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Spain · Municipal elections · 23 May 2027 · in 202 days

PP would win the most councillors in Spain's towns and cities: 23,327 of 67,039

Every Spanish municipality elects its council on 23 May 2027. We take each list's 2023 result and move it by its party's change in our national poll average since the general election of July 2023: Vox is up from 12.4% to 19.0%, the PP down from 33.1% to 31.0%, the PSOE down from 31.7% to 27.1%. Local lists keep their 2023 vote.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

    What changes hands

    1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

    Councillors, against 2023

    PP−99
    23,327 councillors, 2023: 23,426 Majorities: 1,477 (2023: 1,469)
    PSOE−1,619
    19,173 councillors, 2023: 20,792 Majorities: 1,113 (2023: 1,282)
    Local lists+251
    8,706 councillors, 2023: 8,455 Majorities: 468 (2023: 427)
    ERC+475
    3,381 councillors, 2023: 2,906 Majorities: 266 (2023: 198)
    Vox+1,644
    3,315 councillors, 2023: 1,671 Majorities: 11 (2023: 2)
    Junts−273
    2,414 councillors, 2023: 2,687 Majorities: 158 (2023: 200)
    Sumar, Podemos and allies−676
    2,128 councillors, 2023: 2,804 Majorities: 77 (2023: 94)
    EH Bildu+156
    1,553 councillors, 2023: 1,397 Majorities: 143 (2023: 112)

    Councils with under 250 inhabitants (2,815) elect candidates on open lists: their 2023 councillors are counted as they are. "Sumar, Podemos and allies" gathers the lists of Sumar, Podemos, IU, Más Madrid, Compromís, En Comú and their local partners; they move together with Sumar and Podemos in the polls.

    The largest cities

    1. MadridMadrid · 3,280,782 people · 57 councillorsPPNo majorityPP 53% · no majority 47%PP 28 of 57
    2. BarcelonaBarcelona · 1,636,193 people · 41 councillorsNo majorityNo majorityTRIASXBCN-CM 0% · no majority over 99%TRIASXBCN-CM 10 of 41
    3. ValènciaValencia/València · 792,492 people · 33 councillorsNo majorityNo majorityPP 3% · no majority 97%PP 13 of 33
    4. SevillaSevilla · 681,998 people · 31 councillorsNo majorityNo majorityPP 29% · no majority 70%PP 15 of 31
    5. ZaragozaZaragoza · 673,010 people · 31 councillorsNo majorityNo majorityPP 22% · no majority 78%PP 15 of 31
    6. MálagaMálaga · 579,076 people · 31 councillorsPPPP majorityPP 74% · no majority 26%PP 17 of 31
    7. MurciaMurcia · 462,979 people · 29 councillorsPPNo majorityPP 31% · no majority 69%PP 14 of 29
    8. PalmaIlles Balears · 415,940 people · 29 councillorsNo majorityNo majorityPP 1% · no majority 99%PP 10 of 29
    9. Las Palmas de Gran CanariaLas Palmas · 378,797 people · 29 councillorsNo majorityNo majorityPSOE 2% · no majority 98%PSOE 11 of 29
    10. BilbaoBizkaia · 344,127 people · 29 councillorsNo majorityNo majorityEAJ-PNV 0% · no majority over 99%EAJ-PNV 10 of 29
    11. Alicante/AlacantAlicante/Alacant · 338,577 people · 29 councillorsNo majorityNo majorityPP 26% · no majority 74%PP 14 of 29
    12. CórdobaCórdoba · 319,515 people · 29 councillorsPPNo majorityPP 53% · no majority 47%PP 14 of 29
    13. ValladolidValladolid · 295,639 people · 27 councillorsNo majorityNo majorityPP 2% · no majority 97%PP 10 of 27
    14. VigoPontevedra · 292,374 people · 27 councillorsPSDEG-PSOEPSDEG-PSOE majorityPSDEG-PSOE 96% · no majority 4%PSDEG-PSOE 16 of 27
    15. GijónAsturias · 267,706 people · 27 councillorsNo majorityNo majorityPSOE 0% · no majority over 99%FORO ASTURIAS 9 of 27
    16. L'Hospitalet de LlobregatBarcelona · 265,444 people · 27 councillorsNo majorityNo majorityPSC-CP 9% · no majority 91%PSC-CP 12 of 27
    17. Vitoria-GasteizAraba/Álava · 253,672 people · 27 councillorsNo majorityNo majorityEH BILDU 0% · no majority over 99%EH BILDU 8 of 27
    18. A CoruñaA Coruña · 244,700 people · 27 councillorsNo majorityNo majorityPP 4% · no majority 96%PP 11 of 27
    19. Elche/ElxAlicante/Alacant · 235,580 people · 27 councillorsNo majorityNo majorityPP 7% · no majority 91%PP 11 of 27
    20. GranadaGranada · 228,682 people · 27 councillorsPPPP majorityPP 50% · no majority 49%PP 14 of 27
    21. TerrassaBarcelona · 224,114 people · 27 councillorsNo majorityNo majorityTXT 4% · no majority 96%TXT 11 of 27
    22. BadalonaBarcelona · 223,506 people · 27 councillorsPPPP majorityPP 99% · no majority 1%PP 19 of 27
    23. CartagenaMurcia · 216,961 people · 27 councillorsNo majorityNo majorityPP 1% · no majority 99%PP 10 of 27
    24. SabadellBarcelona · 215,760 people · 27 councillorsPSC-CPPSC-CP majorityPSC-CP 41% · no majority 59%PSC-CP 14 of 27

    Close calls in the bigger towns

    Towns of 20,000 people or more where no list is above 75% to win a majority, or below 25% when it leads.

    Madrid Madrid · 57 councillors, 29 for a majority PP majority 53% · no majority 47% Sevilla Sevilla · 31 councillors, 16 for a majority PP majority 29% · no majority 70% Málaga Málaga · 31 councillors, 16 for a majority PP majority 74% · no majority 26% Murcia Murcia · 29 councillors, 15 for a majority PP majority 31% · no majority 69% Alicante/Alacant Alicante/Alacant · 29 councillors, 15 for a majority PP majority 26% · no majority 74% Córdoba Córdoba · 29 councillors, 15 for a majority PP majority 53% · no majority 47% Granada Granada · 27 councillors, 14 for a majority PP majority 50% · no majority 49% Sabadell Barcelona · 27 councillors, 14 for a majority PSC-CP majority 41% · no majority 59% Oviedo Asturias · 27 councillors, 14 for a majority PP majority 40% · no majority 60%

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