Marbella: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Marbella (Málaga, 150,725 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 27councillors, 14 for a majority
- 67%no list with a majority
- 48,077valid votes in 2023 (51% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 67% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Marbella
Marbella is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 150,725 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 40.9% of the vote and 14 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 8. 51.4% of the 93,591 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 13 of 27.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 40.9% → 39.8% 14 → 13 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 25.9% → 22.5% 8 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 8.4% → 14.4% 2 → 4 councillors
- OSPLocal lists 9.6% → 9.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 3.5% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- IMPULSA CIUDADLocal lists 3.4% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- POR MI PUEBLOLocal lists 2.8% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 3.3% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- POR MARBELLA Y SAN PEDROLocal lists 1.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 48,077 valid votes including 547 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.