Australia Next federal electionby 20 May 2028in 558 days Hung parliament 96% Labor majority under 1% Calendar Track record Research
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Machinery operators and drivers by division

Machinery operators and drivers in every division in Australia: highest in Chifley (14.5%), lowest in Wentworth (1.2%); the middle division is at 6.2%. Of the fifth of divisions where it is highest, our forecast has One Nation winning 19 of 30; where it is lowest, Labor wins 13 of 30.

Canberra: 1.3% Fenner: 2.8% Banks: 5.7% Barton: 5.4% Bennelong: 2.2% Berowra: 2.5% Blaxland: 9.4% Bradfield: 1.3% Calare: 8.6% Chifley: 14.5% Cook: 3.5% Cowper: 5.0% Cunningham: 5.6% Dobell: 6.9% Eden-Monaro: 6.0% Farrer: 7.4% Fowler: 12.8% Gilmore: 4.8% Grayndler: 2.7% Greenway: 6.8% Hughes: 5.7% Hume: 8.5% Hunter: 10.9% Kingsford Smith: 4.1% Lindsay: 11.2% Lyne: 6.7% Macarthur: 10.8% Mackellar: 3.1% Macquarie: 6.1% Mitchell: 2.8% New England: 8.1% Newcastle: 4.7% Page: 6.0% Parkes: 9.6% Parramatta: 6.1% Reid: 3.3% Richmond: 4.3% Robertson: 4.4% Shortland: 6.2% Sydney: 1.9% Whitlam: 7.7% Warringah: 1.4% Wentworth: 1.2% Werriwa: 11.6% Bowman: 6.2% Brisbane: 2.5% Capricornia: 12.6% Dawson: 10.4% Fadden: 6.2% Fairfax: 4.8% Fisher: 5.1% Forde: 9.6% Griffith: 2.7% Groom: 6.2% Herbert: 7.5% Hinkler: 7.0% Kennedy: 9.8% Leichhardt: 5.6% Lilley: 4.7% Maranoa: 8.6% McPherson: 3.8% Moncrieff: 4.6% Moreton: 5.3% Oxley: 9.0% Petrie: 7.0% Rankin: 11.2% Ryan: 2.4% Wide Bay: 6.8% Adelaide: 4.4% Barker: 7.6% Boothby: 3.1% Grey: 9.6% Hindmarsh: 5.7% Kingston: 5.7% Makin: 7.2% Mayo: 4.5% Sturt: 3.6% Bass: 7.4% Braddon: 8.9% Franklin: 3.9% Lyons: 8.2% Aston: 5.4% Ballarat: 5.6% Bendigo: 5.9% Bruce: 8.6% Calwell: 11.1% Casey: 5.1% Chisholm: 2.6% Corio: 6.9% Deakin: 3.6% Dunkley: 6.0% Flinders: 3.7% Gellibrand: 7.8% Gippsland: 6.8% Goldstein: 1.8% Holt: 11.5% Hotham: 5.9% Indi: 6.8% Isaacs: 7.1% Jagajaga: 2.9% Kooyong: 1.3% Lalor: 12.6% La Trobe: 8.2% Mallee: 7.1% Maribyrnong: 3.9% McEwen: 6.3% Melbourne: 2.0% Menzies: 2.7% Scullin: 9.3% Wannon: 6.5% Wills: 3.2% Brand: 10.4% Canning: 10.9% Cowan: 7.8% Curtin: 2.4% Forrest: 8.8% Fremantle: 5.7% Moore: 3.8% O'Connor: 11.6% Pearce: 7.5% Perth: 4.0% Swan: 7.0% Tangney: 4.4% Paterson: 8.9% Riverina: 6.3% Watson: 8.6% Dickson: 5.4% Longman: 8.4% Blair: 9.3% Hasluck: 9.2% Lingiari: 5.5% Solomon: 4.9% Gorton: 10.4% Bonner: 4.8% Flynn: 13.4% Durack: 11.5% McMahon: 11.9% Wright: 8.3% Burt: 11.4% Bean: 3.0% Clark: 4.0% Cooper: 3.7% Fraser: 8.6% Macnamara: 2.0% Monash: 6.3% Nicholls: 7.1% Spence: 10.7% Hawke: 10.6% Corangamite: 4.5% Bullwinkel: 8.8%
  • 1.2% – 3.7% (29)
  • 3.7% – 5.6% (30)
  • 5.6% – 7.0% (30)
  • 7.0% – 9.0% (30)
  • 9.0% – 14.5% (31)
One hexagon per division, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

