Australia Next federal electionby 20 May 2028in 558 days Hung parliament 96% Labor majority under 1% Calendar Track record Research
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Census map · Australia

Catholic by division

Catholic in every division in Australia: highest in Maribyrnong (34.5%), lowest in Mayo (9.4%); the middle division is at 19.5%. Of the fifth of divisions where it is highest, our forecast has Labor winning 14 of 30; where it is lowest, One Nation wins 16 of 30.

Canberra: 16.1% Fenner: 19.0% Banks: 23.8% Barton: 19.6% Bennelong: 23.8% Berowra: 20.0% Blaxland: 18.8% Bradfield: 18.1% Calare: 25.4% Chifley: 26.5% Cook: 27.0% Cowper: 18.6% Cunningham: 22.6% Dobell: 22.5% Eden-Monaro: 21.2% Farrer: 25.4% Fowler: 26.5% Gilmore: 18.9% Grayndler: 22.3% Greenway: 22.9% Hughes: 25.3% Hume: 31.1% Hunter: 17.8% Kingsford Smith: 27.3% Lindsay: 27.5% Lyne: 17.9% Macarthur: 25.2% Mackellar: 22.7% Macquarie: 21.8% Mitchell: 24.8% New England: 20.0% Newcastle: 18.9% Page: 17.7% Parkes: 24.2% Parramatta: 17.8% Reid: 24.8% Richmond: 17.8% Robertson: 20.9% Shortland: 19.5% Sydney: 15.7% Whitlam: 23.2% Warringah: 22.2% Wentworth: 19.0% Werriwa: 27.1% Bowman: 18.6% Brisbane: 22.7% Capricornia: 22.1% Dawson: 23.0% Fadden: 17.1% Fairfax: 15.5% Fisher: 16.1% Forde: 15.1% Griffith: 21.4% Groom: 20.2% Herbert: 22.7% Hinkler: 15.9% Kennedy: 22.6% Leichhardt: 17.5% Lilley: 25.0% Maranoa: 20.3% McPherson: 19.2% Moncrieff: 19.5% Moreton: 16.4% Oxley: 17.6% Petrie: 19.4% Rankin: 14.7% Ryan: 19.9% Wide Bay: 14.0% Adelaide: 17.2% Barker: 11.1% Boothby: 16.0% Grey: 13.5% Hindmarsh: 23.5% Kingston: 12.4% Makin: 15.8% Mayo: 9.4% Sturt: 22.7% Bass: 11.2% Braddon: 11.8% Franklin: 13.9% Lyons: 13.2% Aston: 18.7% Ballarat: 20.8% Bendigo: 17.7% Bruce: 20.9% Calwell: 26.8% Casey: 15.2% Chisholm: 17.2% Corio: 23.2% Deakin: 17.6% Dunkley: 18.3% Flinders: 18.4% Gellibrand: 20.3% Gippsland: 17.1% Goldstein: 19.8% Holt: 18.6% Hotham: 19.1% Indi: 19.5% Isaacs: 21.3% Jagajaga: 24.1% Kooyong: 19.0% Lalor: 19.5% La Trobe: 18.4% Mallee: 17.6% Maribyrnong: 34.5% McEwen: 23.2% Melbourne: 13.1% Menzies: 18.1% Scullin: 25.3% Wannon: 20.5% Wills: 21.9% Brand: 15.8% Canning: 15.0% Cowan: 22.7% Curtin: 19.6% Forrest: 16.1% Fremantle: 24.9% Moore: 21.6% O'Connor: 13.1% Pearce: 17.1% Perth: 21.9% Swan: 19.2% Tangney: 20.7% Paterson: 21.1% Riverina: 26.7% Watson: 19.7% Dickson: 19.7% Longman: 15.5% Blair: 16.0% Hasluck: 21.3% Lingiari: 14.7% Solomon: 18.9% Gorton: 31.8% Bonner: 21.0% Flynn: 17.2% Durack: 17.8% McMahon: 32.6% Wright: 16.0% Burt: 15.9% Bean: 22.4% Clark: 13.6% Cooper: 20.9% Fraser: 22.6% Macnamara: 15.1% Monash: 16.4% Nicholls: 23.0% Spence: 13.0% Hawke: 25.8% Corangamite: 20.8% Bullwinkel: 16.7%
  • 9.4% – 16.1% (29)
  • 16.1% – 18.6% (30)
  • 18.6% – 20.8% (30)
  • 20.8% – 23.0% (30)
  • 23.0% – 34.5% (31)
One hexagon per division, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#DivisionCatholicProjected
1 Maribyrnong 34.5%Labor
2 McMahon 32.6%One Nation
3 Gorton 31.8%Labor
4 Hume 31.1%Coalition
5 Lindsay 27.5%One Nation
6 Kingsford Smith 27.3%Labor
7 Werriwa 27.1%Labor
8 Cook 27.0%Coalition
9 Calwell 26.8%Labor
10 Riverina 26.7%One Nation
11 Chifley 26.5%Labor
12 Fowler 26.5%Independent
13 Hawke 25.8%One Nation
14 Calare 25.4%One Nation
15 Farrer 25.4%One Nation

