Vélez-Málaga: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Vélez-Málaga (Málaga, 83,899 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 37,676valid votes in 2023 (59% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
8
councillors (2023: 9) · 31.0% of the vote (2023: 32.1%)
Majority 0%
GIPMTM±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 21.8% of the vote (2023: 21.2%)
Majority 0%
UA±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 21.0% of the vote (2023: 20.4%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
3
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.4% of the vote (2023: 5.4%)
Majority 0%
PSOE-A−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 9.7% of the vote (2023: 12.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 32.1% → 31.0% 9 → 8 councillors
- GIPMTMLocal lists 21.2% → 21.8% 6 → 6 councillors
- UALocal lists 20.4% → 21.0% 6 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 5.4% → 10.4% 1 → 3 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 12.6% → 9.7% 3 → 2 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 4.7% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- POR MI PUEBLOLocal lists 1.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- PLTLocal lists 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 37,676 valid votes including 336 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.