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Managers by division

Managers in every division in Australia: highest in Warringah (23.3%), lowest in Burt (8.2%); the middle division is at 13.1%. Of the fifth of divisions where it is highest, our forecast has One Nation winning 8 of 30; where it is lowest, One Nation wins 15 of 30.

Canberra: 21.1% Fenner: 15.8% Banks: 13.8% Barton: 12.5% Bennelong: 17.8% Berowra: 17.1% Blaxland: 8.8% Bradfield: 21.8% Calare: 13.5% Chifley: 8.7% Cook: 17.9% Cowper: 11.7% Cunningham: 11.9% Dobell: 11.3% Eden-Monaro: 15.9% Farrer: 16.5% Fowler: 8.7% Gilmore: 13.0% Grayndler: 17.0% Greenway: 14.3% Hughes: 13.8% Hume: 13.8% Hunter: 10.2% Kingsford Smith: 15.8% Lindsay: 11.3% Lyne: 12.7% Macarthur: 10.3% Mackellar: 19.7% Macquarie: 14.0% Mitchell: 18.3% New England: 15.2% Newcastle: 11.5% Page: 13.0% Parkes: 17.1% Parramatta: 12.3% Reid: 16.0% Richmond: 13.8% Robertson: 13.7% Shortland: 10.8% Sydney: 19.1% Whitlam: 11.8% Warringah: 23.3% Wentworth: 22.5% Werriwa: 10.8% Bowman: 13.2% Brisbane: 15.8% Capricornia: 10.3% Dawson: 11.0% Fadden: 12.8% Fairfax: 12.5% Fisher: 12.1% Forde: 10.6% Griffith: 15.7% Groom: 11.3% Herbert: 9.8% Hinkler: 10.2% Kennedy: 13.4% Leichhardt: 11.5% Lilley: 13.1% Maranoa: 18.8% McPherson: 13.2% Moncrieff: 13.0% Moreton: 11.8% Oxley: 10.7% Petrie: 11.2% Rankin: 9.0% Ryan: 15.4% Wide Bay: 13.1% Adelaide: 12.6% Barker: 17.0% Boothby: 13.6% Grey: 16.4% Hindmarsh: 12.6% Kingston: 10.2% Makin: 10.3% Mayo: 15.3% Sturt: 13.6% Bass: 12.1% Braddon: 12.4% Franklin: 13.5% Lyons: 13.7% Aston: 12.8% Ballarat: 12.6% Bendigo: 12.3% Bruce: 10.9% Calwell: 9.3% Casey: 13.7% Chisholm: 17.0% Corio: 11.4% Deakin: 14.5% Dunkley: 12.8% Flinders: 15.4% Gellibrand: 14.3% Gippsland: 13.2% Goldstein: 21.6% Holt: 9.2% Hotham: 12.2% Indi: 15.6% Isaacs: 13.4% Jagajaga: 15.8% Kooyong: 19.9% Lalor: 9.2% La Trobe: 11.8% Mallee: 18.3% Maribyrnong: 15.7% McEwen: 13.1% Melbourne: 15.1% Menzies: 16.0% Scullin: 9.4% Wannon: 18.3% Wills: 14.0% Brand: 8.9% Canning: 10.2% Cowan: 9.9% Curtin: 16.9% Forrest: 11.3% Fremantle: 12.5% Moore: 14.3% O'Connor: 17.1% Pearce: 10.6% Perth: 13.8% Swan: 11.1% Tangney: 13.8% Paterson: 10.2% Riverina: 17.0% Watson: 9.8% Dickson: 13.1% Longman: 10.0% Blair: 10.2% Hasluck: 10.4% Lingiari: 13.2% Solomon: 12.7% Gorton: 10.4% Bonner: 14.4% Flynn: 13.1% Durack: 14.0% McMahon: 10.2% Wright: 13.1% Burt: 8.2% Bean: 16.8% Clark: 11.9% Cooper: 14.4% Fraser: 11.7% Macnamara: 19.2% Monash: 14.8% Nicholls: 15.2% Spence: 9.0% Hawke: 10.3% Corangamite: 13.1% Bullwinkel: 12.6%
  • 8.2% – 10.6% (29)
  • 10.6% – 12.5% (30)
  • 12.5% – 13.7% (30)
  • 13.7% – 15.8% (29)
  • 15.8% – 23.3% (32)
One hexagon per division, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#DivisionManagersProjected
1 Warringah 23.3%Independent
2 Wentworth 22.5%Independent
3 Bradfield 21.8%Independent
4 Goldstein 21.6%Independent
5 Canberra 21.1%Labor
6 Kooyong 19.9%Independent
7 Mackellar 19.7%Independent
8 Macnamara 19.2%Greens
9 Sydney 19.1%Labor
10 Maranoa 18.8%One Nation
11 Mallee 18.3%One Nation
12 Mitchell 18.3%Coalition
