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Aged 0-17 (15-19 band split 60/40 at 18) by division

Aged 0-17 (15-19 band split 60/40 at 18) in every division in Australia: highest in La Trobe (27.7%), lowest in Melbourne (9.5%); the middle division is at 21.7%. Of the fifth of divisions where it is highest, our forecast has One Nation winning 15 of 30; where it is lowest, Labor wins 17 of 30.

Canberra: 17.9% Fenner: 24.7% Banks: 21.3% Barton: 18.3% Bennelong: 19.8% Berowra: 22.5% Blaxland: 23.4% Bradfield: 23.2% Calare: 23.1% Chifley: 27.3% Cook: 21.3% Cowper: 20.0% Cunningham: 20.6% Dobell: 22.7% Eden-Monaro: 20.5% Farrer: 22.2% Fowler: 21.7% Gilmore: 18.8% Grayndler: 16.9% Greenway: 27.2% Hughes: 24.4% Hume: 27.3% Hunter: 22.5% Kingsford Smith: 18.0% Lindsay: 25.2% Lyne: 19.0% Macarthur: 26.5% Mackellar: 22.2% Macquarie: 22.1% Mitchell: 25.0% New England: 22.8% Newcastle: 19.8% Page: 20.3% Parkes: 23.6% Parramatta: 21.9% Reid: 16.9% Richmond: 19.4% Robertson: 20.4% Shortland: 21.3% Sydney: 11.0% Whitlam: 22.2% Warringah: 19.1% Wentworth: 16.1% Werriwa: 27.2% Bowman: 21.7% Brisbane: 15.7% Capricornia: 23.5% Dawson: 22.1% Fadden: 22.2% Fairfax: 21.0% Fisher: 20.8% Forde: 25.8% Griffith: 18.3% Groom: 24.0% Herbert: 23.7% Hinkler: 19.2% Kennedy: 23.2% Leichhardt: 22.7% Lilley: 20.7% Maranoa: 22.3% McPherson: 21.0% Moncrieff: 16.7% Moreton: 21.3% Oxley: 26.2% Petrie: 23.4% Rankin: 26.9% Ryan: 23.3% Wide Bay: 19.0% Adelaide: 17.9% Barker: 20.4% Boothby: 18.7% Grey: 20.6% Hindmarsh: 18.3% Kingston: 21.1% Makin: 21.4% Mayo: 20.6% Sturt: 19.6% Bass: 20.1% Braddon: 20.1% Franklin: 20.6% Lyons: 20.3% Aston: 20.6% Ballarat: 22.1% Bendigo: 21.3% Bruce: 23.1% Calwell: 27.5% Casey: 22.2% Chisholm: 19.9% Corio: 21.1% Deakin: 21.4% Dunkley: 21.8% Flinders: 19.5% Gellibrand: 26.8% Gippsland: 20.0% Goldstein: 21.4% Holt: 27.7% Hotham: 18.5% Indi: 20.5% Isaacs: 21.6% Jagajaga: 21.4% Kooyong: 18.7% Lalor: 27.3% La Trobe: 27.7% Mallee: 20.4% Maribyrnong: 19.2% McEwen: 27.0% Melbourne: 9.5% Menzies: 19.3% Scullin: 23.0% Wannon: 20.1% Wills: 17.1% Brand: 25.0% Canning: 22.6% Cowan: 22.9% Curtin: 20.9% Forrest: 23.0% Fremantle: 21.6% Moore: 22.5% O'Connor: 21.8% Pearce: 26.3% Perth: 16.0% Swan: 18.5% Tangney: 22.4% Paterson: 22.9% Riverina: 22.8% Watson: 24.4% Dickson: 24.3% Longman: 23.0% Blair: 26.0% Hasluck: 24.6% Lingiari: 25.8% Solomon: 23.8% Gorton: 24.9% Bonner: 23.3% Flynn: 24.3% Durack: 23.9% McMahon: 23.6% Wright: 25.1% Burt: 27.1% Bean: 22.3% Clark: 18.1% Cooper: 17.9% Fraser: 19.0% Macnamara: 13.7% Monash: 20.3% Nicholls: 21.6% Spence: 25.1% Hawke: 25.9% Corangamite: 21.8% Bullwinkel: 21.4%
  • 9.5% – 19.3% (29)
  • 19.3% – 21.1% (30)
  • 21.1% – 22.3% (30)
  • 22.3% – 24.3% (30)
  • 24.3% – 27.7% (31)
One hexagon per division, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#DivisionAged 0-17 (15-19 band split 60/40 at 18)Projected
1 La Trobe 27.7%One Nation
2 Holt 27.7%One Nation
3 Calwell 27.5%Labor
4 Lalor 27.3%Labor
5 Chifley 27.3%Labor
6 Hume 27.3%Coalition
7 Greenway 27.2%Labor
8 Werriwa 27.2%Labor
9 Burt 27.1%One Nation
10 McEwen 27.0%One Nation
11 Rankin 26.9%Labor
12 Gellibrand 26.8%Labor
