Estepona: PP would keep its majority
Estepona (Málaga, 74,493 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- 97%PP majority
- 24,199valid votes in 2023 (51% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Estepona
Estepona is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 74,493 inhabitants, the 6th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 60.8% of the vote and 17 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 5. 51.1% of the 47,355 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 16 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 60.8% → 59.1% 17 → 16 councillors
- VOXVox 13.4% → 20.7% 3 → 5 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 19.6% → 16.3% 5 → 4 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 4.7% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 24,199 valid votes including 353 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.