Polls · Next federal election
Roy Morgan Research, 11 October 2026
Roy Morgan Research has Labor ahead of One Nation by 2 points, 26% to 24%. Since its previous poll (27 September 2026): One Nation −1.5 (25.5 → 24), Coalition −1 (22.5 → 21.5).
| Fieldwork | 28 September 2026 – 11 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Sample | 2,655 |
| Method | online |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes: it is this pollster's latest |
Read from Roy Morgan's release by the site's poll check; headline 2PP respondent-allocated; a fortnightly release (two weeks' interviewing combined)
Primary votes as published. For our average we fold independents and minor parties into others, leave out any undecided and rescale to 100; on 2025 preference flows these primaries give Labor 52.8% of the two-party-preferred.
Primary vote
| % | |
|---|---|
 Labor |
26 |
 One Nation |
24 |
 Coalition |
21.5 |
 Greens |
15 |
| Others | 13.5 |
2PP: ALP v Coalition
| % | |
|---|---|
| Labor |
53 |
| Coalition |
47 |
2PP on 2025 flows: ALP v Coalition
| % | |
|---|---|
| Labor |
53.5 |
| Coalition |
46.5 |
2PP: ALP v One Nation
| % | |
|---|---|
| Labor |
54.5 |
| One Nation |
45.5 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 3 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: One Nation 24% against 28%; Labor 26% against 29%.