Rincón de la Victoria: PP would keep its majority
Rincón de la Victoria (Málaga, 50,569 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- 51%no list with a majority
- 22,121valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 51% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Rincón de la Victoria
Rincón de la Victoria is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 50,569 inhabitants, the 9th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 45.7% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 5. 57.9% of the 38,198 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 13 seats, a majority, which it holds in 49% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 45.7% → 44.9% 13 → 13 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 20.2% → 17.1% 5 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 9.4% → 15.7% 2 → 4 councillors
- POR MI PUEBLOLocal lists 7.8% → 8.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 10.6% → 7.8% 3 → 2 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.6% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- PACMALocal lists 2.2% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 22,121 valid votes including 313 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.