Polls · Next federal election
Roy Morgan Research, 25 October 2026
Roy Morgan Research has Labor ahead of Coalition by 2.5 points, 26% to 23.5%. Since its previous poll (11 October 2026): Coalition +2 (21.5 → 23.5), One Nation −1.5 (24 → 22.5).
| Fieldwork | 12 October 2026 – 25 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Sample | 2,711 |
| Method | online |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes: it is this pollster's latest |
Read from Roy Morgan's release by the site's poll check; headline 2PP respondent-allocated; a fortnightly release (two weeks' interviewing combined)
Primary votes as published. For our average we fold independents and minor parties into others, leave out any undecided and rescale to 100; on 2025 preference flows these primaries give Labor 52.3% of the two-party-preferred.
Primary vote
| % | |
|---|---|
 Labor |
26 |
 Coalition |
23.5 |
 One Nation |
22.5 |
 Greens |
15.5 |
| Others | 12.5 |
2PP: ALP v Coalition
| % | |
|---|---|
| Labor |
52.5 |
| Coalition |
47.5 |
2PP on 2025 flows: ALP v Coalition
| % | |
|---|---|
| Labor |
53 |
| Coalition |
47 |
2PP: ALP v One Nation
| % | |
|---|---|
| Labor |
55 |
| One Nation |
45 |