Málaga: PP would keep its majority
Málaga (Málaga, 579,076 inhabitants) elects 31 councillors on 23 May 2027; 16 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 31councillors, 16 for a majority
- 74%PP majority
- 239,079valid votes in 2023 (55% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (16 of 31). No list with a majority in 26% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Málaga
Málaga is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 579,076 inhabitants, the largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 31 seats, and 16 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 49.2% of the vote and 17 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 10. 54.7% of the 437,198 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 17 seats, a majority, which it holds in 74% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 49.2% → 48.8% 17 → 17 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 29.2% → 25.9% 10 → 9 councillors
- VOXVox 7.7% → 13.7% 2 → 5 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 7.4% → 4.9% 2 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.0% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- PACMALocal lists 1.5% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 1.1% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- ESCAÑOS EN BLANCOLocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- PCPALocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- PUM+JLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- ALTERLocal lists 0.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- FE DE LAS JONSLocal lists 0.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 239,079 valid votes including 2,634 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.