South Wales23.4%Labor
127 Spence South Australia23.3%One Nation
128 Herbert Queensland23.1%Coalition
129 Forde Queensland22.6%One Nation
130 Rankin Queensland22.6%Labor
131 Lindsay New South Wales22.5%One Nation
132 Oxley Queensland22.1%Labor
133 Calwell Victoria21.5%Labor
134 Macnamara Victoria21.4%Greens
135 Burt Western Australia21.3%One Nation
136 Fenner Australian Capital Territory21.2%Labor
137 Macarthur New South Wales21.2%Labor
138 La Trobe Victoria21.0%One Nation
139 Lalor Victoria21.0%Labor
140 Parramatta New South Wales19.9%Labor
141 Griffith Queensland19.9%Labor
142 Pearce Western Australia19.3%One Nation
143 Brisbane Queensland19.0%Labor
144 Chifley New South Wales19.0%Labor
145 Holt Victoria18.6%One Nation
146 Greenway New South Wales18.3%Labor
147 Lingiari Northern Territory16.1%One Nation
148 Solomon Northern Territory15.7%One Nation
149 Sydney New South Wales15.4%Labor
150 Melbourne Victoria14.8%Greens