Australia Next federal electionby 20 May 2028in 558 days Hung parliament 96% Labor majority under 1% Calendar Track record Research
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Rented from a state or territory housing authority by division

Rented from a state or territory housing authority in every division in Australia: highest in Lingiari (16.0%), lowest in McEwen (0.3%); the middle division is at 2.4%. Of the fifth of divisions where it is highest, our forecast has Labor winning 16 of 30; where it is lowest, One Nation wins 11 of 30.

Canberra: 4.8% Fenner: 4.6% Banks: 6.3% Barton: 1.5% Bennelong: 1.6% Berowra: 0.8% Blaxland: 7.5% Bradfield: 0.4% Calare: 3.2% Chifley: 8.9% Cook: 2.1% Cowper: 2.1% Cunningham: 6.7% Dobell: 2.9% Eden-Monaro: 2.4% Farrer: 2.1% Fowler: 6.2% Gilmore: 1.7% Grayndler: 2.0% Greenway: 2.0% Hughes: 3.4% Hume: 0.8% Hunter: 2.7% Kingsford Smith: 5.6% Lindsay: 3.6% Lyne: 1.1% Macarthur: 6.3% Mackellar: 0.8% Macquarie: 1.4% Mitchell: 0.4% New England: 2.3% Newcastle: 4.4% Page: 1.5% Parkes: 3.5% Parramatta: 5.1% Reid: 1.5% Richmond: 2.1% Robertson: 2.5% Shortland: 3.6% Sydney: 5.9% Whitlam: 3.8% Warringah: 1.0% Wentworth: 1.2% Werriwa: 6.4% Bowman: 2.2% Brisbane: 2.0% Capricornia: 2.4% Dawson: 3.0% Fadden: 1.3% Fairfax: 1.8% Fisher: 1.6% Forde: 2.3% Griffith: 3.5% Groom: 2.1% Herbert: 4.5% Hinkler: 2.4% Kennedy: 3.8% Leichhardt: 6.6% Lilley: 4.1% Maranoa: 2.0% McPherson: 1.6% Moncrieff: 2.1% Moreton: 3.0% Oxley: 3.8% Petrie: 2.9% Rankin: 3.8% Ryan: 1.5% Wide Bay: 2.1% Adelaide: 5.4% Barker: 3.4% Boothby: 3.8% Grey: 6.4% Hindmarsh: 5.4% Kingston: 3.6% Makin: 3.6% Mayo: 0.9% Sturt: 2.8% Bass: 3.5% Braddon: 5.1% Franklin: 3.3% Lyons: 3.4% Aston: 1.5% Ballarat: 2.4% Bendigo: 2.6% Bruce: 2.2% Calwell: 2.4% Casey: 0.6% Chisholm: 1.6% Corio: 3.4% Deakin: 1.7% Dunkley: 2.0% Flinders: 1.3% Gellibrand: 1.2% Gippsland: 2.5% Goldstein: 1.3% Holt: 1.0% Hotham: 1.5% Indi: 2.8% Isaacs: 1.8% Jagajaga: 2.3% Kooyong: 0.4% Lalor: 0.9% La Trobe: 0.5% Mallee: 2.8% Maribyrnong: 3.6% McEwen: 0.3% Melbourne: 4.8% Menzies: 0.6% Scullin: 0.9% Wannon: 2.4% Wills: 2.2% Brand: 2.1% Canning: 1.4% Cowan: 3.9% Curtin: 2.5% Forrest: 2.8% Fremantle: 3.4% Moore: 0.8% O'Connor: 4.2% Pearce: 1.4% Perth: 2.7% Swan: 4.3% Tangney: 1.3% Paterson: 2.7% Riverina: 2.4% Watson: 4.9% Dickson: 1.5% Longman: 1.9% Blair: 2.2% Hasluck: 2.4% Lingiari: 16.0% Solomon: 6.1% Gorton: 0.9% Bonner: 2.9% Flynn: 2.6% Durack: 8.3% McMahon: 4.4% Wright: 0.5% Burt: 2.2% Bean: 5.4% Clark: 4.7% Cooper: 3.5% Fraser: 3.2% Macnamara: 2.6% Monash: 1.8% Nicholls: 3.0% Spence: 6.1% Hawke: 1.1% Corangamite: 0.6% Bullwinkel: 1.4%
  • 0.3% – 1.4% (29)
  • 1.4% – 2.1% (27)
  • 2.1% – 2.8% (32)
  • 2.8% – 4.1% (31)
  • 4.1% – 16.0% (31)
One hexagon per division, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#DivisionRented from a state or territory housing authorityProjected
1 Lingiari 16.0%One Nation
2 Chifley 8.9%Labor
3 Durack 8.3%One Nation
4 Blaxland 7.5%Labor
5 Cunningham 6.7%Labor
6 Leichhardt 6.6%One Nation
7 Werriwa 6.4%Labor
8 Grey 6.4%One Nation
9 Banks 6.3%Coalition
10 Macarthur 6.3%Labor
