Australia Next federal electionby 20 May 2028in 558 days Hung parliament 96% Labor majority under 1% Calendar Track record Research
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Census map · Australia

Labourers by division

Labourers in every division in Australia: highest in Barker (17.1%), lowest in Wentworth (2.5%); the middle division is at 9.7%. Of the fifth of divisions where it is highest, our forecast has One Nation winning 21 of 30; where it is lowest, Labor wins 14 of 30.

Canberra: 4.1% Fenner: 5.7% Banks: 6.7% Barton: 8.9% Bennelong: 4.0% Berowra: 4.8% Blaxland: 12.5% Bradfield: 2.7% Calare: 11.1% Chifley: 10.5% Cook: 4.9% Cowper: 11.4% Cunningham: 8.0% Dobell: 10.6% Eden-Monaro: 9.8% Farrer: 13.9% Fowler: 12.6% Gilmore: 10.3% Grayndler: 4.5% Greenway: 6.0% Hughes: 6.6% Hume: 8.1% Hunter: 11.0% Kingsford Smith: 5.9% Lindsay: 9.3% Lyne: 11.5% Macarthur: 9.7% Mackellar: 5.3% Macquarie: 7.7% Mitchell: 4.4% New England: 14.1% Newcastle: 7.6% Page: 13.7% Parkes: 11.4% Parramatta: 6.5% Reid: 6.5% Richmond: 10.1% Robertson: 8.2% Shortland: 9.1% Sydney: 4.3% Whitlam: 9.8% Warringah: 2.6% Wentworth: 2.5% Werriwa: 9.7% Bowman: 9.1% Brisbane: 5.5% Capricornia: 11.3% Dawson: 11.5% Fadden: 9.7% Fairfax: 9.6% Fisher: 10.0% Forde: 11.6% Griffith: 5.5% Groom: 11.2% Herbert: 9.4% Hinkler: 13.8% Kennedy: 14.4% Leichhardt: 10.2% Lilley: 7.5% Maranoa: 16.1% McPherson: 8.0% Moncrieff: 9.8% Moreton: 8.5% Oxley: 10.5% Petrie: 9.6% Rankin: 12.3% Ryan: 5.0% Wide Bay: 12.5% Adelaide: 8.4% Barker: 17.1% Boothby: 6.9% Grey: 13.3% Hindmarsh: 8.7% Kingston: 9.9% Makin: 10.4% Mayo: 10.0% Sturt: 7.0% Bass: 11.7% Braddon: 14.4% Franklin: 8.9% Lyons: 13.2% Aston: 7.9% Ballarat: 10.0% Bendigo: 11.4% Bruce: 10.8% Calwell: 11.3% Casey: 9.0% Chisholm: 5.3% Corio: 10.2% Deakin: 6.8% Dunkley: 9.1% Flinders: 8.8% Gellibrand: 7.1% Gippsland: 12.2% Goldstein: 3.9% Holt: 12.6% Hotham: 9.4% Indi: 11.9% Isaacs: 10.5% Jagajaga: 5.3% Kooyong: 3.4% Lalor: 10.3% La Trobe: 10.0% Mallee: 14.8% Maribyrnong: 6.2% McEwen: 7.9% Melbourne: 4.9% Menzies: 5.6% Scullin: 10.9% Wannon: 14.2% Wills: 5.6% Brand: 11.3% Canning: 10.6% Cowan: 11.4% Curtin: 5.0% Forrest: 13.1% Fremantle: 7.8% Moore: 6.4% O'Connor: 12.9% Pearce: 9.8% Perth: 6.7% Swan: 9.0% Tangney: 6.5% Paterson: 11.1% Riverina: 11.8% Watson: 10.7% Dickson: 7.7% Longman: 13.4% Blair: 11.9% Hasluck: 9.8% Lingiari: 9.6% Solomon: 7.6% Gorton: 10.2% Bonner: 7.5% Flynn: 13.8% Durack: 11.6% McMahon: 10.1% Wright: 12.3% Burt: 11.7% Bean: 5.2% Clark: 8.8% Cooper: 6.3% Fraser: 10.7% Macnamara: 4.0% Monash: 12.2% Nicholls: 14.6% Spence: 15.4% Hawke: 9.8% Corangamite: 8.1% Bullwinkel: 8.6%
  • 2.5% – 6.4% (29)
  • 6.4% – 8.8% (30)
  • 8.8% – 10.2% (30)
  • 10.2% – 11.7% (30)
  • 11.7% – 17.1% (31)
One hexagon per division, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#DivisionLabourersProjected
1 Barker 17.1%Coalition
2 Maranoa 16.1%One Nation
3 Spence 15.4%One Nation
4 Mallee 14.8%One Nation
5 Nicholls 14.6%One Nation
6 Braddon 14.4%One Nation
7 Kennedy 14.4%One Nation
8 Wannon 14.2%Coalition
9 New England 14.1%One Nation
10 Farrer 13.9%One Nation
11 Flynn 13.8%One Nation
12 Hinkler 13.8%One Nation
13 Page 13.7%Coalition
14 Longman 13.4%One Nation
15 Grey 13.3%One Nation

