Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Mijas: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Mijas (Málaga, 89,502 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 30.4% of the vote (2023: 31.6%) Majority under 1%
PSOE-A−2
8 councillors (2023: 10) · 29.6% of the vote (2023: 33.6%) Majority under 1%
VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.3% of the vote (2023: 11.5%) Majority 0%
CS±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%
POR MI PUEBLO±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.7% of the vote (2023: 5.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 31.6% → 30.4% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 33.6% → 29.6% 10 → 8 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.5% → 18.3% 3 → 5 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 6.6% → 6.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. POR MI PUEBLOLocal lists 5.5% → 5.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. PACMALocal lists 2.0% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. A.MIJAS-A.MIHALocal lists 1.9% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. SOYDEMIJASLocal lists 1.7% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 3.4% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 1.2% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 25,548 valid votes including 272 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Mijas in size, in Málaga

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