Polls · Next federal election
Roy Morgan Research, 8 November 2026
Roy Morgan Research has Labor ahead of One Nation by 1 points, 25.5% to 24.5%. Since its previous poll (25 October 2026): One Nation +2 (22.5 → 24.5), Coalition −1.5 (23.5 → 22).
| Fieldwork | 26 October 2026 – 8 November 2026 |
|---|---|
| Sample | 2,574 |
| Method | Online |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes: it is this pollster's latest |
Primary votes as published. For our average we fold independents and minor parties into others, leave out any undecided and rescale to 100; on 2025 preference flows these primaries give Labor 52.1% of the two-party-preferred.
Primary vote
| % | |
|---|---|
 Labor |
25.5 |
 One Nation |
24.5 |
 Coalition |
22 |
 Greens |
15 |
| Others | 13 |
2PP: ALP v Coalition
| % | |
|---|---|
| Labor |
51 |
| Coalition |
49 |
2PP: ALP v One Nation
| % | |
|---|---|
| Labor |
54 |
| One Nation |
46 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 4 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: One Nation 24.5% against 27.5%; Greens 15% against 13%.