Estepona: PP would keep its majority
Estepona (Málaga, 74,493 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- 97%PP majority
- 24,199valid votes in 2023 (51% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
16
councillors (2023: 17) · 59.1% of the vote (2023: 60.8%)
Majority 97%
VOX+2
5
councillors (2023: 3) · 20.7% of the vote (2023: 13.4%)
Majority 0%
PSOE-A−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 16.3% of the vote (2023: 19.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 60.8% → 59.1% 17 → 16 councillors
- VOXVox 13.4% → 20.7% 3 → 5 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 19.6% → 16.3% 5 → 4 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 4.7% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 24,199 valid votes including 353 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.