Australia · Battleground
Australia's battleground: Fisher is the closest
Each of the 150 divisions is won after preferences: the final two count decides the seat. Below, the closest on today's polls, from our projection; it moves with every poll.
- 29with no candidate above 65%
- 38of these change hands since 2025
The closest divisions
- FisherQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 37%, Coalition next gain from LNP
- MacnamaraVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 41%, Greens next hold
- HughesNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 46%, Labor next gain from Labor
- GilmoreNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 47%, Labor next gain from Labor
- HumeNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 48%, Coalition next gain from LIB
- DicksonQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 50%, Labor next gain from Labor
- BanksNSW Coalition 50%, Labor next gain from Labor
- AstonVIC Labor 51%, Coalition next hold
- CowperNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest Independents 51%, One Nation next gain from NAT
- FarrerNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 52%, Coalition next gain from LIB
- BruceVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 52%, Labor next gain from Labor
- RobertsonNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 52%, One Nation next hold
- BeanACT · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 52%, Independents next hold
- McPhersonQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 53%, Coalition next gain from LNP
- BallaratVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 54%, Labor next gain from Labor
- GriffithQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 54%, Greens next hold
- DeakinVIC Coalition 55%, Labor next gain from Labor
- SolomonNT · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 56%, Coalition next gain from Labor
- New EnglandNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 57%, Coalition next gain from NAT
- SturtSA Labor 57%, One Nation next hold
- BarkerSA · not a Labor v Coalition contest Coalition 57%, One Nation next gain from LIB
- MakinSA · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 60%, One Nation next hold
- WannonVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest Coalition 60%, Independents next gain from LIB
- GoldsteinVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest Independents 61%, Coalition next gain from LIB
- Eden-MonaroNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 61%, Labor next gain from Labor
- BrisbaneQLD Labor 61%, Greens next hold
- LyonsTAS · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 64%, One Nation next hold
- CorioVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 64%, Labor next gain from Labor
- MooreWA · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 65%, Coalition next gain from Labor
- BendigoVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 65%, Coalition next gain from Labor
- RichmondNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest Greens 65%, Labor next gain from Labor
- MacarthurNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 66%, One Nation next hold
- GortonVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 66%, One Nation next hold
- MoncrieffQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest Coalition 66%, One Nation next gain from LNP
- DunkleyVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 66%, Labor next gain from Labor
- LindsayNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 66%, Coalition next gain from LIB
- BurtWA · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 67%, Labor next gain from Labor
- BassTAS · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 67%, One Nation next hold
- KennedyQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 67%, KAP next gain from KAP
- HoltVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 69%, Labor next gain from Labor
- ScullinVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 69%, One Nation next hold
- BonnerQLD Labor 70%, One Nation next hold
- RyanQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest Greens 71%, Labor next hold
- McEwenVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 72%, Labor next gain from Labor
- La TrobeVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 72%, Coalition next gain from LIB
- LalorVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 72%, One Nation next hold
- BraddonTAS · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 73%, Labor next gain from Labor
- McMahonNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 73%, Labor next gain from Labor
- FlindersVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest Coalition 73%, Independents next gain from LIB
- MenziesVIC Coalition 76%, Labor next gain from Labor
- KooyongVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest Independents 76%, Coalition next hold
- FranklinTAS · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 77%, Independents next hold
- WhitlamNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 77%, Labor next gain from Labor
- WerriwaNSW · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 77%, One Nation next hold
- ChisholmVIC Labor 77%, Coalition next hold
- CurtinWA · not a Labor v Coalition contest Independents 77%, Coalition next hold
- MalleeVIC · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 78%, Coalition next gain from NAT
- BowmanQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 78%, Coalition next gain from LNP
- PetrieQLD · not a Labor v Coalition contest One Nation 79%, Coalition next gain from Labor
- FremantleWA · not a Labor v Coalition contest Labor 80%, Independents next hold
Nothing matches.
Gains among the closest
- One Nation from Labor 18
- One Nation from LIB 4
- One Nation from LNP 3
- Coalition from Labor 3
- Coalition from LIB 3
- One Nation from NAT 2
- Independents from NAT 1
- Independents from LIB 1
- Greens from Labor 1
- Coalition from LNP 1
- One Nation from KAP 1
Where the close ones are
- NSW9 close seats · Hughes, Gilmore, Hume
- VIC8 close seats · Macnamara, Aston, Bruce
- QLD5 close seats · Fisher, Dickson, McPherson
- SA3 close seats · Sturt, Barker, Makin
- ACT1 close seat · Bean
- NT1 close seat · Solomon
- TAS1 close seat · Lyons
- WA1 close seat · Moore