Australia Next federal electionby 20 May 2028in 558 days Hung parliament 96% Labor majority under 1% Calendar Track record Research
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Census map · Australia

In the labour force by division

In the labour force in every division in Australia: highest in Brisbane (73.3%), lowest in Fowler (43.6%); the middle division is at 61.4%. Of the fifth of divisions where it is highest, our forecast has Labor winning 16 of 30; where it is lowest, One Nation wins 20 of 30.

Canberra: 68.5% Fenner: 72.5% Banks: 55.9% Barton: 57.8% Bennelong: 64.5% Berowra: 63.3% Blaxland: 44.9% Bradfield: 62.4% Calare: 58.3% Chifley: 56.5% Cook: 62.9% Cowper: 50.6% Cunningham: 58.0% Dobell: 56.3% Eden-Monaro: 60.4% Farrer: 58.5% Fowler: 43.6% Gilmore: 49.2% Grayndler: 66.7% Greenway: 67.6% Hughes: 62.9% Hume: 66.4% Hunter: 57.1% Kingsford Smith: 62.2% Lindsay: 62.1% Lyne: 47.8% Macarthur: 58.9% Mackellar: 64.0% Macquarie: 61.0% Mitchell: 65.3% New England: 56.4% Newcastle: 64.3% Page: 52.4% Parkes: 57.0% Parramatta: 61.4% Reid: 63.1% Richmond: 54.3% Robertson: 56.3% Shortland: 57.4% Sydney: 68.7% Whitlam: 58.1% Warringah: 68.4% Wentworth: 67.9% Werriwa: 52.4% Bowman: 61.5% Brisbane: 73.3% Capricornia: 60.3% Dawson: 62.2% Fadden: 61.5% Fairfax: 59.7% Fisher: 58.9% Forde: 62.8% Griffith: 72.3% Groom: 61.0% Herbert: 63.4% Hinkler: 47.3% Kennedy: 56.7% Leichhardt: 60.5% Lilley: 67.3% Maranoa: 56.0% McPherson: 63.3% Moncrieff: 60.1% Moreton: 65.1% Oxley: 62.9% Petrie: 61.3% Rankin: 60.9% Ryan: 67.6% Wide Bay: 48.8% Adelaide: 64.2% Barker: 57.2% Boothby: 61.9% Grey: 54.0% Hindmarsh: 61.7% Kingston: 61.4% Makin: 61.3% Mayo: 58.6% Sturt: 62.2% Bass: 58.1% Braddon: 55.0% Franklin: 59.7% Lyons: 56.0% Aston: 64.7% Ballarat: 59.7% Bendigo: 58.0% Bruce: 60.2% Calwell: 57.4% Casey: 65.3% Chisholm: 61.7% Corio: 60.9% Deakin: 64.1% Dunkley: 63.6% Flinders: 55.1% Gellibrand: 67.1% Gippsland: 52.7% Goldstein: 64.6% Holt: 65.7% Hotham: 62.5% Indi: 58.0% Isaacs: 62.4% Jagajaga: 65.0% Kooyong: 64.4% Lalor: 64.9% La Trobe: 68.8% Mallee: 54.6% Maribyrnong: 65.4% McEwen: 68.1% Melbourne: 70.8% Menzies: 60.1% Scullin: 60.2% Wannon: 58.1% Wills: 68.3% Brand: 62.4% Canning: 56.6% Cowan: 64.3% Curtin: 65.7% Forrest: 60.8% Fremantle: 67.9% Moore: 66.6% O'Connor: 58.6% Pearce: 69.3% Perth: 69.1% Swan: 65.7% Tangney: 63.8% Paterson: 58.3% Riverina: 59.1% Watson: 45.3% Dickson: 67.3% Longman: 56.3% Blair: 61.3% Hasluck: 66.7% Lingiari: 53.3% Solomon: 70.8% Gorton: 62.5% Bonner: 66.7% Flynn: 59.9% Durack: 60.3% McMahon: 51.6% Wright: 62.1% Burt: 64.9% Bean: 67.8% Clark: 62.8% Cooper: 66.6% Fraser: 61.3% Macnamara: 71.0% Monash: 54.5% Nicholls: 56.4% Spence: 57.2% Hawke: 63.2% Corangamite: 61.3% Bullwinkel: 61.2%
  • 43.6% – 56.7% (29)
  • 56.7% – 60.3% (30)
  • 60.3% – 62.5% (30)
  • 62.5% – 65.7% (30)
  • 65.7% – 73.3% (31)
One hexagon per division, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#DivisionIn the labour forceProjected
1 Brisbane 73.3%Labor
2 Fenner 72.5%Labor
3 Griffith 72.3%Labor
4 Macnamara 71.0%Greens
5 Melbourne 70.8%Greens
6 Solomon 70.8%One Nation
7 Pearce 69.3%One Nation
8 Perth 69.1%Labor
9 La Trobe 68.8%One Nation
10 Sydney 68.7%Labor
11 Canberra 68.5%Labor
12 Warringah 68.4%Independent
13 Wills 68.3%Greens
14 McEwen 68.1%One Nation
15 Wentworth 67.9%Independent