11 Fowler 6.2%Independent
12 Solomon 6.1%One Nation
13 Spence 6.1%One Nation
14 Sydney 5.9%Labor
15 Kingsford Smith 5.6%Labor

Lowest: the bottom 15

#DivisionRented from a state or territory housing authorityProjected
150 McEwen 0.3%One Nation
149 Kooyong 0.4%Independent
148 Bradfield 0.4%Independent
147 Mitchell 0.4%Coalition
146 La Trobe 0.5%One Nation
145 Wright 0.5%One Nation
144 Corangamite 0.6%Labor
143 Casey 0.6%Coalition
142 Menzies 0.6%Coalition
141 Moore 0.8%One Nation
140 Berowra 0.8%Coalition
139 Mackellar 0.8%Independent
138 Hume 0.8%Coalition
137 Mayo 0.9%Centre Alliance
136 Scullin 0.9%Labor
Every division (150), highest first
#DivisionRegionRented from a state or territory housing authorityProjected
1 Lingiari Northern Territory16.0%One Nation
2 Chifley New South Wales8.9%Labor
3 Durack Western Australia8.3%One Nation
4 Blaxland New South Wales7.5%Labor
5 Cunningham New South Wales6.7%Labor
6 Leichhardt Queensland6.6%One Nation
7 Werriwa New South Wales6.4%Labor
8 Grey South Australia6.4%One Nation
9 Banks New South Wales6.3%Coalition
10 Macarthur New South Wales6.3%Labor
11 Fowler New South Wales6.2%Independent
12 Solomon Northern Territory6.1%One Nation
13 Spence South Australia6.1%One Nation
14 Sydney New South Wales5.9%Labor
15 Kingsford Smith New South Wales5.6%Labor
16 Hindmarsh South Australia5.4%Labor
17 Bean Australian Capital Territory5.4%Labor
18 Adelaide South Australia5.4%Labor
19 Parramatta New South Wales5.1%Labor
20 Braddon Tasmania5.1%One Nation
21 Watson New South Wales4.9%Labor
22 Canberra Australian Capital Territory4.8%Labor
23 Melbourne Victoria4.8%Greens
24 Clark Tasmania4.7%Independent
25 Fenner Australian Capital Territory4.6%Labor
26 Herbert Queensland4.5%Coalition
27 McMahon New South Wales4.4%One Nation
28 Newcastle New South Wales4.4%Labor
29 Swan Western Australia4.3%Labor
30 O'Connor Western Australia4.2%One Nation
31 Lilley Queensland4.1%Labor
32 Cowan Western Australia3.9%Labor
33 Kennedy Queensland3.8%One Nation
34 Oxley Queensland3.8%Labor
35 Whitlam New South Wales3.8%One Nation
36 Rankin Queensland3.8%Labor
37 Boothby South Australia3.8%Labor
38 Shortland New South Wales3.6%One Nation
39 Kingston South Australia3.6%Labor
40 Makin South Australia3.6%Labor
41 Lindsay New South Wales3.6%One Nation
42 Maribyrnong Victoria3.6%Labor
43 Bass Tasmania3.5%Labor
44 Cooper Victoria3.5%Labor
45 Griffith Queensland3.5%Labor
46 Parkes New South Wales3.5%One Nation
47 Fremantle Western Australia3.4%Labor
48 Corio Victoria3.4%One Nation
49 Hughes New South Wales3.4%One Nation
50 Barker South Australia3.4%Coalition
51 Lyons Tasmania3.4%Labor
52 Franklin Tasmania3.3%Labor
53 Fraser Victoria3.2%Labor
54 Calare New South Wales3.2%One Nation
55 Moreton Queensland3.0%Labor
56 Nicholls Victoria3.0%One Nation
57 Dawson Queensland3.0%One Nation
58 Bonner Queensland2.9%Labor
59 Petrie Queensland2.9%One Nation
60 Dobell New South Wales2.9%One Nation
61 Sturt South Australia2.8%Labor
62 Indi Victoria2.8%Independent
63 Forrest Western Australia2.8%One Nation
64 Mallee Victoria2.8%One Nation
65 Paterson New South Wales2.7%One Nation