Lowest: the bottom 15

#DivisionCatholicProjected
150 Mayo 9.4%Centre Alliance
149 Barker 11.1%Coalition
148 Bass 11.2%Labor
147 Braddon 11.8%One Nation
146 Kingston 12.4%Labor
145 Spence 13.0%One Nation
144 O'Connor 13.1%One Nation
143 Melbourne 13.1%Greens
142 Lyons 13.2%Labor
141 Grey 13.5%One Nation
140 Clark 13.6%Independent
139 Franklin 13.9%Labor
138 Wide Bay 14.0%One Nation
137 Rankin 14.7%Labor
136 Lingiari 14.7%One Nation
Every division (150), highest first
#DivisionRegionCatholicProjected
1 Maribyrnong Victoria34.5%Labor
2 McMahon New South Wales32.6%One Nation
3 Gorton Victoria31.8%Labor
4 Hume New South Wales31.1%Coalition
5 Lindsay New South Wales27.5%One Nation
6 Kingsford Smith New South Wales27.3%Labor
7 Werriwa New South Wales27.1%Labor
8 Cook New South Wales27.0%Coalition
9 Calwell Victoria26.8%Labor
10 Riverina New South Wales26.7%One Nation
11 Chifley New South Wales26.5%Labor
12 Fowler New South Wales26.5%Independent
13 Hawke Victoria25.8%One Nation
14 Calare New South Wales25.4%One Nation
15 Farrer New South Wales25.4%One Nation
16 Hughes New South Wales25.3%One Nation
17 Scullin Victoria25.3%Labor
18 Macarthur New South Wales25.2%Labor
19 Lilley Queensland25.0%Labor
20 Fremantle Western Australia24.9%Labor
21 Mitchell New South Wales24.8%Coalition
22 Reid New South Wales24.8%Labor
23 Parkes New South Wales24.2%One Nation
24 Jagajaga Victoria24.1%Labor
25 Banks New South Wales23.8%Coalition
26 Bennelong New South Wales23.8%Labor
27 Hindmarsh South Australia23.5%Labor
28 Corio Victoria23.2%One Nation
29 Whitlam New South Wales23.2%One Nation
30 McEwen Victoria23.2%One Nation
31 Dawson Queensland23.0%One Nation
32 Nicholls Victoria23.0%One Nation
33 Greenway New South Wales22.9%Labor
34 Mackellar New South Wales22.7%Independent
35 Herbert Queensland22.7%Coalition
36 Sturt South Australia22.7%Labor
37 Cowan Western Australia22.7%Labor
38 Brisbane Queensland22.7%Labor
39 Fraser Victoria22.6%Labor
40 Cunningham New South Wales22.6%Labor
41 Kennedy Queensland22.6%One Nation
42 Dobell New South Wales22.5%One Nation
43 Bean Australian Capital Territory22.4%Labor
44 Grayndler New South Wales22.3%Labor
45 Warringah New South Wales22.2%Independent
46 Capricornia Queensland22.1%One Nation
47 Perth Western Australia21.9%Labor
48 Wills Victoria21.9%Greens
49 Macquarie New South Wales21.8%One Nation
50 Moore Western Australia21.6%One Nation
51 Griffith Queensland21.4%Labor
52 Isaacs Victoria21.3%Labor
53 Hasluck Western Australia21.3%Labor
54 Eden-Monaro New South Wales21.2%One Nation
55 Paterson New South Wales21.1%One Nation
56 Bonner Queensland21.0%Labor
57 Bruce Victoria20.9%One Nation
58 Robertson New South Wales20.9%One Nation
59 Cooper Victoria20.9%Labor
60 Corangamite Victoria20.8%Labor
61 Ballarat Victoria20.8%One Nation
62 Tangney Western Australia20.7%Labor
63 Wannon Victoria20.5%Coalition
64 Maranoa Queensland20.3%One Nation
65 Gellibrand Victoria20.3%Labor
66 Groom Queensland20.2%One Nation
67 New England New South Wales20.0%One Nation
68 Berowra New South Wales20.0%Coalition
69 Ryan Queensland19.9%Greens