Lowest: the bottom 15

#DivisionLabourersProjected
150 Wentworth 2.5%Independent
149 Warringah 2.6%Independent
148 Bradfield 2.7%Independent
147 Kooyong 3.4%Independent
146 Goldstein 3.9%Independent
145 Bennelong 4.0%Labor
144 Macnamara 4.0%Greens
143 Canberra 4.1%Labor
142 Sydney 4.3%Labor
141 Mitchell 4.4%Coalition
140 Grayndler 4.5%Labor
139 Berowra 4.8%Coalition
138 Cook 4.9%Coalition
137 Melbourne 4.9%Greens
136 Ryan 5.0%Greens
Every division (150), highest first
#DivisionRegionLabourersProjected
1 Barker South Australia17.1%Coalition
2 Maranoa Queensland16.1%One Nation
3 Spence South Australia15.4%One Nation
4 Mallee Victoria14.8%One Nation
5 Nicholls Victoria14.6%One Nation
6 Braddon Tasmania14.4%One Nation
7 Kennedy Queensland14.4%One Nation
8 Wannon Victoria14.2%Coalition
9 New England New South Wales14.1%One Nation
10 Farrer New South Wales13.9%One Nation
11 Flynn Queensland13.8%One Nation
12 Hinkler Queensland13.8%One Nation
13 Page New South Wales13.7%Coalition
14 Longman Queensland13.4%One Nation
15 Grey South Australia13.3%One Nation
16 Lyons Tasmania13.2%Labor
17 Forrest Western Australia13.1%One Nation
18 O'Connor Western Australia12.9%One Nation
19 Fowler New South Wales12.6%Independent
20 Holt Victoria12.6%One Nation
21 Wide Bay Queensland12.5%One Nation
22 Blaxland New South Wales12.5%Labor
23 Rankin Queensland12.3%Labor
24 Wright Queensland12.3%One Nation
25 Monash Victoria12.2%One Nation
26 Gippsland Victoria12.2%One Nation
27 Blair Queensland11.9%One Nation
28 Indi Victoria11.9%Independent
29 Riverina New South Wales11.8%One Nation
30 Bass Tasmania11.7%Labor
31 Burt Western Australia11.7%One Nation
32 Durack Western Australia11.6%One Nation
33 Forde Queensland11.6%One Nation
34 Lyne New South Wales11.5%One Nation
35 Dawson Queensland11.5%One Nation
36 Parkes New South Wales11.4%One Nation
37 Bendigo Victoria11.4%One Nation
38 Cowper New South Wales11.4%One Nation
39 Cowan Western Australia11.4%Labor
40 Brand Western Australia11.3%One Nation
41 Calwell Victoria11.3%Labor
42 Capricornia Queensland11.3%One Nation
43 Groom Queensland11.2%One Nation
44 Paterson New South Wales11.1%One Nation
45 Calare New South Wales11.1%One Nation
46 Hunter New South Wales11.0%One Nation
47 Scullin Victoria10.9%Labor
48 Bruce Victoria10.8%One Nation
49 Watson New South Wales10.7%Labor
50 Fraser Victoria10.7%Labor
51 Dobell New South Wales10.6%One Nation
52 Canning Western Australia10.6%One Nation
53 Oxley Queensland10.5%Labor
54 Isaacs Victoria10.5%Labor
55 Chifley New South Wales10.5%Labor
56 Makin South Australia10.4%Labor
57 Gilmore New South Wales10.3%One Nation
58 Lalor Victoria10.3%Labor
59 Corio Victoria10.2%One Nation
60 Leichhardt Queensland10.2%One Nation
61 Gorton Victoria10.2%Labor
62 Richmond New South Wales10.1%Greens
63 McMahon New South Wales10.1%One Nation
64 Ballarat Victoria10.0%One Nation
65 La Trobe Victoria10.0%One Nation
66 Fisher Queensland10.0%Coalition
67 Mayo South Australia10.0%Centre Alliance
68 Kingston South Australia9.9%Labor
69 Eden-Monaro New South Wales9.8%One Nation
