Australia Next federal electionby 20 May 2028in 558 days Hung parliament 96% Labor majority under 1% Calendar Track record Research
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Community and personal service workers by division

Community and personal service workers in every division in Australia: highest in Herbert (16.6%), lowest in Wentworth (6.2%); the middle division is at 11.9%. Of the fifth of divisions where it is highest, our forecast has One Nation winning 20 of 30; where it is lowest, Labor wins 15 of 30.

Canberra: 10.1% Fenner: 12.0% Banks: 9.3% Barton: 10.0% Bennelong: 7.2% Berowra: 8.2% Blaxland: 11.6% Bradfield: 6.3% Calare: 13.1% Chifley: 10.8% Cook: 9.7% Cowper: 15.4% Cunningham: 12.7% Dobell: 13.8% Eden-Monaro: 12.1% Farrer: 11.6% Fowler: 10.4% Gilmore: 14.3% Grayndler: 7.8% Greenway: 9.1% Hughes: 10.9% Hume: 10.5% Hunter: 13.4% Kingsford Smith: 9.2% Lindsay: 11.3% Lyne: 14.2% Macarthur: 11.4% Mackellar: 9.2% Macquarie: 11.2% Mitchell: 7.3% New England: 11.9% Newcastle: 13.4% Page: 14.1% Parkes: 12.6% Parramatta: 8.3% Reid: 7.9% Richmond: 13.6% Robertson: 11.9% Shortland: 13.4% Sydney: 7.5% Whitlam: 13.1% Warringah: 6.5% Wentworth: 6.2% Werriwa: 9.8% Bowman: 11.7% Brisbane: 10.0% Capricornia: 11.5% Dawson: 11.9% Fadden: 12.4% Fairfax: 13.3% Fisher: 13.4% Forde: 12.4% Griffith: 9.8% Groom: 13.6% Herbert: 16.6% Hinkler: 15.8% Kennedy: 11.7% Leichhardt: 15.2% Lilley: 11.3% Maranoa: 10.6% McPherson: 13.0% Moncrieff: 13.6% Moreton: 10.5% Oxley: 12.5% Petrie: 13.8% Rankin: 12.2% Ryan: 10.5% Wide Bay: 13.7% Adelaide: 12.5% Barker: 11.9% Boothby: 13.3% Grey: 12.7% Hindmarsh: 12.8% Kingston: 14.9% Makin: 13.9% Mayo: 12.6% Sturt: 11.3% Bass: 13.7% Braddon: 13.9% Franklin: 12.9% Lyons: 13.1% Aston: 10.3% Ballarat: 13.2% Bendigo: 13.0% Bruce: 10.7% Calwell: 12.5% Casey: 11.8% Chisholm: 8.6% Corio: 13.2% Deakin: 10.3% Dunkley: 11.9% Flinders: 12.1% Gellibrand: 9.8% Gippsland: 13.2% Goldstein: 8.6% Holt: 12.6% Hotham: 9.9% Indi: 12.9% Isaacs: 10.1% Jagajaga: 9.8% Kooyong: 7.6% Lalor: 12.1% La Trobe: 11.9% Mallee: 11.8% Maribyrnong: 9.4% McEwen: 12.1% Melbourne: 9.8% Menzies: 9.3% Scullin: 12.2% Wannon: 11.9% Wills: 9.7% Brand: 14.2% Canning: 13.3% Cowan: 12.9% Curtin: 10.1% Forrest: 11.8% Fremantle: 11.4% Moore: 11.1% O'Connor: 10.1% Pearce: 13.4% Perth: 10.9% Swan: 12.4% Tangney: 10.2% Paterson: 14.0% Riverina: 12.9% Watson: 11.5% Dickson: 11.9% Longman: 13.8% Blair: 14.1% Hasluck: 13.2% Lingiari: 16.6% Solomon: 15.0% Gorton: 10.8% Bonner: 9.8% Flynn: 10.1% Durack: 10.9% McMahon: 9.7% Wright: 11.3% Burt: 12.8% Bean: 10.6% Clark: 14.3% Cooper: 9.9% Fraser: 10.3% Macnamara: 8.9% Monash: 12.5% Nicholls: 12.3% Spence: 15.1% Hawke: 12.7% Corangamite: 13.7% Bullwinkel: 11.1%
  • 6.2% – 9.9% (29)
  • 9.9% – 11.3% (28)
  • 11.3% – 12.4% (32)
  • 12.4% – 13.4% (30)
  • 13.4% – 16.6% (31)
One hexagon per division, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#DivisionCommunity and personal service workersProjected
1 Herbert 16.6%Coalition
2 Lingiari 16.6%One Nation
3 Hinkler 15.8%One Nation
4 Cowper 15.4%One Nation
5 Leichhardt 15.2%One Nation
6 Spence 15.1%One Nation
7 Solomon 15.0%One Nation
8 Kingston 14.9%Labor