Lowest: the bottom 15

#DivisionIn the labour forceProjected
150 Fowler 43.6%Independent
149 Blaxland 44.9%Labor
148 Watson 45.3%Labor
147 Hinkler 47.3%One Nation
146 Lyne 47.8%One Nation
145 Wide Bay 48.8%One Nation
144 Gilmore 49.2%One Nation
143 Cowper 50.6%One Nation
142 McMahon 51.6%One Nation
141 Werriwa 52.4%Labor
140 Page 52.4%Coalition
139 Gippsland 52.7%One Nation
138 Lingiari 53.3%One Nation
137 Grey 54.0%One Nation
136 Richmond 54.3%Greens
Every division (150), highest first
#DivisionRegionIn the labour forceProjected
1 Brisbane Queensland73.3%Labor
2 Fenner Australian Capital Territory72.5%Labor
3 Griffith Queensland72.3%Labor
4 Macnamara Victoria71.0%Greens
5 Melbourne Victoria70.8%Greens
6 Solomon Northern Territory70.8%One Nation
7 Pearce Western Australia69.3%One Nation
8 Perth Western Australia69.1%Labor
9 La Trobe Victoria68.8%One Nation
10 Sydney New South Wales68.7%Labor
11 Canberra Australian Capital Territory68.5%Labor
12 Warringah New South Wales68.4%Independent
13 Wills Victoria68.3%Greens
14 McEwen Victoria68.1%One Nation
15 Wentworth New South Wales67.9%Independent
16 Fremantle Western Australia67.9%Labor
17 Bean Australian Capital Territory67.8%Labor
18 Greenway New South Wales67.6%Labor
19 Ryan Queensland67.6%Greens
20 Dickson Queensland67.3%One Nation
21 Lilley Queensland67.3%Labor
22 Gellibrand Victoria67.1%Labor
23 Hasluck Western Australia66.7%Labor
24 Bonner Queensland66.7%Labor
25 Grayndler New South Wales66.7%Labor
26 Moore Western Australia66.6%One Nation
27 Cooper Victoria66.6%Labor
28 Hume New South Wales66.4%Coalition
29 Swan Western Australia65.7%Labor
30 Holt Victoria65.7%One Nation
31 Curtin Western Australia65.7%Independent
32 Maribyrnong Victoria65.4%Labor
33 Mitchell New South Wales65.3%Coalition
34 Casey Victoria65.3%Coalition
35 Moreton Queensland65.1%Labor
36 Jagajaga Victoria65.0%Labor
37 Burt Western Australia64.9%One Nation
38 Lalor Victoria64.9%Labor
39 Aston Victoria64.7%Coalition
40 Goldstein Victoria64.6%Independent
41 Bennelong New South Wales64.5%Labor
42 Kooyong Victoria64.4%Independent
43 Cowan Western Australia64.3%Labor
44 Newcastle New South Wales64.3%Labor
45 Adelaide South Australia64.2%Labor
46 Deakin Victoria64.1%Coalition
47 Mackellar New South Wales64.0%Independent
48 Tangney Western Australia63.8%Labor
49 Dunkley Victoria63.6%One Nation
50 Herbert Queensland63.4%Coalition
51 McPherson Queensland63.3%One Nation
52 Berowra New South Wales63.3%Coalition
53 Hawke Victoria63.2%One Nation
54 Reid New South Wales63.1%Labor
55 Hughes New South Wales62.9%One Nation
56 Oxley Queensland62.9%Labor
57 Cook New South Wales62.9%Coalition
58 Forde Queensland62.8%One Nation
59 Clark Tasmania62.8%Independent
60 Hotham Victoria62.5%Labor
61 Gorton Victoria62.5%Labor
62 Bradfield New South Wales62.4%Independent
63 Isaacs Victoria62.4%Labor
64 Brand Western Australia62.4%One Nation
65 Dawson Queensland62.2%One Nation
66 Sturt South Australia62.2%Labor
67 Kingsford Smith New South Wales62.2%Labor
68 Lindsay New South Wales62.1%One Nation
69 Wright Queensland62.1%One Nation
70 Boothby South Australia61.9%Labor
