Marbella: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Marbella (Málaga, 150,725 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 27councillors, 14 for a majority
- 67%no list with a majority
- 48,077valid votes in 2023 (51% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
13
councillors (2023: 14) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 40.9%)
Majority 33%
PSOE-A−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 22.5% of the vote (2023: 25.9%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
4
councillors (2023: 2) · 14.4% of the vote (2023: 8.4%)
Majority 0%
OSP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 9.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 67% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 40.9% → 39.8% 14 → 13 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 25.9% → 22.5% 8 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 8.4% → 14.4% 2 → 4 councillors
- OSPLocal lists 9.6% → 9.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 3.5% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- IMPULSA CIUDADLocal lists 3.4% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- POR MI PUEBLOLocal lists 2.8% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 3.3% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- POR MARBELLA Y SAN PEDROLocal lists 1.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 48,077 valid votes including 547 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.