Rincón de la Victoria: PP would keep its majority
Rincón de la Victoria (Málaga, 50,569 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- 51%no list with a majority
- 22,121valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
13
councillors (2023: 13) · 44.9% of the vote (2023: 45.7%)
Majority 49%
PSOE-A−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 17.1% of the vote (2023: 20.2%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
4
councillors (2023: 2) · 15.7% of the vote (2023: 9.4%)
Majority 0%
POR MI PUEBLO±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 8.1% of the vote (2023: 7.8%)
Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 7.8% of the vote (2023: 10.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 51% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 45.7% → 44.9% 13 → 13 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 20.2% → 17.1% 5 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 9.4% → 15.7% 2 → 4 councillors
- POR MI PUEBLOLocal lists 7.8% → 8.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 10.6% → 7.8% 3 → 2 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.6% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- PACMALocal lists 2.2% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 22,121 valid votes including 313 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.