Australia Next federal electionby 20 May 2028in 565 days Hung parliament 97% Labor majority 1% Calendar Track record Research
Closest
Australia · Battleground

Australia's battleground: Fisher is the closest

Each of the 150 divisions is won after preferences: the final two count decides the seat. Below, the closest on today's polls, from our projection; it moves with every poll.

The closest divisions

  1. FisherQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 37%, Coalition next gain from LNP
  2. MacnamaraVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 41%, Greens next hold
  3. HughesNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 46%, Labor next gain from Labor
  4. GilmoreNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 47%, Labor next gain from Labor
  5. HumeNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 48%, Coalition next gain from LIB
  6. DicksonQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 50%, Labor next gain from Labor
  7. BanksNSW Coalition 50%, Labor next gain from Labor
  8. AstonVIC Labor 51%, Coalition next hold
  9. CowperNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest Independents 51%, One Nation next gain from NAT
  10. FarrerNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 52%, Coalition next gain from LIB
  11. BruceVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 52%, Labor next gain from Labor
  12. RobertsonNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 52%, One Nation next hold
  13. BeanACT · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 52%, Independents next hold
  14. McPhersonQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 53%, Coalition next gain from LNP
  15. BallaratVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 54%, Labor next gain from Labor
  16. GriffithQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 54%, Greens next hold
  17. DeakinVIC Coalition 55%, Labor next gain from Labor
  18. SolomonNT · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 56%, Coalition next gain from Labor
  19. New EnglandNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 57%, Coalition next gain from NAT
  20. SturtSA Labor 57%, One Nation next hold
  21. BarkerSA · not a Labor v Coalition contest Coalition 57%, One Nation next gain from LIB
  22. MakinSA · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 60%, One Nation next hold
  23. WannonVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest Coalition 60%, Independents next gain from LIB
  24. GoldsteinVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest Independents 61%, Coalition next gain from LIB
  25. Eden-MonaroNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 61%, Labor next gain from Labor
  26. BrisbaneQLD Labor 61%, Greens next hold
  27. LyonsTAS · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 64%, One Nation next hold
  28. CorioVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 64%, Labor next gain from Labor
  29. MooreWA · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 65%, Coalition next gain from Labor
  30. BendigoVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 65%, Coalition next gain from Labor
  31. RichmondNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest Greens 65%, Labor next gain from Labor
  32. MacarthurNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 66%, One Nation next hold
  33. GortonVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 66%, One Nation next hold
  34. MoncrieffQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest Coalition 66%, One Nation next gain from LNP
  35. DunkleyVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 66%, Labor next gain from Labor
  36. LindsayNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 66%, Coalition next gain from LIB
  37. BurtWA · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 67%, Labor next gain from Labor
  38. BassTAS · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 67%, One Nation next hold
  39. KennedyQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 67%, KAP next gain from KAP
  40. HoltVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 69%, Labor next gain from Labor
  41. ScullinVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 69%, One Nation next hold
  42. BonnerQLD Labor 70%, One Nation next hold
  43. RyanQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest Greens 71%, Labor next hold
  44. McEwenVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 72%, Labor next gain from Labor
  45. La TrobeVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 72%, Coalition next gain from LIB
  46. LalorVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 72%, One Nation next hold
  47. BraddonTAS · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 73%, Labor next gain from Labor
  48. McMahonNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 73%, Labor next gain from Labor
  49. FlindersVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest Coalition 73%, Independents next gain from LIB
  50. MenziesVIC Coalition 76%, Labor next gain from Labor
  51. KooyongVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest Independents 76%, Coalition next hold
  52. FranklinTAS · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 77%, Independents next hold
  53. WhitlamNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 77%, Labor next gain from Labor
  54. WerriwaNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 77%, One Nation next hold
  55. ChisholmVIC Labor 77%, Coalition next hold
  56. CurtinWA · not a Labor v Coalition contest Independents 77%, Coalition next hold
  57. MalleeVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 78%, Coalition next gain from NAT
  58. BowmanQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 78%, Coalition next gain from LNP
  59. PetrieQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 79%, Coalition next gain from Labor
  60. FremantleWA · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 80%, Independents next hold

Gains among the closest

Where the close ones are

Every seat → · The map → · What if the polls are wrong? →