13 Macarthur 26.5%Labor
14 Pearce 26.3%One Nation
15 Oxley 26.2%Labor

Lowest: the bottom 15

#DivisionAged 0-17 (15-19 band split 60/40 at 18)Projected
150 Melbourne 9.5%Greens
149 Sydney 11.0%Labor
148 Macnamara 13.7%Greens
147 Brisbane 15.7%Labor
146 Perth 16.0%Labor
145 Wentworth 16.1%Independent
144 Moncrieff 16.7%Coalition
143 Grayndler 16.9%Labor
142 Reid 16.9%Labor
141 Wills 17.1%Greens
140 Cooper 17.9%Labor
139 Adelaide 17.9%Labor
138 Canberra 17.9%Labor
137 Kingsford Smith 18.0%Labor
136 Clark 18.1%Independent
Every division (150), highest first
#DivisionRegionAged 0-17 (15-19 band split 60/40 at 18)Projected
1 La Trobe Victoria27.7%One Nation
2 Holt Victoria27.7%One Nation
3 Calwell Victoria27.5%Labor
4 Lalor Victoria27.3%Labor
5 Chifley New South Wales27.3%Labor
6 Hume New South Wales27.3%Coalition
7 Greenway New South Wales27.2%Labor
8 Werriwa New South Wales27.2%Labor
9 Burt Western Australia27.1%One Nation
10 McEwen Victoria27.0%One Nation
11 Rankin Queensland26.9%Labor
12 Gellibrand Victoria26.8%Labor
13 Macarthur New South Wales26.5%Labor
14 Pearce Western Australia26.3%One Nation
15 Oxley Queensland26.2%Labor
16 Blair Queensland26.0%One Nation
17 Hawke Victoria25.9%One Nation
18 Lingiari Northern Territory25.8%One Nation
19 Forde Queensland25.8%One Nation
20 Lindsay New South Wales25.2%One Nation
21 Spence South Australia25.1%One Nation
22 Wright Queensland25.1%One Nation
23 Brand Western Australia25.0%One Nation
24 Mitchell New South Wales25.0%Coalition
25 Gorton Victoria24.9%Labor
26 Fenner Australian Capital Territory24.7%Labor
27 Hasluck Western Australia24.6%Labor
28 Hughes New South Wales24.4%One Nation
29 Watson New South Wales24.4%Labor
30 Flynn Queensland24.3%One Nation
31 Dickson Queensland24.3%One Nation
32 Groom Queensland24.0%One Nation
33 Durack Western Australia23.9%One Nation
34 Solomon Northern Territory23.8%One Nation
35 Herbert Queensland23.7%Coalition
36 McMahon New South Wales23.6%One Nation
37 Parkes New South Wales23.6%One Nation
38 Capricornia Queensland23.5%One Nation
39 Blaxland New South Wales23.4%Labor
40 Petrie Queensland23.4%One Nation
41 Ryan Queensland23.3%Greens
42 Bonner Queensland23.3%Labor
43 Bradfield New South Wales23.2%Independent
44 Kennedy Queensland23.2%One Nation
45 Calare New South Wales23.1%One Nation
46 Bruce Victoria23.1%One Nation
47 Scullin Victoria23.0%Labor
48 Longman Queensland23.0%One Nation
49 Forrest Western Australia23.0%One Nation
50 Cowan Western Australia22.9%Labor
51 Paterson New South Wales22.9%One Nation
52 New England New South Wales22.8%One Nation
53 Riverina New South Wales22.8%One Nation
54 Dobell New South Wales22.7%One Nation
55 Leichhardt Queensland22.7%One Nation
56 Canning Western Australia22.6%One Nation
57 Hunter New South Wales22.5%One Nation
58 Berowra New South Wales22.5%Coalition
59 Moore Western Australia22.5%One Nation
60 Tangney Western Australia22.4%Labor
61 Bean Australian Capital Territory22.3%Labor
62 Maranoa Queensland22.3%One Nation
63 Whitlam New South Wales22.2%One Nation
64 Casey Victoria22.2%Coalition
65 Mackellar New South Wales22.2%Independent
66 Fadden Queensland22.2%One Nation
