Australia Next federal electionby 20 May 2028in 558 days Hung parliament 96% Labor majority under 1% Calendar Track record Research
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Aged 65 and over by division

Aged 65 and over in every division in Australia: highest in Lyne (30.4%), lowest in Lingiari (8.3%); the middle division is at 17.7%. Of the fifth of divisions where it is highest, our forecast has One Nation winning 19 of 30; where it is lowest, Labor wins 17 of 30.

Canberra: 15.0% Fenner: 10.3% Banks: 18.0% Barton: 15.4% Bennelong: 15.7% Berowra: 18.1% Blaxland: 11.8% Bradfield: 17.9% Calare: 20.1% Chifley: 11.1% Cook: 19.9% Cowper: 26.6% Cunningham: 18.7% Dobell: 20.6% Eden-Monaro: 20.8% Farrer: 21.7% Fowler: 16.0% Gilmore: 28.4% Grayndler: 14.4% Greenway: 9.2% Hughes: 15.3% Hume: 12.9% Hunter: 19.8% Kingsford Smith: 15.2% Lindsay: 12.4% Lyne: 30.4% Macarthur: 12.1% Mackellar: 19.9% Macquarie: 19.7% Mitchell: 15.5% New England: 21.3% Newcastle: 16.8% Page: 24.3% Parkes: 19.9% Parramatta: 12.2% Reid: 13.5% Richmond: 24.9% Robertson: 23.2% Shortland: 22.3% Sydney: 9.8% Whitlam: 21.3% Warringah: 16.7% Wentworth: 15.7% Werriwa: 10.8% Bowman: 20.9% Brisbane: 10.5% Capricornia: 15.8% Dawson: 16.5% Fadden: 17.8% Fairfax: 21.4% Fisher: 21.9% Forde: 13.7% Griffith: 10.5% Groom: 18.8% Herbert: 13.8% Hinkler: 28.6% Kennedy: 18.6% Leichhardt: 15.3% Lilley: 15.7% Maranoa: 21.9% McPherson: 18.8% Moncrieff: 19.8% Moreton: 14.1% Oxley: 11.5% Petrie: 18.1% Rankin: 12.4% Ryan: 14.7% Wide Bay: 26.6% Adelaide: 15.7% Barker: 23.0% Boothby: 21.7% Grey: 22.8% Hindmarsh: 20.4% Kingston: 19.3% Makin: 18.4% Mayo: 24.4% Sturt: 21.0% Bass: 20.9% Braddon: 23.1% Franklin: 21.0% Lyons: 21.8% Aston: 17.9% Ballarat: 19.6% Bendigo: 21.5% Bruce: 15.0% Calwell: 8.9% Casey: 17.6% Chisholm: 18.9% Corio: 18.0% Deakin: 18.5% Dunkley: 17.2% Flinders: 27.5% Gellibrand: 9.9% Gippsland: 24.4% Goldstein: 19.3% Holt: 9.3% Hotham: 16.0% Indi: 23.8% Isaacs: 16.6% Jagajaga: 18.4% Kooyong: 19.3% Lalor: 9.2% La Trobe: 10.7% Mallee: 23.6% Maribyrnong: 17.1% McEwen: 12.3% Melbourne: 8.6% Menzies: 20.4% Scullin: 14.3% Wannon: 23.6% Wills: 13.6% Brand: 13.8% Canning: 21.4% Cowan: 14.9% Curtin: 18.4% Forrest: 19.5% Fremantle: 15.1% Moore: 18.9% O'Connor: 19.7% Pearce: 11.7% Perth: 14.7% Swan: 14.9% Tangney: 18.6% Paterson: 20.2% Riverina: 21.0% Watson: 13.6% Dickson: 14.7% Longman: 19.6% Blair: 13.7% Hasluck: 13.3% Lingiari: 8.3% Solomon: 9.5% Gorton: 11.8% Bonner: 15.5% Flynn: 16.0% Durack: 12.7% McMahon: 14.9% Wright: 15.6% Burt: 11.6% Bean: 16.0% Clark: 18.0% Cooper: 14.6% Fraser: 13.8% Macnamara: 13.4% Monash: 25.0% Nicholls: 22.2% Spence: 14.4% Hawke: 12.9% Corangamite: 21.6% Bullwinkel: 19.7%
  • 8.3% – 13.4% (29)
  • 13.4% – 15.7% (30)
  • 15.7% – 18.7% (30)
  • 18.7% – 21.3% (30)
  • 21.3% – 30.4% (31)
One hexagon per division, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#DivisionAged 65 and overProjected
1 Lyne 30.4%One Nation
2 Hinkler 28.6%One Nation
3 Gilmore 28.4%One Nation
4 Flinders 27.5%Coalition
5 Cowper 26.6%One Nation
6 Wide Bay 26.6%One Nation
7 Monash 25.0%One Nation
8 Richmond 24.9%Greens
9 Mayo 24.4%Centre Alliance