9 Clark 14.3%Independent
10 Gilmore 14.3%One Nation
11 Brand 14.2%One Nation
12 Lyne 14.2%One Nation
13 Blair 14.1%One Nation
14 Page 14.1%Coalition
15 Paterson 14.0%One Nation

Lowest: the bottom 15

#DivisionCommunity and personal service workersProjected
150 Wentworth 6.2%Independent
149 Bradfield 6.3%Independent
148 Warringah 6.5%Independent
147 Bennelong 7.2%Labor
146 Mitchell 7.3%Coalition
145 Sydney 7.5%Labor
144 Kooyong 7.6%Independent
143 Grayndler 7.8%Labor
142 Reid 7.9%Labor
141 Berowra 8.2%Coalition
140 Parramatta 8.3%Labor
139 Chisholm 8.6%Labor
138 Goldstein 8.6%Independent
137 Macnamara 8.9%Greens
136 Greenway 9.1%Labor
Every division (150), highest first
#DivisionRegionCommunity and personal service workersProjected
1 Herbert Queensland16.6%Coalition
2 Lingiari Northern Territory16.6%One Nation
3 Hinkler Queensland15.8%One Nation
4 Cowper New South Wales15.4%One Nation
5 Leichhardt Queensland15.2%One Nation
6 Spence South Australia15.1%One Nation
7 Solomon Northern Territory15.0%One Nation
8 Kingston South Australia14.9%Labor
9 Clark Tasmania14.3%Independent
10 Gilmore New South Wales14.3%One Nation
11 Brand Western Australia14.2%One Nation
12 Lyne New South Wales14.2%One Nation
13 Blair Queensland14.1%One Nation
14 Page New South Wales14.1%Coalition
15 Paterson New South Wales14.0%One Nation
16 Braddon Tasmania13.9%One Nation
17 Makin South Australia13.9%Labor
18 Dobell New South Wales13.8%One Nation
19 Longman Queensland13.8%One Nation
20 Petrie Queensland13.8%One Nation
21 Bass Tasmania13.7%Labor
22 Corangamite Victoria13.7%Labor
23 Wide Bay Queensland13.7%One Nation
24 Groom Queensland13.6%One Nation
25 Richmond New South Wales13.6%Greens
26 Moncrieff Queensland13.6%Coalition
27 Fisher Queensland13.4%Coalition
28 Shortland New South Wales13.4%One Nation
29 Hunter New South Wales13.4%One Nation
30 Pearce Western Australia13.4%One Nation
31 Newcastle New South Wales13.4%Labor
32 Fairfax Queensland13.3%One Nation
33 Canning Western Australia13.3%One Nation
34 Boothby South Australia13.3%Labor
35 Gippsland Victoria13.2%One Nation
36 Corio Victoria13.2%One Nation
37 Ballarat Victoria13.2%One Nation
38 Hasluck Western Australia13.2%Labor
39 Lyons Tasmania13.1%Labor
40 Calare New South Wales13.1%One Nation
41 Whitlam New South Wales13.1%One Nation
42 Bendigo Victoria13.0%One Nation
43 McPherson Queensland13.0%One Nation
44 Franklin Tasmania12.9%Labor
45 Riverina New South Wales12.9%One Nation
46 Cowan Western Australia12.9%Labor
47 Indi Victoria12.9%Independent
48 Burt Western Australia12.8%One Nation
49 Hindmarsh South Australia12.8%Labor
50 Grey South Australia12.7%One Nation
51 Hawke Victoria12.7%One Nation
52 Cunningham New South Wales12.7%Labor
53 Mayo South Australia12.6%Centre Alliance
54 Holt Victoria12.6%One Nation
55 Parkes New South Wales12.6%One Nation
56 Calwell Victoria12.5%Labor
57 Oxley Queensland12.5%Labor
58 Monash Victoria12.5%One Nation
59 Adelaide South Australia12.5%Labor
60 Fadden Queensland12.4%One Nation
61 Forde Queensland12.4%One Nation
62 Swan Western Australia12.4%Labor
63 Nicholls Victoria12.3%One Nation
64 Rankin Queensland12.2%Labor
65 Scullin Victoria12.2%Labor
66 Eden-Monaro New South Wales12.1%One Nation