67 Farrer New South Wales22.2%One Nation
68 Ballarat Victoria22.1%One Nation
69 Dawson Queensland22.1%One Nation
70 Macquarie New South Wales22.1%One Nation
71 Parramatta New South Wales21.9%Labor
72 Corangamite Victoria21.8%Labor
73 O'Connor Western Australia21.8%One Nation
74 Dunkley Victoria21.8%One Nation
75 Fowler New South Wales21.7%Independent
76 Bowman Queensland21.7%One Nation
77 Isaacs Victoria21.6%Labor
78 Fremantle Western Australia21.6%Labor
79 Nicholls Victoria21.6%One Nation
80 Bullwinkel Western Australia21.4%One Nation
81 Jagajaga Victoria21.4%Labor
82 Deakin Victoria21.4%Coalition
83 Goldstein Victoria21.4%Independent
84 Makin South Australia21.4%Labor
85 Banks New South Wales21.3%Coalition
86 Moreton Queensland21.3%Labor
87 Bendigo Victoria21.3%One Nation
88 Shortland New South Wales21.3%One Nation
89 Cook New South Wales21.3%Coalition
90 Kingston South Australia21.1%Labor
91 Corio Victoria21.1%One Nation
92 McPherson Queensland21.0%One Nation
93 Fairfax Queensland21.0%One Nation
94 Curtin Western Australia20.9%Independent
95 Fisher Queensland20.8%Coalition
96 Lilley Queensland20.7%Labor
97 Mayo South Australia20.6%Centre Alliance
98 Franklin Tasmania20.6%Labor
99 Aston Victoria20.6%Coalition
100 Cunningham New South Wales20.6%Labor
101 Grey South Australia20.6%One Nation
102 Eden-Monaro New South Wales20.5%One Nation
103 Indi Victoria20.5%Independent
104 Robertson New South Wales20.4%One Nation
105 Barker South Australia20.4%Coalition
106 Mallee Victoria20.4%One Nation
107 Page New South Wales20.3%Coalition
108 Lyons Tasmania20.3%Labor
109 Monash Victoria20.3%One Nation
110 Wannon Victoria20.1%Coalition
111 Bass Tasmania20.1%Labor
112 Braddon Tasmania20.1%One Nation
113 Gippsland Victoria20.0%One Nation
114 Cowper New South Wales20.0%One Nation
115 Chisholm Victoria19.9%Labor
116 Newcastle New South Wales19.8%Labor
117 Bennelong New South Wales19.8%Labor
118 Sturt South Australia19.6%Labor
119 Flinders Victoria19.5%Coalition
120 Richmond New South Wales19.4%Greens
121 Menzies Victoria19.3%Coalition
122 Hinkler Queensland19.2%One Nation
123 Maribyrnong Victoria19.2%Labor
124 Warringah New South Wales19.1%Independent
125 Wide Bay Queensland19.0%One Nation
126 Fraser Victoria19.0%Labor
127 Lyne New South Wales19.0%One Nation
128 Gilmore New South Wales18.8%One Nation
129 Kooyong Victoria18.7%Independent
130 Boothby South Australia18.7%Labor
131 Hotham Victoria18.5%Labor
132 Swan Western Australia18.5%Labor
133 Hindmarsh South Australia18.3%Labor
134 Barton New South Wales18.3%Labor
135 Griffith Queensland18.3%Labor
136 Clark Tasmania18.1%Independent
137 Kingsford Smith New South Wales18.0%Labor
138 Canberra Australian Capital Territory17.9%Labor
139 Adelaide South Australia17.9%Labor
140 Cooper Victoria17.9%Labor
141 Wills Victoria17.1%Greens
142 Reid New South Wales16.9%Labor
143 Grayndler New South Wales16.9%Labor
144 Moncrieff Queensland16.7%Coalition
145 Wentworth New South Wales16.1%Independent
146 Perth Western Australia16.0%Labor
147 Brisbane Queensland15.7%Labor
148 Macnamara Victoria13.7%Greens
149 Sydney New South Wales11.0%Labor
150 Melbourne Victoria9.5%Greens