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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Málaga

Málaga: PP would keep its majority

Málaga (Málaga, 579,076 inhabitants) elects 31 councillors on 23 May 2027; 16 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
17 councillors (2023: 17) · 48.8% of the vote (2023: 49.2%) Majority 74%
PSOE-A−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 25.9% of the vote (2023: 29.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+3
5 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.7% of the vote (2023: 7.7%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−2
0 councillors (2023: 2) · 4.9% of the vote (2023: 7.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (16 of 31). No list with a majority in 26% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 49.2% → 48.8% 17 → 17 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 29.2% → 25.9% 10 → 9 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.7% → 13.7% 2 → 5 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 7.4% → 4.9% 2 → 0 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 2.0% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PACMALocal lists 1.5% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 1.1% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. ESCAÑOS EN BLANCOLocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. PCPALocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. PUM+JLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  11. ALTERLocal lists 0.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  12. FE DE LAS JONSLocal lists 0.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 239,079 valid votes including 2,634 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Málaga in size, in Málaga

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