10 Gippsland 24.4%One Nation
11 Page 24.3%Coalition
12 Indi 23.8%Independent
13 Mallee 23.6%One Nation
14 Wannon 23.6%Coalition
15 Robertson 23.2%One Nation

Lowest: the bottom 15

#DivisionAged 65 and overProjected
150 Lingiari 8.3%One Nation
149 Melbourne 8.6%Greens
148 Calwell 8.9%Labor
147 Greenway 9.2%Labor
146 Lalor 9.2%Labor
145 Holt 9.3%One Nation
144 Solomon 9.5%One Nation
143 Sydney 9.8%Labor
142 Gellibrand 9.9%Labor
141 Fenner 10.3%Labor
140 Brisbane 10.5%Labor
139 Griffith 10.5%Labor
138 La Trobe 10.7%One Nation
137 Werriwa 10.8%Labor
136 Chifley 11.1%Labor
Every division (150), highest first
#DivisionRegionAged 65 and overProjected
1 Lyne New South Wales30.4%One Nation
2 Hinkler Queensland28.6%One Nation
3 Gilmore New South Wales28.4%One Nation
4 Flinders Victoria27.5%Coalition
5 Cowper New South Wales26.6%One Nation
6 Wide Bay Queensland26.6%One Nation
7 Monash Victoria25.0%One Nation
8 Richmond New South Wales24.9%Greens
9 Mayo South Australia24.4%Centre Alliance
10 Gippsland Victoria24.4%One Nation
11 Page New South Wales24.3%Coalition
12 Indi Victoria23.8%Independent
13 Mallee Victoria23.6%One Nation
14 Wannon Victoria23.6%Coalition
15 Robertson New South Wales23.2%One Nation
16 Braddon Tasmania23.1%One Nation
17 Barker South Australia23.0%Coalition
18 Grey South Australia22.8%One Nation
19 Shortland New South Wales22.3%One Nation
20 Nicholls Victoria22.2%One Nation
21 Fisher Queensland21.9%Coalition
22 Maranoa Queensland21.9%One Nation
23 Lyons Tasmania21.8%Labor
24 Farrer New South Wales21.7%One Nation
25 Boothby South Australia21.7%Labor
26 Corangamite Victoria21.6%Labor
27 Bendigo Victoria21.5%One Nation
28 Fairfax Queensland21.4%One Nation
29 Canning Western Australia21.4%One Nation
30 Whitlam New South Wales21.3%One Nation
31 New England New South Wales21.3%One Nation
32 Riverina New South Wales21.0%One Nation
33 Sturt South Australia21.0%Labor
34 Franklin Tasmania21.0%Labor
35 Bass Tasmania20.9%Labor
36 Bowman Queensland20.9%One Nation
37 Eden-Monaro New South Wales20.8%One Nation
38 Dobell New South Wales20.6%One Nation
39 Menzies Victoria20.4%Coalition
40 Hindmarsh South Australia20.4%Labor
41 Paterson New South Wales20.2%One Nation
42 Calare New South Wales20.1%One Nation
43 Parkes New South Wales19.9%One Nation
44 Cook New South Wales19.9%Coalition
45 Mackellar New South Wales19.9%Independent
46 Hunter New South Wales19.8%One Nation
47 Moncrieff Queensland19.8%Coalition
48 O'Connor Western Australia19.7%One Nation
49 Bullwinkel Western Australia19.7%One Nation
50 Macquarie New South Wales19.7%One Nation
51 Ballarat Victoria19.6%One Nation
52 Longman Queensland19.6%One Nation
53 Forrest Western Australia19.5%One Nation
54 Goldstein Victoria19.3%Independent
55 Kingston South Australia19.3%Labor
56 Kooyong Victoria19.3%Independent
57 Moore Western Australia18.9%One Nation
58 Chisholm Victoria18.9%Labor
59 McPherson Queensland18.8%One Nation
60 Groom Queensland18.8%One Nation
61 Cunningham New South Wales18.7%Labor
62 Kennedy Queensland18.6%One Nation
63 Tangney Western Australia18.6%Labor
64 Deakin Victoria18.5%Coalition
65 Makin South Australia18.4%Labor