13 Wannon 18.3%Coalition
14 Cook 17.9%Coalition
15 Bennelong 17.8%Labor

Lowest: the bottom 15

#DivisionManagersProjected
150 Burt 8.2%One Nation
149 Chifley 8.7%Labor
148 Fowler 8.7%Independent
147 Blaxland 8.8%Labor
146 Brand 8.9%One Nation
145 Spence 9.0%One Nation
144 Rankin 9.0%Labor
143 Lalor 9.2%Labor
142 Holt 9.2%One Nation
141 Calwell 9.3%Labor
140 Scullin 9.4%Labor
139 Herbert 9.8%Coalition
138 Watson 9.8%Labor
137 Cowan 9.9%Labor
136 Longman 10.0%One Nation
Every division (150), highest first
#DivisionRegionManagersProjected
1 Warringah New South Wales23.3%Independent
2 Wentworth New South Wales22.5%Independent
3 Bradfield New South Wales21.8%Independent
4 Goldstein Victoria21.6%Independent
5 Canberra Australian Capital Territory21.1%Labor
6 Kooyong Victoria19.9%Independent
7 Mackellar New South Wales19.7%Independent
8 Macnamara Victoria19.2%Greens
9 Sydney New South Wales19.1%Labor
10 Maranoa Queensland18.8%One Nation
11 Mallee Victoria18.3%One Nation
12 Mitchell New South Wales18.3%Coalition
13 Wannon Victoria18.3%Coalition
14 Cook New South Wales17.9%Coalition
15 Bennelong New South Wales17.8%Labor
16 O'Connor Western Australia17.1%One Nation
17 Parkes New South Wales17.1%One Nation
18 Berowra New South Wales17.1%Coalition
19 Riverina New South Wales17.0%One Nation
20 Grayndler New South Wales17.0%Labor
21 Chisholm Victoria17.0%Labor
22 Barker South Australia17.0%Coalition
23 Curtin Western Australia16.9%Independent
24 Bean Australian Capital Territory16.8%Labor
25 Farrer New South Wales16.5%One Nation
26 Grey South Australia16.4%One Nation
27 Reid New South Wales16.0%Labor
28 Menzies Victoria16.0%Coalition
29 Eden-Monaro New South Wales15.9%One Nation
30 Kingsford Smith New South Wales15.8%Labor
31 Fenner Australian Capital Territory15.8%Labor
32 Jagajaga Victoria15.8%Labor
33 Brisbane Queensland15.8%Labor
34 Griffith Queensland15.7%Labor
35 Maribyrnong Victoria15.7%Labor
36 Indi Victoria15.6%Independent
37 Ryan Queensland15.4%Greens
38 Flinders Victoria15.4%Coalition
39 Mayo South Australia15.3%Centre Alliance
40 Nicholls Victoria15.2%One Nation
41 New England New South Wales15.2%One Nation
42 Melbourne Victoria15.1%Greens
43 Monash Victoria14.8%One Nation
44 Deakin Victoria14.5%Coalition
45 Cooper Victoria14.4%Labor
46 Bonner Queensland14.4%Labor
47 Gellibrand Victoria14.3%Labor
48 Moore Western Australia14.3%One Nation
49 Greenway New South Wales14.3%Labor
50 Wills Victoria14.0%Greens
51 Durack Western Australia14.0%One Nation
52 Macquarie New South Wales14.0%One Nation
53 Hume New South Wales13.8%Coalition
54 Perth Western Australia13.8%Labor
55 Hughes New South Wales13.8%One Nation
56 Richmond New South Wales13.8%Greens
57 Tangney Western Australia13.8%Labor
58 Banks New South Wales13.8%Coalition
59 Robertson New South Wales13.7%One Nation
60 Casey Victoria13.7%Coalition
61 Lyons Tasmania13.7%Labor
62 Boothby South Australia13.6%Labor
63 Sturt South Australia13.6%Labor
64 Franklin Tasmania13.5%Labor
65 Calare New South Wales13.5%One Nation
66 Kennedy Queensland13.4%One Nation
67 Isaacs Victoria13.4%Labor