66 Hunter New South Wales2.7%One Nation
67 Perth Western Australia2.7%Labor
68 Bendigo Victoria2.6%One Nation
69 Flynn Queensland2.6%One Nation
70 Macnamara Victoria2.6%Greens
71 Gippsland Victoria2.5%One Nation
72 Curtin Western Australia2.5%Independent
73 Robertson New South Wales2.5%One Nation
74 Riverina New South Wales2.4%One Nation
75 Capricornia Queensland2.4%One Nation
76 Calwell Victoria2.4%Labor
77 Hasluck Western Australia2.4%Labor
78 Ballarat Victoria2.4%One Nation
79 Hinkler Queensland2.4%One Nation
80 Wannon Victoria2.4%Coalition
81 Eden-Monaro New South Wales2.4%One Nation
82 Jagajaga Victoria2.3%Labor
83 Forde Queensland2.3%One Nation
84 New England New South Wales2.3%One Nation
85 Wills Victoria2.2%Greens
86 Bowman Queensland2.2%One Nation
87 Bruce Victoria2.2%One Nation
88 Blair Queensland2.2%One Nation
89 Burt Western Australia2.2%One Nation
90 Cowper New South Wales2.1%One Nation
91 Cook New South Wales2.1%Coalition
92 Richmond New South Wales2.1%Greens
93 Groom Queensland2.1%One Nation
94 Wide Bay Queensland2.1%One Nation
95 Farrer New South Wales2.1%One Nation
96 Brand Western Australia2.1%One Nation
97 Moncrieff Queensland2.1%Coalition
98 Greenway New South Wales2.0%Labor
99 Brisbane Queensland2.0%Labor
100 Dunkley Victoria2.0%One Nation
101 Grayndler New South Wales2.0%Labor
102 Maranoa Queensland2.0%One Nation
103 Longman Queensland1.9%One Nation
104 Isaacs Victoria1.8%Labor
105 Monash Victoria1.8%One Nation
106 Fairfax Queensland1.8%One Nation
107 Gilmore New South Wales1.7%One Nation
108 Deakin Victoria1.7%Coalition
109 Bennelong New South Wales1.6%Labor
110 Fisher Queensland1.6%Coalition
111 McPherson Queensland1.6%One Nation
112 Chisholm Victoria1.6%Labor
113 Ryan Queensland1.5%Greens
114 Dickson Queensland1.5%One Nation
115 Aston Victoria1.5%Coalition
116 Barton New South Wales1.5%Labor
117 Page New South Wales1.5%Coalition
118 Reid New South Wales1.5%Labor
119 Hotham Victoria1.5%Labor
120 Canning Western Australia1.4%One Nation
121 Macquarie New South Wales1.4%One Nation
122 Bullwinkel Western Australia1.4%One Nation
123 Pearce Western Australia1.4%One Nation
124 Goldstein Victoria1.3%Independent
125 Tangney Western Australia1.3%Labor
126 Fadden Queensland1.3%One Nation
127 Flinders Victoria1.3%Coalition
128 Wentworth New South Wales1.2%Independent
129 Gellibrand Victoria1.2%Labor
130 Lyne New South Wales1.1%One Nation
131 Hawke Victoria1.1%One Nation
132 Warringah New South Wales1.0%Independent
133 Holt Victoria1.0%One Nation
134 Lalor Victoria0.9%Labor
135 Gorton Victoria0.9%Labor
136 Scullin Victoria0.9%Labor
137 Mayo South Australia0.9%Centre Alliance
138 Hume New South Wales0.8%Coalition
139 Mackellar New South Wales0.8%Independent
140 Berowra New South Wales0.8%Coalition
141 Moore Western Australia0.8%One Nation
142 Menzies Victoria0.6%Coalition
143 Casey Victoria0.6%Coalition
144 Corangamite Victoria0.6%Labor
145 Wright Queensland0.5%One Nation
146 La Trobe Victoria0.5%One Nation
147 Mitchell New South Wales0.4%Coalition
148 Bradfield New South Wales0.4%Independent
149 Kooyong Victoria0.4%Independent
150 McEwen Victoria0.3%One Nation