United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 17 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Generic ballot, 2026

Pew Research Center , 4 October 2026

Pew Research Center has the Democrats ahead of the Republicans by 8 points in Generic ballot, 2026, 44% to 36%. Since its previous poll (12 July 2026): the Democrats +1 (43 → 44), the Republicans −1 (37 → 36).

RaceGeneric ballot, 2026
Fieldwork30 September 2026 – 4 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample3,917 (registered voters)
Pollster's leanMostly works for Republicans
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Generic ballot

Democratic D 44
Republican R 36
Undecided 20

Margin on the decided vote: D+10.0; after our adjustments D+10.0.

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 6 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: the Republicans 36% against 44%; the Democrats 44% against 51%.

Pew Research Center's previous poll of this race, 12 July 2026 →

You may also like