66 Curtin Western Australia18.4%Independent
67 Jagajaga Victoria18.4%Labor
68 Petrie Queensland18.1%One Nation
69 Berowra New South Wales18.1%Coalition
70 Corio Victoria18.0%One Nation
71 Clark Tasmania18.0%Independent
72 Banks New South Wales18.0%Coalition
73 Aston Victoria17.9%Coalition
74 Bradfield New South Wales17.9%Independent
75 Fadden Queensland17.8%One Nation
76 Casey Victoria17.6%Coalition
77 Dunkley Victoria17.2%One Nation
78 Maribyrnong Victoria17.1%Labor
79 Newcastle New South Wales16.8%Labor
80 Warringah New South Wales16.7%Independent
81 Isaacs Victoria16.6%Labor
82 Dawson Queensland16.5%One Nation
83 Fowler New South Wales16.0%Independent
84 Hotham Victoria16.0%Labor
85 Bean Australian Capital Territory16.0%Labor
86 Flynn Queensland16.0%One Nation
87 Capricornia Queensland15.8%One Nation
88 Wentworth New South Wales15.7%Independent
89 Lilley Queensland15.7%Labor
90 Bennelong New South Wales15.7%Labor
91 Adelaide South Australia15.7%Labor
92 Wright Queensland15.6%One Nation
93 Mitchell New South Wales15.5%Coalition
94 Bonner Queensland15.5%Labor
95 Barton New South Wales15.4%Labor
96 Hughes New South Wales15.3%One Nation
97 Leichhardt Queensland15.3%One Nation
98 Kingsford Smith New South Wales15.2%Labor
99 Fremantle Western Australia15.1%Labor
100 Canberra Australian Capital Territory15.0%Labor
101 Bruce Victoria15.0%One Nation
102 Cowan Western Australia14.9%Labor
103 McMahon New South Wales14.9%One Nation
104 Swan Western Australia14.9%Labor
105 Perth Western Australia14.7%Labor
106 Ryan Queensland14.7%Greens
107 Dickson Queensland14.7%One Nation
108 Cooper Victoria14.6%Labor
109 Spence South Australia14.4%One Nation
110 Grayndler New South Wales14.4%Labor
111 Scullin Victoria14.3%Labor
112 Moreton Queensland14.1%Labor
113 Herbert Queensland13.8%Coalition
114 Brand Western Australia13.8%One Nation
115 Fraser Victoria13.8%Labor
116 Forde Queensland13.7%One Nation
117 Blair Queensland13.7%One Nation
118 Wills Victoria13.6%Greens
119 Watson New South Wales13.6%Labor
120 Reid New South Wales13.5%Labor
121 Macnamara Victoria13.4%Greens
122 Hasluck Western Australia13.3%Labor
123 Hawke Victoria12.9%One Nation
124 Hume New South Wales12.9%Coalition
125 Durack Western Australia12.7%One Nation
126 Rankin Queensland12.4%Labor
127 Lindsay New South Wales12.4%One Nation
128 McEwen Victoria12.3%One Nation
129 Parramatta New South Wales12.2%Labor
130 Macarthur New South Wales12.1%Labor
131 Blaxland New South Wales11.8%Labor
132 Gorton Victoria11.8%Labor
133 Pearce Western Australia11.7%One Nation
134 Burt Western Australia11.6%One Nation
135 Oxley Queensland11.5%Labor
136 Chifley New South Wales11.1%Labor
137 Werriwa New South Wales10.8%Labor
138 La Trobe Victoria10.7%One Nation
139 Griffith Queensland10.5%Labor
140 Brisbane Queensland10.5%Labor
141 Fenner Australian Capital Territory10.3%Labor
142 Gellibrand Victoria9.9%Labor
143 Sydney New South Wales9.8%Labor
144 Solomon Northern Territory9.5%One Nation
145 Holt Victoria9.3%One Nation
146 Lalor Victoria9.2%Labor
147 Greenway New South Wales9.2%Labor
148 Calwell Victoria8.9%Labor
149 Melbourne Victoria8.6%Greens
150 Lingiari Northern Territory8.3%One Nation