Australia Next federal electionby 20 May 2028in 558 days Hung parliament 96% Labor majority under 1% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com Australia
Closest

Census map · Australia

Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander by division

Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander in every division in Australia: highest in Lingiari (42.5%), lowest in Bradfield (0.2%); the middle division is at 2.0%. Of the fifth of divisions where it is highest, our forecast has One Nation winning 26 of 30; where it is lowest, Labor wins 14 of 30.

Canberra: 1.4% Fenner: 2.0% Banks: 1.0% Barton: 0.6% Bennelong: 0.4% Berowra: 0.6% Blaxland: 0.6% Bradfield: 0.2% Calare: 7.8% Chifley: 4.4% Cook: 1.3% Cowper: 7.3% Cunningham: 3.0% Dobell: 5.8% Eden-Monaro: 4.0% Farrer: 4.9% Fowler: 0.8% Gilmore: 5.9% Grayndler: 1.2% Greenway: 1.6% Hughes: 2.1% Hume: 3.8% Hunter: 8.0% Kingsford Smith: 1.9% Lindsay: 5.4% Lyne: 6.7% Macarthur: 4.1% Mackellar: 0.6% Macquarie: 3.7% Mitchell: 0.5% New England: 10.4% Newcastle: 4.2% Page: 6.6% Parkes: 15.8% Parramatta: 0.7% Reid: 0.6% Richmond: 3.8% Robertson: 3.5% Shortland: 5.4% Sydney: 1.3% Whitlam: 4.0% Warringah: 0.4% Wentworth: 0.5% Werriwa: 1.6% Bowman: 2.9% Brisbane: 1.4% Capricornia: 6.4% Dawson: 6.7% Fadden: 2.4% Fairfax: 2.4% Fisher: 2.5% Forde: 3.7% Griffith: 1.5% Groom: 5.1% Herbert: 9.7% Hinkler: 5.0% Kennedy: 14.8% Leichhardt: 16.3% Lilley: 2.5% Maranoa: 7.5% McPherson: 2.0% Moncrieff: 1.9% Moreton: 1.6% Oxley: 3.6% Petrie: 3.5% Rankin: 3.5% Ryan: 1.2% Wide Bay: 4.5% Adelaide: 1.4% Barker: 2.9% Boothby: 0.9% Grey: 7.3% Hindmarsh: 1.9% Kingston: 1.9% Makin: 1.7% Mayo: 1.2% Sturt: 0.8% Bass: 4.0% Braddon: 8.6% Franklin: 5.3% Lyons: 5.9% Aston: 0.6% Ballarat: 1.7% Bendigo: 2.0% Bruce: 0.5% Calwell: 0.7% Casey: 1.0% Chisholm: 0.2% Corio: 1.5% Deakin: 0.5% Dunkley: 1.1% Flinders: 1.0% Gellibrand: 0.6% Gippsland: 2.4% Goldstein: 0.2% Holt: 0.8% Hotham: 0.3% Indi: 2.1% Isaacs: 0.3% Jagajaga: 0.6% Kooyong: 0.2% Lalor: 1.0% La Trobe: 0.8% Mallee: 3.1% Maribyrnong: 0.4% McEwen: 1.2% Melbourne: 0.5% Menzies: 0.2% Scullin: 0.9% Wannon: 1.8% Wills: 0.6% Brand: 3.2% Canning: 2.8% Cowan: 1.8% Curtin: 0.7% Forrest: 2.8% Fremantle: 1.8% Moore: 0.7% O'Connor: 5.6% Pearce: 1.8% Perth: 1.1% Swan: 2.0% Tangney: 1.0% Paterson: 7.4% Riverina: 5.9% Watson: 0.4% Dickson: 2.8% Longman: 4.9% Blair: 5.7% Hasluck: 3.1% Lingiari: 42.5% Solomon: 10.0% Gorton: 0.6% Bonner: 2.0% Flynn: 6.9% Durack: 15.8% McMahon: 1.7% Wright: 4.0% Burt: 3.1% Bean: 2.5% Clark: 3.3% Cooper: 0.9% Fraser: 0.5% Macnamara: 0.4% Monash: 1.3% Nicholls: 3.1% Spence: 3.6% Hawke: 1.4% Corangamite: 0.9% Bullwinkel: 3.1%
  • 0.2% – 0.7% (29)
  • 0.7% – 1.5% (30)
  • 1.5% – 2.8% (30)
  • 2.8% – 5.0% (30)
  • 5.0% – 42.5% (31)
One hexagon per division, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#DivisionAboriginal and/or Torres Strait IslanderProjected
1 Lingiari 42.5%One Nation
2 Leichhardt 16.3%One Nation
3 Durack 15.8%One Nation
4 Parkes 15.8%One Nation
5 Kennedy 14.8%One Nation
6 New England 10.4%One Nation
7 Solomon 10.0%One Nation
8 Herbert 9.7%Coalition
9 Braddon 8.6%One Nation
10 Hunter 8.0%One Nation
11 Calare 7.8%One Nation
12 Maranoa 7.5%One Nation
13 Paterson 7.4%One Nation
14 Grey 7.3%One Nation
15 Cowper 7.3%One Nation

