Polls · 2028 presidential election, national
AtlasIntel , 7 May 2026
AtlasIntel has Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ahead of Pete Buttigieg by 3.6 points in 2028 presidential election, national, 26% to 22.4%. Since its previous poll (19 December 2025): Gavin Newsom −14.2 (35.4 → 21.2), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +10 (16 → 26), Pete Buttigieg +7.9 (14.5 → 22.4).
| Race | 2028 presidential election, national |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 4 May 2026 – 7 May 2026 |
| Stage | primary D |
| Sample | 2,069 (adults) |
| Method | – |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a primary, another matchup, an older poll of the same pollster, or older than the window |
Main
 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez D |
26 | |
 Pete Buttigieg D |
22.4 | |
 Gavin Newsom D |
21.2 | |
 Kamala Harris D |
12.9 | |
| Other | 6.2 | |
 Andy Beshear D |
4.1 | |
 Cory Booker D |
3.9 | |
 Josh Shapiro D |
2.4 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 2 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Kamala Harris 12.9% against 32%; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 26% against 9.5%.
Photo credits
2 official portraits from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Cory Booker.
- Andy Beshear: Photo: Dale Greer, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Kentucky_Air_Guard_supports_governor's_inauguration_(1)_(cropped).jpg)
- Gavin Newsom: Photo: Charles Ommanney – Office of the Governor of California, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Governor_of_California_Gavin_Newsom_(cropped_3x4).jpg)
- Josh Shapiro: Photo: Governor Tom Wolf, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Josh_Shapiro_2022_(cropped).jpg)
- Kamala Harris: Photo: The White House, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Kamala_Harris_Vice_Presidential_Portrait.jpg)
- Pete Buttigieg: Photo: United States Department of Transportation, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Pete_Buttigieg,_Secretary_of_Transportation.jpg)