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Highest: the top 15

#DivisionMachinery operators and driversProjected
1 Chifley 14.5%Labor
2 Flynn 13.4%One Nation
3 Fowler 12.8%Independent
4 Capricornia 12.6%One Nation
5 Lalor 12.6%Labor
6 McMahon 11.9%One Nation
7 O'Connor 11.6%One Nation
8 Werriwa 11.6%Labor
9 Holt 11.5%One Nation
10 Durack 11.5%One Nation
11 Burt 11.4%One Nation
12 Lindsay 11.2%One Nation
13 Rankin 11.2%Labor
14 Calwell 11.1%Labor
15 Hunter 10.9%One Nation

Lowest: the bottom 15

#DivisionMachinery operators and driversProjected
150 Wentworth 1.2%Independent
149 Canberra 1.3%Labor
148 Bradfield 1.3%Independent
147 Kooyong 1.3%Independent
146 Warringah 1.4%Independent
145 Goldstein 1.8%Independent
144 Sydney 1.9%Labor
143 Macnamara 2.0%Greens
142 Melbourne 2.0%Greens
141 Bennelong 2.2%Labor
140 Curtin 2.4%Independent
139 Ryan 2.4%Greens
138 Berowra 2.5%Coalition
137 Brisbane 2.5%Labor
136 Chisholm 2.6%Labor
Every division (150), highest first
#DivisionRegionMachinery operators and driversProjected
1 Chifley New South Wales14.5%Labor
2 Flynn Queensland13.4%One Nation
3 Fowler New South Wales12.8%Independent
4 Capricornia Queensland12.6%One Nation
5 Lalor Victoria12.6%Labor
6 McMahon New South Wales11.9%One Nation
7 O'Connor Western Australia11.6%One Nation
8 Werriwa New South Wales11.6%Labor
9 Holt Victoria11.5%One Nation
10 Durack Western Australia11.5%One Nation
11 Burt Western Australia11.4%One Nation
12 Lindsay New South Wales11.2%One Nation
13 Rankin Queensland11.2%Labor
14 Calwell Victoria11.1%Labor
15 Hunter New South Wales10.9%One Nation
16 Canning Western Australia10.9%One Nation
17 Macarthur New South Wales10.8%Labor
18 Spence South Australia10.7%One Nation
19 Hawke Victoria10.6%One Nation
20 Dawson Queensland10.4%One Nation
21 Gorton Victoria10.4%Labor
22 Brand Western Australia10.4%One Nation
23 Kennedy Queensland9.8%One Nation
24 Forde Queensland9.6%One Nation
25 Parkes New South Wales9.6%One Nation
26 Grey South Australia9.6%One Nation
27 Blaxland New South Wales9.4%Labor
28 Scullin Victoria9.3%Labor
29 Blair Queensland9.3%One Nation
30 Hasluck Western Australia9.2%Labor
31 Oxley Queensland9.0%Labor
32 Paterson New South Wales8.9%One Nation
33 Braddon Tasmania8.9%One Nation
34 Forrest Western Australia8.8%One Nation
35 Bullwinkel Western Australia8.8%One Nation
36 Watson New South Wales8.6%Labor
37 Bruce Victoria8.6%One Nation
38 Fraser Victoria8.6%Labor
39 Calare New South Wales8.6%One Nation
40 Maranoa Queensland8.6%One Nation
41 Hume New South Wales8.5%Coalition
42 Longman Queensland8.4%One Nation
43 Wright Queensland8.3%One Nation
44 Lyons Tasmania8.2%Labor
45 La Trobe Victoria8.2%One Nation
46 New England New South Wales8.1%One Nation
47 Gellibrand Victoria7.8%Labor
48 Cowan Western Australia7.8%Labor
49 Whitlam New South Wales7.7%One Nation
50 Barker South Australia7.6%Coalition
51 Herbert Queensland7.5%Coalition
52 Pearce Western Australia7.5%One Nation
53 Farrer New South Wales7.4%One Nation
54 Bass Tasmania7.4%Labor
55 Makin South Australia7.2%Labor
56 Isaacs Victoria7.1%Labor
57 Nicholls Victoria7.1%One Nation
58 Mallee Victoria7.1%One Nation
59 Hinkler Queensland7.0%One Nation
60 Swan Western Australia7.0%Labor
61 Petrie Queensland7.0%One Nation
62 Corio Victoria6.9%One Nation