67 McEwen Victoria12.1%One Nation
68 Flinders Victoria12.1%Coalition
69 Lalor Victoria12.1%Labor
70 Fenner Australian Capital Territory12.0%Labor
71 La Trobe Victoria11.9%One Nation
72 Wannon Victoria11.9%Coalition
73 Dickson Queensland11.9%One Nation
74 Robertson New South Wales11.9%One Nation
75 Dawson Queensland11.9%One Nation
76 Barker South Australia11.9%Coalition
77 New England New South Wales11.9%One Nation
78 Dunkley Victoria11.9%One Nation
79 Mallee Victoria11.8%One Nation
80 Forrest Western Australia11.8%One Nation
81 Casey Victoria11.8%Coalition
82 Kennedy Queensland11.7%One Nation
83 Bowman Queensland11.7%One Nation
84 Farrer New South Wales11.6%One Nation
85 Blaxland New South Wales11.6%Labor
86 Watson New South Wales11.5%Labor
87 Capricornia Queensland11.5%One Nation
88 Macarthur New South Wales11.4%Labor
89 Fremantle Western Australia11.4%Labor
90 Wright Queensland11.3%One Nation
91 Lindsay New South Wales11.3%One Nation
92 Lilley Queensland11.3%Labor
93 Sturt South Australia11.3%Labor
94 Macquarie New South Wales11.2%One Nation
95 Moore Western Australia11.1%One Nation
96 Bullwinkel Western Australia11.1%One Nation
97 Durack Western Australia10.9%One Nation
98 Perth Western Australia10.9%Labor
99 Hughes New South Wales10.9%One Nation
100 Gorton Victoria10.8%Labor
101 Chifley New South Wales10.8%Labor
102 Bruce Victoria10.7%One Nation
103 Maranoa Queensland10.6%One Nation
104 Bean Australian Capital Territory10.6%Labor
105 Hume New South Wales10.5%Coalition
106 Moreton Queensland10.5%Labor
107 Ryan Queensland10.5%Greens
108 Fowler New South Wales10.4%Independent
109 Fraser Victoria10.3%Labor
110 Aston Victoria10.3%Coalition
111 Deakin Victoria10.3%Coalition
112 Tangney Western Australia10.2%Labor
113 O'Connor Western Australia10.1%One Nation
114 Canberra Australian Capital Territory10.1%Labor
115 Flynn Queensland10.1%One Nation
116 Isaacs Victoria10.1%Labor
117 Curtin Western Australia10.1%Independent
118 Brisbane Queensland10.0%Labor
119 Barton New South Wales10.0%Labor
120 Hotham Victoria9.9%Labor
121 Cooper Victoria9.9%Labor
122 Melbourne Victoria9.8%Greens
123 Gellibrand Victoria9.8%Labor
124 Bonner Queensland9.8%Labor
125 Werriwa New South Wales9.8%Labor
126 Griffith Queensland9.8%Labor
127 Jagajaga Victoria9.8%Labor
128 Wills Victoria9.7%Greens
129 Cook New South Wales9.7%Coalition
130 McMahon New South Wales9.7%One Nation
131 Maribyrnong Victoria9.4%Labor
132 Banks New South Wales9.3%Coalition
133 Menzies Victoria9.3%Coalition
134 Mackellar New South Wales9.2%Independent
135 Kingsford Smith New South Wales9.2%Labor
136 Greenway New South Wales9.1%Labor
137 Macnamara Victoria8.9%Greens
138 Goldstein Victoria8.6%Independent
139 Chisholm Victoria8.6%Labor
140 Parramatta New South Wales8.3%Labor
141 Berowra New South Wales8.2%Coalition
142 Reid New South Wales7.9%Labor
143 Grayndler New South Wales7.8%Labor
144 Kooyong Victoria7.6%Independent
145 Sydney New South Wales7.5%Labor
146 Mitchell New South Wales7.3%Coalition
147 Bennelong New South Wales7.2%Labor
148 Warringah New South Wales6.5%Independent
149 Bradfield New South Wales6.3%Independent
150 Wentworth New South Wales6.2%Independent