Polls · 2028 presidential election, national
AtlasIntel , 18 July 2025
AtlasIntel has Pete Buttigieg ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by 8.2 points in 2028 presidential election, national, 26.7% to 18.5%. Since its previous poll (27 May 2025): Gavin Newsom +8.7 (7.1 → 15.8), Pete Buttigieg −4.8 (31.5 → 26.7), Kamala Harris −2.1 (16.6 → 14.5).
| Race | 2028 presidential election, national |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 13 July 2025 – 18 July 2025 |
| Stage | primary D |
| Sample | 1,435 (adults) |
| Method | – |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a primary, another matchup, an older poll of the same pollster, or older than the window |
Main
 Pete Buttigieg D |
26.7 | |
 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez D |
18.5 | |
 Gavin Newsom D |
15.8 | |
 Kamala Harris D |
14.5 | |
 Tim Walz D |
8.7 | |
| Other | 8.5 | |
 Cory Booker D |
4.1 | |
 Josh Shapiro D |
3.2 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 2 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Pete Buttigieg 26.7% against 9.5%; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18.5% against 7.5%.
Photo credits
2 official portraits from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Cory Booker.
- Gavin Newsom: Photo: Charles Ommanney – Office of the Governor of California, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Governor_of_California_Gavin_Newsom_(cropped_3x4).jpg)
- Josh Shapiro: Photo: Governor Tom Wolf, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Josh_Shapiro_2022_(cropped).jpg)
- Kamala Harris: Photo: The White House, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Kamala_Harris_Vice_Presidential_Portrait.jpg)
- Pete Buttigieg: Photo: United States Department of Transportation, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Pete_Buttigieg,_Secretary_of_Transportation.jpg)
- Tim Walz: Photo: Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Tim_Walz_by_Gage_Skidmore.jpg)