63 Dobell New South Wales6.9%One Nation
64 Gippsland Victoria6.8%One Nation
65 Greenway New South Wales6.8%Labor
66 Indi Victoria6.8%Independent
67 Wide Bay Queensland6.8%One Nation
68 Lyne New South Wales6.7%One Nation
69 Wannon Victoria6.5%Coalition
70 Riverina New South Wales6.3%One Nation
71 McEwen Victoria6.3%One Nation
72 Monash Victoria6.3%One Nation
73 Fadden Queensland6.2%One Nation
74 Groom Queensland6.2%One Nation
75 Bowman Queensland6.2%One Nation
76 Shortland New South Wales6.2%One Nation
77 Macquarie New South Wales6.1%One Nation
78 Parramatta New South Wales6.1%Labor
79 Eden-Monaro New South Wales6.0%One Nation
80 Dunkley Victoria6.0%One Nation
81 Page New South Wales6.0%Coalition
82 Bendigo Victoria5.9%One Nation
83 Hotham Victoria5.9%Labor
84 Hindmarsh South Australia5.7%Labor
85 Banks New South Wales5.7%Coalition
86 Hughes New South Wales5.7%One Nation
87 Kingston South Australia5.7%Labor
88 Fremantle Western Australia5.7%Labor
89 Cunningham New South Wales5.6%Labor
90 Ballarat Victoria5.6%One Nation
91 Leichhardt Queensland5.6%One Nation
92 Lingiari Northern Territory5.5%One Nation
93 Dickson Queensland5.4%One Nation
94 Aston Victoria5.4%Coalition
95 Barton New South Wales5.4%Labor
96 Moreton Queensland5.3%Labor
97 Casey Victoria5.1%Coalition
98 Fisher Queensland5.1%Coalition
99 Cowper New South Wales5.0%One Nation
100 Solomon Northern Territory4.9%One Nation
101 Gilmore New South Wales4.8%One Nation
102 Bonner Queensland4.8%Labor
103 Fairfax Queensland4.8%One Nation
104 Lilley Queensland4.7%Labor
105 Newcastle New South Wales4.7%Labor
106 Moncrieff Queensland4.6%Coalition
107 Mayo South Australia4.5%Centre Alliance
108 Corangamite Victoria4.5%Labor
109 Tangney Western Australia4.4%Labor
110 Robertson New South Wales4.4%One Nation
111 Adelaide South Australia4.4%Labor
112 Richmond New South Wales4.3%Greens
113 Kingsford Smith New South Wales4.1%Labor
114 Clark Tasmania4.0%Independent
115 Perth Western Australia4.0%Labor
116 Maribyrnong Victoria3.9%Labor
117 Franklin Tasmania3.9%Labor
118 McPherson Queensland3.8%One Nation
119 Moore Western Australia3.8%One Nation
120 Cooper Victoria3.7%Labor
121 Flinders Victoria3.7%Coalition
122 Sturt South Australia3.6%Labor
123 Deakin Victoria3.6%Coalition
124 Cook New South Wales3.5%Coalition
125 Reid New South Wales3.3%Labor
126 Wills Victoria3.2%Greens
127 Boothby South Australia3.1%Labor
128 Mackellar New South Wales3.1%Independent
129 Bean Australian Capital Territory3.0%Labor
130 Jagajaga Victoria2.9%Labor
131 Mitchell New South Wales2.8%Coalition
132 Fenner Australian Capital Territory2.8%Labor
133 Griffith Queensland2.7%Labor
134 Menzies Victoria2.7%Coalition
135 Grayndler New South Wales2.7%Labor
136 Chisholm Victoria2.6%Labor
137 Brisbane Queensland2.5%Labor
138 Berowra New South Wales2.5%Coalition
139 Ryan Queensland2.4%Greens
140 Curtin Western Australia2.4%Independent
141 Bennelong New South Wales2.2%Labor
142 Melbourne Victoria2.0%Greens
143 Macnamara Victoria2.0%Greens
144 Sydney New South Wales1.9%Labor
145 Goldstein Victoria1.8%Independent
146 Warringah New South Wales1.4%Independent
147 Kooyong Victoria1.3%Independent
148 Bradfield New South Wales1.3%Independent
149 Canberra Australian Capital Territory1.3%Labor
150 Wentworth New South Wales1.2%Independent