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United Kingdom · Welsh council elections 2027 · Isle of Anglesey

Isle of Anglesey: Plaid Cymru would keep control

Isle of Anglesey (Ynys Môn) elects all 35 councillors in 14 wards on 6 May 2027; 18 make a majority. In 2022: Plaid Cymru 21, Independent 10, Labour 3, Lib Dem 1.

The council after 6 May, our projection

Plaid Cymru +1
22 seats · 9–24 in 80% of runs · 2022: 21 Control 57%
Independent −1
9 seats · 0–23 in 80% of runs · 2022: 10 Control 36%
+2
2 seats · 0–12 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
±0
1 seats · 0–1 in 80% of runs · 2022: 1 Control 0%
+1
1 seats · 0–4 in 80% of runs · 2022: 0 Control 0%
−3
0 seats · 0–0 in 80% of runs · 2022: 3 Control 0%

The line marks a majority (18 of 35). No overall control in 7% of 400 simulated elections. Independents count as one only where they hold a majority between them.

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What if the national vote changes? Ward by ward

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns every ward with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    About Isle of Anglesey

    Isle of Anglesey (Ynys Môn) is one of Wales's 22 councils, with 35 councillors in 14 wards. It had 68,878 residents at the 2021 census. 26.4% of its people are 65 or over, more than the 18.6% across England and Wales; 96.3% of residents are white British, more than the 74.4% across England and Wales.

    At the last election, in May 2022, Plaid Cymru won 21 seats, independents 10 and Labour 3. Every seat is up again on 6 May 2027.

    On today's Senedd polls our model gives Plaid Cymru a majority, with 22 of 35 seats.

    Ward by ward

    1. Aethwy3 seats 3 Plaid Cymru 90% chance Plaid Cymru 41 · Green 32 · Reform UK 17 2022: Plaid Cymru 51 · Labour 24 · Conservative 13; won by 3 Plaid Cymru
    2. Bodowyr2 seats Plaid Cymru Independent 27% chance Plaid Cymru 29 · Independent 23 · Green 20 2022: Plaid Cymru 32 · Independent 30 · Labour 23; won by Plaid Cymru, Independent
    3. Bro Aberffraw2 seats 2 Plaid Cymru 57% chance Plaid Cymru 42 · Independent 33 · Reform UK 20 2022: Plaid Cymru 47 · Independent 43 · Conservative 11; won by 2 Plaid Cymru
    4. Bro'r Llynnoedd2 seats Independent Plaid Cymru 47% chance Independent 35 · Plaid Cymru 34 · Reform UK 21 2022: Independent 43 · Plaid Cymru 35 · Conservative 22; won by Independent, Plaid Cymru
    5. Canolbarth Môn3 seats 3 Plaid Cymru 64% chance Plaid Cymru 45 · Independent 33 · Reform UK 19 2022: Plaid Cymru 52 · Independent 43 · Conservative 6; won by 2 Plaid Cymru, Independent
    6. Cefni2 seats 2 Plaid Cymru 70% chance Plaid Cymru 50 · Independent 23 · Reform UK 20 2022: Plaid Cymru 57 · Independent 31 · Conservative 10; won by 2 Plaid Cymru
    7. Crigyll2 seats Independent Plaid Cymru 48% chance Independent 39 · Plaid Cymru 38 · Reform UK 20 2022: Independent 51 · Plaid Cymru 42 · Conservative 7; won by Independent, Plaid Cymru
    8. Lligwy3 seats Independent 2 Plaid Cymru 19% chance Independent 34 · Plaid Cymru 34 · Reform UK 20 2022: Independent 41 · Plaid Cymru 33 · Conservative 22; won by Independent, 2 Plaid Cymru
    9. Parc a'r Mynydd2 seats Independent Reform UK 52% chance Independent 39 · Reform UK 23 · Plaid Cymru 17 2022: Independent 43 · Labour 42 · Conservative 15; won by Independent, Labour
    10. Seiriol3 seats 2 Plaid Cymru Green 79% chance Plaid Cymru 40 · Green 39 · Reform UK 14 2022: Plaid Cymru 63 · Green 19 · Conservative 18; won by 3 Plaid Cymru
    11. Talybolion3 seats 3 Plaid Cymru 62% chance Plaid Cymru 38 · Independent 19 · Green 18 2022: Plaid Cymru 47 · Independent 27 · Conservative 17; won by 3 Plaid Cymru
    12. Tref Cybi2 seats Independent Plaid Cymru 26% chance Independent 33 · Plaid Cymru 28 · Reform UK 24 2022: Independent 35 · Labour 31 · Plaid Cymru 24; won by Independent, Labour
    13. Twrcelyn3 seats 2 Independent Lib Dem 37% chance Independent 35 · Lib Dem 24 · Reform UK 20 2022: Independent 44 · Lib Dem 42 · Conservative 14; won by 2 Independent, Lib Dem
    14. Ynys Gybi3 seats Plaid Cymru Independent Reform UK 30% chance Plaid Cymru 33 · Independent 25 · Reform UK 24 2022: Plaid Cymru 29 · Independent 26 · Labour 24; won by Plaid Cymru, Independent, Labour

    Shares: each party's best candidate. Ward results from Democracy Club (CC BY-SA 4.0). How it works.

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