Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research
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Spain · Battleground

Spain's battleground: Girona is the closest

Each province shares its seats by D'Hondt among lists with 3% of its vote, so the race is for the last seat in each province. Below, the closest on today's polls, from our projection; it moves with every poll.

The closest provinces

  1. GironaCatalunya · 6 seats ERC 0.01 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  2. Illes BalearsIlles Balears · 8 seats Sumar 0.01 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  3. MadridMadrid · 37 seats PSOE 0.05 pts short of the last seat, held by Vox Vox
  4. PalenciaCastilla y León · 3 seats PP 0.06 pts short of the last seat, held by Vox Vox
  5. Alicante/AlacantComunitat Valenciana · 12 seats Sumar 0.17 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  6. A CoruñaGalicia · 8 seats PSOE 0.21 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  7. La RiojaLa Rioja · 4 seats Vox 0.32 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  8. AsturiasAsturias · 7 seats Vox 0.47 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  9. BarcelonaCatalunya · 32 seats PSOE 0.52 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  10. LleidaCatalunya · 4 seats PP 0.53 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  11. CeutaCeuta · 1 seats Vox 0.74 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  12. ZamoraCastilla y León · 3 seats Vox 0.75 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  13. AlmeríaAndalucía · 6 seats PSOE 0.76 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  14. BizkaiaPaís Vasco · 8 seats EH Bildu 0.86 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  15. TarragonaCatalunya · 6 seats PSOE 0.89 pts short of the last seat, held by Junts Junts
  16. SegoviaCastilla y León · 3 seats PP 0.94 pts short of the last seat, held by Vox Vox
  17. PontevedraGalicia · 7 seats PSOE 1.2 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  18. CádizAndalucía · 9 seats Vox 1.3 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  19. Las PalmasCanarias · 8 seats Vox 1.8 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  20. GipuzkoaPaís Vasco · 6 seats PNV 2.4 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  21. CórdobaAndalucía · 6 seats Vox 2.4 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  22. CáceresExtremadura · 4 seats PSOE 2.4 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  23. Araba/ÁlavaPaís Vasco · 4 seats PSOE 2.5 pts short of the last seat, held by PNV PNV
  24. SevillaAndalucía · 12 seats PP 2.7 pts short of the last seat, held by Vox Vox
  25. LugoGalicia · 4 seats BNG 2.8 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  26. MálagaAndalucía · 11 seats PSOE 2.8 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  27. HuescaAragón · 3 seats PP 2.8 pts short of the last seat, held by Vox Vox
  28. MurciaMurcia · 10 seats PP 2.9 pts short of the last seat, held by Vox Vox
  29. Valencia/ValènciaComunitat Valenciana · 16 seats Vox 3.1 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  30. CantabriaCantabria · 5 seats PP 3.2 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  31. Castellón/CastellóComunitat Valenciana · 5 seats Vox 3.6 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  32. ValladolidCastilla y León · 5 seats PP 3.6 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  33. NavarraNavarra · 5 seats EH Bildu 4.1 pts short of the last seat, held by UPN UPN
  34. Santa Cruz de TenerifeCanarias · 7 seats PP 5.6 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  35. OurenseGalicia · 4 seats PSOE 5.6 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  36. LeónCastilla y León · 4 seats PSOE 5.7 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  37. ÁvilaCastilla y León · 3 seats PP 5.9 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  38. ToledoCastilla-La Mancha · 6 seats PP 6.0 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  39. GranadaAndalucía · 7 seats PSOE 6.5 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  40. TeruelAragón · 3 seats PP 6.6 pts short of the last seat, held by Vox Vox
  41. Ciudad RealCastilla-La Mancha · 5 seats PP 7.2 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  42. ZaragozaAragón · 7 seats PSOE 7.3 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  43. AlbaceteCastilla-La Mancha · 4 seats PSOE 7.8 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  44. BurgosCastilla y León · 4 seats PSOE 8.7 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  45. CuencaCastilla-La Mancha · 3 seats PP 10.1 pts short of the last seat, held by Vox Vox
  46. JaénAndalucía · 5 seats PP 11.3 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  47. HuelvaAndalucía · 5 seats PP 11.9 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  48. SoriaCastilla y León · 2 seats PP 14.2 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  49. BadajozExtremadura · 5 seats PP 14.7 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  50. MelillaMelilla · 1 seats Vox 20.6 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP
  51. GuadalajaraCastilla-La Mancha · 3 seats PP 21.6 pts short of the last seat, held by PSOE PSOE
  52. SalamancaCastilla y León · 4 seats PP 21.6 pts short of the last seat, held by PP PP

Where the close ones are

Every seat → · The map → · What if the polls are wrong? →