70 Goldstein Victoria19.8%Independent
71 Dickson Queensland19.7%One Nation
72 Watson New South Wales19.7%Labor
73 Curtin Western Australia19.6%Independent
74 Barton New South Wales19.6%Labor
75 Shortland New South Wales19.5%One Nation
76 Lalor Victoria19.5%Labor
77 Indi Victoria19.5%Independent
78 Moncrieff Queensland19.5%Coalition
79 Petrie Queensland19.4%One Nation
80 McPherson Queensland19.2%One Nation
81 Swan Western Australia19.2%Labor
82 Hotham Victoria19.1%Labor
83 Fenner Australian Capital Territory19.0%Labor
84 Wentworth New South Wales19.0%Independent
85 Kooyong Victoria19.0%Independent
86 Solomon Northern Territory18.9%One Nation
87 Gilmore New South Wales18.9%One Nation
88 Newcastle New South Wales18.9%Labor
89 Blaxland New South Wales18.8%Labor
90 Aston Victoria18.7%Coalition
91 Cowper New South Wales18.6%One Nation
92 Holt Victoria18.6%One Nation
93 Bowman Queensland18.6%One Nation
94 Flinders Victoria18.4%Coalition
95 La Trobe Victoria18.4%One Nation
96 Dunkley Victoria18.3%One Nation
97 Menzies Victoria18.1%Coalition
98 Bradfield New South Wales18.1%Independent
99 Lyne New South Wales17.9%One Nation
100 Parramatta New South Wales17.8%Labor
101 Durack Western Australia17.8%One Nation
102 Hunter New South Wales17.8%One Nation
103 Richmond New South Wales17.8%Greens
104 Bendigo Victoria17.7%One Nation
105 Page New South Wales17.7%Coalition
106 Oxley Queensland17.6%Labor
107 Mallee Victoria17.6%One Nation
108 Deakin Victoria17.6%Coalition
109 Leichhardt Queensland17.5%One Nation
110 Adelaide South Australia17.2%Labor
111 Flynn Queensland17.2%One Nation
112 Chisholm Victoria17.2%Labor
113 Fadden Queensland17.1%One Nation
114 Pearce Western Australia17.1%One Nation
115 Gippsland Victoria17.1%One Nation
116 Bullwinkel Western Australia16.7%One Nation
117 Moreton Queensland16.4%Labor
118 Monash Victoria16.4%One Nation
119 Canberra Australian Capital Territory16.1%Labor
120 Fisher Queensland16.1%Coalition
121 Forrest Western Australia16.1%One Nation
122 Blair Queensland16.0%One Nation
123 Wright Queensland16.0%One Nation
124 Boothby South Australia16.0%Labor
125 Burt Western Australia15.9%One Nation
126 Hinkler Queensland15.9%One Nation
127 Brand Western Australia15.8%One Nation
128 Makin South Australia15.8%Labor
129 Sydney New South Wales15.7%Labor
130 Fairfax Queensland15.5%One Nation
131 Longman Queensland15.5%One Nation
132 Casey Victoria15.2%Coalition
133 Macnamara Victoria15.1%Greens
134 Forde Queensland15.1%One Nation
135 Canning Western Australia15.0%One Nation
136 Lingiari Northern Territory14.7%One Nation
137 Rankin Queensland14.7%Labor
138 Wide Bay Queensland14.0%One Nation
139 Franklin Tasmania13.9%Labor
140 Clark Tasmania13.6%Independent
141 Grey South Australia13.5%One Nation
142 Lyons Tasmania13.2%Labor
143 Melbourne Victoria13.1%Greens
144 O'Connor Western Australia13.1%One Nation
145 Spence South Australia13.0%One Nation
146 Kingston South Australia12.4%Labor
147 Braddon Tasmania11.8%One Nation
148 Bass Tasmania11.2%Labor
149 Barker South Australia11.1%Coalition
150 Mayo South Australia9.4%Centre Alliance