68 Gippsland Victoria13.2%One Nation
69 Bowman Queensland13.2%One Nation
70 McPherson Queensland13.2%One Nation
71 Lingiari Northern Territory13.2%One Nation
72 Flynn Queensland13.1%One Nation
73 Lilley Queensland13.1%Labor
74 McEwen Victoria13.1%One Nation
75 Wright Queensland13.1%One Nation
76 Corangamite Victoria13.1%Labor
77 Wide Bay Queensland13.1%One Nation
78 Dickson Queensland13.1%One Nation
79 Moncrieff Queensland13.0%Coalition
80 Gilmore New South Wales13.0%One Nation
81 Page New South Wales13.0%Coalition
82 Dunkley Victoria12.8%One Nation
83 Fadden Queensland12.8%One Nation
84 Aston Victoria12.8%Coalition
85 Solomon Northern Territory12.7%One Nation
86 Lyne New South Wales12.7%One Nation
87 Ballarat Victoria12.6%One Nation
88 Bullwinkel Western Australia12.6%One Nation
89 Hindmarsh South Australia12.6%Labor
90 Adelaide South Australia12.6%Labor
91 Barton New South Wales12.5%Labor
92 Fremantle Western Australia12.5%Labor
93 Fairfax Queensland12.5%One Nation
94 Braddon Tasmania12.4%One Nation
95 Parramatta New South Wales12.3%Labor
96 Bendigo Victoria12.3%One Nation
97 Hotham Victoria12.2%Labor
98 Fisher Queensland12.1%Coalition
99 Bass Tasmania12.1%Labor
100 Cunningham New South Wales11.9%Labor
101 Clark Tasmania11.9%Independent
102 Whitlam New South Wales11.8%One Nation
103 Moreton Queensland11.8%Labor
104 La Trobe Victoria11.8%One Nation
105 Cowper New South Wales11.7%One Nation
106 Fraser Victoria11.7%Labor
107 Newcastle New South Wales11.5%Labor
108 Leichhardt Queensland11.5%One Nation
109 Corio Victoria11.4%One Nation
110 Forrest Western Australia11.3%One Nation
111 Dobell New South Wales11.3%One Nation
112 Groom Queensland11.3%One Nation
113 Lindsay New South Wales11.3%One Nation
114 Petrie Queensland11.2%One Nation
115 Swan Western Australia11.1%Labor
116 Dawson Queensland11.0%One Nation
117 Bruce Victoria10.9%One Nation
118 Shortland New South Wales10.8%One Nation
119 Werriwa New South Wales10.8%Labor
120 Oxley Queensland10.7%Labor
121 Pearce Western Australia10.6%One Nation
122 Forde Queensland10.6%One Nation
123 Gorton Victoria10.4%Labor
124 Hasluck Western Australia10.4%Labor
125 Macarthur New South Wales10.3%Labor
126 Hawke Victoria10.3%One Nation
127 Makin South Australia10.3%Labor
128 Capricornia Queensland10.3%One Nation
129 Kingston South Australia10.2%Labor
130 Paterson New South Wales10.2%One Nation
131 Canning Western Australia10.2%One Nation
132 McMahon New South Wales10.2%One Nation
133 Blair Queensland10.2%One Nation
134 Hunter New South Wales10.2%One Nation
135 Hinkler Queensland10.2%One Nation
136 Longman Queensland10.0%One Nation
137 Cowan Western Australia9.9%Labor
138 Watson New South Wales9.8%Labor
139 Herbert Queensland9.8%Coalition
140 Scullin Victoria9.4%Labor
141 Calwell Victoria9.3%Labor
142 Holt Victoria9.2%One Nation
143 Lalor Victoria9.2%Labor
144 Rankin Queensland9.0%Labor
145 Spence South Australia9.0%One Nation
146 Brand Western Australia8.9%One Nation
147 Blaxland New South Wales8.8%Labor
148 Fowler New South Wales8.7%Independent
149 Chifley New South Wales8.7%Labor
150 Burt Western Australia8.2%One Nation