Lowest: the bottom 15

#DivisionAboriginal and/or Torres Strait IslanderProjected
150 Bradfield 0.2%Independent
149 Chisholm 0.2%Labor
148 Goldstein 0.2%Independent
147 Kooyong 0.2%Independent
146 Menzies 0.2%Coalition
145 Hotham 0.3%Labor
144 Isaacs 0.3%Labor
143 Bennelong 0.4%Labor
142 Macnamara 0.4%Greens
141 Watson 0.4%Labor
140 Warringah 0.4%Independent
139 Maribyrnong 0.4%Labor
138 Deakin 0.5%Coalition
137 Melbourne 0.5%Greens
136 Bruce 0.5%One Nation
Every division (150), highest first
#DivisionRegionAboriginal and/or Torres Strait IslanderProjected
1 Lingiari Northern Territory42.5%One Nation
2 Leichhardt Queensland16.3%One Nation
3 Durack Western Australia15.8%One Nation
4 Parkes New South Wales15.8%One Nation
5 Kennedy Queensland14.8%One Nation
6 New England New South Wales10.4%One Nation
7 Solomon Northern Territory10.0%One Nation
8 Herbert Queensland9.7%Coalition
9 Braddon Tasmania8.6%One Nation
10 Hunter New South Wales8.0%One Nation
11 Calare New South Wales7.8%One Nation
12 Maranoa Queensland7.5%One Nation
13 Paterson New South Wales7.4%One Nation
14 Grey South Australia7.3%One Nation
15 Cowper New South Wales7.3%One Nation
16 Flynn Queensland6.9%One Nation
17 Lyne New South Wales6.7%One Nation
18 Dawson Queensland6.7%One Nation
19 Page New South Wales6.6%Coalition
20 Capricornia Queensland6.4%One Nation
21 Riverina New South Wales5.9%One Nation
22 Gilmore New South Wales5.9%One Nation
23 Lyons Tasmania5.9%Labor
24 Dobell New South Wales5.8%One Nation
25 Blair Queensland5.7%One Nation
26 O'Connor Western Australia5.6%One Nation
27 Lindsay New South Wales5.4%One Nation
28 Shortland New South Wales5.4%One Nation
29 Franklin Tasmania5.3%Labor
30 Groom Queensland5.1%One Nation
31 Hinkler Queensland5.0%One Nation
32 Farrer New South Wales4.9%One Nation
33 Longman Queensland4.9%One Nation
34 Wide Bay Queensland4.5%One Nation
35 Chifley New South Wales4.4%Labor
36 Newcastle New South Wales4.2%Labor
37 Macarthur New South Wales4.1%Labor
38 Whitlam New South Wales4.0%One Nation
39 Eden-Monaro New South Wales4.0%One Nation
40 Wright Queensland4.0%One Nation
41 Bass Tasmania4.0%Labor
42 Richmond New South Wales3.8%Greens
43 Hume New South Wales3.8%Coalition
44 Forde Queensland3.7%One Nation
45 Macquarie New South Wales3.7%One Nation
46 Oxley Queensland3.6%Labor
47 Spence South Australia3.6%One Nation
48 Robertson New South Wales3.5%One Nation
49 Petrie Queensland3.5%One Nation
50 Rankin Queensland3.5%Labor
51 Clark Tasmania3.3%Independent
52 Brand Western Australia3.2%One Nation
53 Mallee Victoria3.1%One Nation
54 Bullwinkel Western Australia3.1%One Nation
55 Nicholls Victoria3.1%One Nation
56 Burt Western Australia3.1%One Nation
57 Hasluck Western Australia3.1%Labor
58 Cunningham New South Wales3.0%Labor
59 Barker South Australia2.9%Coalition
60 Bowman Queensland2.9%One Nation
61 Canning Western Australia2.8%One Nation
62 Forrest Western Australia2.8%One Nation
63 Dickson Queensland2.8%One Nation
64 Lilley Queensland2.5%Labor
65 Bean Australian Capital Territory2.5%Labor