70 Moncrieff Queensland9.8%Coalition
71 Hawke Victoria9.8%One Nation
72 Whitlam New South Wales9.8%One Nation
73 Hasluck Western Australia9.8%Labor
74 Pearce Western Australia9.8%One Nation
75 Werriwa New South Wales9.7%Labor
76 Fadden Queensland9.7%One Nation
77 Macarthur New South Wales9.7%Labor
78 Lingiari Northern Territory9.6%One Nation
79 Fairfax Queensland9.6%One Nation
80 Petrie Queensland9.6%One Nation
81 Herbert Queensland9.4%Coalition
82 Hotham Victoria9.4%Labor
83 Lindsay New South Wales9.3%One Nation
84 Shortland New South Wales9.1%One Nation
85 Bowman Queensland9.1%One Nation
86 Dunkley Victoria9.1%One Nation
87 Swan Western Australia9.0%Labor
88 Casey Victoria9.0%Coalition
89 Barton New South Wales8.9%Labor
90 Franklin Tasmania8.9%Labor
91 Clark Tasmania8.8%Independent
92 Flinders Victoria8.8%Coalition
93 Hindmarsh South Australia8.7%Labor
94 Bullwinkel Western Australia8.6%One Nation
95 Moreton Queensland8.5%Labor
96 Adelaide South Australia8.4%Labor
97 Robertson New South Wales8.2%One Nation
98 Hume New South Wales8.1%Coalition
99 Corangamite Victoria8.1%Labor
100 Cunningham New South Wales8.0%Labor
101 McPherson Queensland8.0%One Nation
102 Aston Victoria7.9%Coalition
103 McEwen Victoria7.9%One Nation
104 Fremantle Western Australia7.8%Labor
105 Macquarie New South Wales7.7%One Nation
106 Dickson Queensland7.7%One Nation
107 Solomon Northern Territory7.6%One Nation
108 Newcastle New South Wales7.6%Labor
109 Lilley Queensland7.5%Labor
110 Bonner Queensland7.5%Labor
111 Gellibrand Victoria7.1%Labor
112 Sturt South Australia7.0%Labor
113 Boothby South Australia6.9%Labor
114 Deakin Victoria6.8%Coalition
115 Perth Western Australia6.7%Labor
116 Banks New South Wales6.7%Coalition
117 Hughes New South Wales6.6%One Nation
118 Tangney Western Australia6.5%Labor
119 Reid New South Wales6.5%Labor
120 Parramatta New South Wales6.5%Labor
121 Moore Western Australia6.4%One Nation
122 Cooper Victoria6.3%Labor
123 Maribyrnong Victoria6.2%Labor
124 Greenway New South Wales6.0%Labor
125 Kingsford Smith New South Wales5.9%Labor
126 Fenner Australian Capital Territory5.7%Labor
127 Wills Victoria5.6%Greens
128 Menzies Victoria5.6%Coalition
129 Brisbane Queensland5.5%Labor
130 Griffith Queensland5.5%Labor
131 Mackellar New South Wales5.3%Independent
132 Chisholm Victoria5.3%Labor
133 Jagajaga Victoria5.3%Labor
134 Bean Australian Capital Territory5.2%Labor
135 Curtin Western Australia5.0%Independent
136 Ryan Queensland5.0%Greens
137 Melbourne Victoria4.9%Greens
138 Cook New South Wales4.9%Coalition
139 Berowra New South Wales4.8%Coalition
140 Grayndler New South Wales4.5%Labor
141 Mitchell New South Wales4.4%Coalition
142 Sydney New South Wales4.3%Labor
143 Canberra Australian Capital Territory4.1%Labor
144 Macnamara Victoria4.0%Greens
145 Bennelong New South Wales4.0%Labor
146 Goldstein Victoria3.9%Independent
147 Kooyong Victoria3.4%Independent
148 Bradfield New South Wales2.7%Independent
149 Warringah New South Wales2.6%Independent
150 Wentworth New South Wales2.5%Independent