71 Chisholm Victoria61.7%Labor
72 Hindmarsh South Australia61.7%Labor
73 Fadden Queensland61.5%One Nation
74 Bowman Queensland61.5%One Nation
75 Parramatta New South Wales61.4%Labor
76 Kingston South Australia61.4%Labor
77 Corangamite Victoria61.3%Labor
78 Petrie Queensland61.3%One Nation
79 Makin South Australia61.3%Labor
80 Fraser Victoria61.3%Labor
81 Blair Queensland61.3%One Nation
82 Bullwinkel Western Australia61.2%One Nation
83 Groom Queensland61.0%One Nation
84 Macquarie New South Wales61.0%One Nation
85 Corio Victoria60.9%One Nation
86 Rankin Queensland60.9%Labor
87 Forrest Western Australia60.8%One Nation
88 Leichhardt Queensland60.5%One Nation
89 Eden-Monaro New South Wales60.4%One Nation
90 Durack Western Australia60.3%One Nation
91 Capricornia Queensland60.3%One Nation
92 Scullin Victoria60.2%Labor
93 Bruce Victoria60.2%One Nation
94 Moncrieff Queensland60.1%Coalition
95 Menzies Victoria60.1%Coalition
96 Flynn Queensland59.9%One Nation
97 Ballarat Victoria59.7%One Nation
98 Fairfax Queensland59.7%One Nation
99 Franklin Tasmania59.7%Labor
100 Riverina New South Wales59.1%One Nation
101 Macarthur New South Wales58.9%Labor
102 Fisher Queensland58.9%Coalition
103 Mayo South Australia58.6%Centre Alliance
104 O'Connor Western Australia58.6%One Nation
105 Farrer New South Wales58.5%One Nation
106 Calare New South Wales58.3%One Nation
107 Paterson New South Wales58.3%One Nation
108 Whitlam New South Wales58.1%One Nation
109 Wannon Victoria58.1%Coalition
110 Bass Tasmania58.1%Labor
111 Bendigo Victoria58.0%One Nation
112 Indi Victoria58.0%Independent
113 Cunningham New South Wales58.0%Labor
114 Barton New South Wales57.8%Labor
115 Calwell Victoria57.4%Labor
116 Shortland New South Wales57.4%One Nation
117 Barker South Australia57.2%Coalition
118 Spence South Australia57.2%One Nation
119 Hunter New South Wales57.1%One Nation
120 Parkes New South Wales57.0%One Nation
121 Kennedy Queensland56.7%One Nation
122 Canning Western Australia56.6%One Nation
123 Chifley New South Wales56.5%Labor
124 New England New South Wales56.4%One Nation
125 Nicholls Victoria56.4%One Nation
126 Longman Queensland56.3%One Nation
127 Dobell New South Wales56.3%One Nation
128 Robertson New South Wales56.3%One Nation
129 Maranoa Queensland56.0%One Nation
130 Lyons Tasmania56.0%Labor
131 Banks New South Wales55.9%Coalition
132 Flinders Victoria55.1%Coalition
133 Braddon Tasmania55.0%One Nation
134 Mallee Victoria54.6%One Nation
135 Monash Victoria54.5%One Nation
136 Richmond New South Wales54.3%Greens
137 Grey South Australia54.0%One Nation
138 Lingiari Northern Territory53.3%One Nation
139 Gippsland Victoria52.7%One Nation
140 Page New South Wales52.4%Coalition
141 Werriwa New South Wales52.4%Labor
142 McMahon New South Wales51.6%One Nation
143 Cowper New South Wales50.6%One Nation
144 Gilmore New South Wales49.2%One Nation
145 Wide Bay Queensland48.8%One Nation
146 Lyne New South Wales47.8%One Nation
147 Hinkler Queensland47.3%One Nation
148 Watson New South Wales45.3%Labor
149 Blaxland New South Wales44.9%Labor
150 Fowler New South Wales43.6%Independent