66 Fisher Queensland2.5%Coalition
67 Gippsland Victoria2.4%One Nation
68 Fairfax Queensland2.4%One Nation
69 Fadden Queensland2.4%One Nation
70 Hughes New South Wales2.1%One Nation
71 Indi Victoria2.1%Independent
72 Swan Western Australia2.0%Labor
73 Fenner Australian Capital Territory2.0%Labor
74 McPherson Queensland2.0%One Nation
75 Bonner Queensland2.0%Labor
76 Bendigo Victoria2.0%One Nation
77 Moncrieff Queensland1.9%Coalition
78 Hindmarsh South Australia1.9%Labor
79 Kingston South Australia1.9%Labor
80 Kingsford Smith New South Wales1.9%Labor
81 Cowan Western Australia1.8%Labor
82 Fremantle Western Australia1.8%Labor
83 Wannon Victoria1.8%Coalition
84 Pearce Western Australia1.8%One Nation
85 McMahon New South Wales1.7%One Nation
86 Ballarat Victoria1.7%One Nation
87 Makin South Australia1.7%Labor
88 Greenway New South Wales1.6%Labor
89 Werriwa New South Wales1.6%Labor
90 Moreton Queensland1.6%Labor
91 Griffith Queensland1.5%Labor
92 Corio Victoria1.5%One Nation
93 Hawke Victoria1.4%One Nation
94 Canberra Australian Capital Territory1.4%Labor
95 Brisbane Queensland1.4%Labor
96 Adelaide South Australia1.4%Labor
97 Sydney New South Wales1.3%Labor
98 Monash Victoria1.3%One Nation
99 Cook New South Wales1.3%Coalition
100 Mayo South Australia1.2%Centre Alliance
101 McEwen Victoria1.2%One Nation
102 Ryan Queensland1.2%Greens
103 Grayndler New South Wales1.2%Labor
104 Dunkley Victoria1.1%One Nation
105 Perth Western Australia1.1%Labor
106 Banks New South Wales1.0%Coalition
107 Casey Victoria1.0%Coalition
108 Lalor Victoria1.0%Labor
109 Flinders Victoria1.0%Coalition
110 Tangney Western Australia1.0%Labor
111 Boothby South Australia0.9%Labor
112 Corangamite Victoria0.9%Labor
113 Cooper Victoria0.9%Labor
114 Scullin Victoria0.9%Labor
115 Fowler New South Wales0.8%Independent
116 La Trobe Victoria0.8%One Nation
117 Sturt South Australia0.8%Labor
118 Holt Victoria0.8%One Nation
119 Parramatta New South Wales0.7%Labor
120 Curtin Western Australia0.7%Independent
121 Moore Western Australia0.7%One Nation
122 Calwell Victoria0.7%Labor
123 Mackellar New South Wales0.6%Independent
124 Aston Victoria0.6%Coalition
125 Jagajaga Victoria0.6%Labor
126 Wills Victoria0.6%Greens
127 Barton New South Wales0.6%Labor
128 Gellibrand Victoria0.6%Labor
129 Berowra New South Wales0.6%Coalition
130 Blaxland New South Wales0.6%Labor
131 Reid New South Wales0.6%Labor
132 Gorton Victoria0.6%Labor
133 Fraser Victoria0.5%Labor
134 Mitchell New South Wales0.5%Coalition
135 Wentworth New South Wales0.5%Independent
136 Bruce Victoria0.5%One Nation
137 Melbourne Victoria0.5%Greens
138 Deakin Victoria0.5%Coalition
139 Maribyrnong Victoria0.4%Labor
140 Warringah New South Wales0.4%Independent
141 Watson New South Wales0.4%Labor
142 Macnamara Victoria0.4%Greens
143 Bennelong New South Wales0.4%Labor
144 Isaacs Victoria0.3%Labor
145 Hotham Victoria0.3%Labor
146 Menzies Victoria0.2%Coalition
147 Kooyong Victoria0.2%Independent
148 Goldstein Victoria0.2%Independent
149 Chisholm Victoria0.2%Labor
150 Bradfield New South Wales0.2%Independent