Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Gijón: no list would have a majority, FORO ASTURIAS largest

Gijón (Asturias, 267,706 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

FORO ASTURIAS+1
9 councillors (2023: 8) · 30.7% of the vote (2023: 28.7%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 26.3% of the vote (2023: 29.0%) Majority 0%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 16.2% of the vote (2023: 16.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.3% of the vote (2023: 8.0%) Majority 0%
IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 5.6% of the vote (2023: 8.0%) Majority 0%
PODEMOS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.0% of the vote (2023: 5.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 28.7% → 30.7% 8 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 29.0% → 26.3% 9 → 8 councillors
  3. PPPP 16.7% → 16.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  4. VOXVox 8.0% → 14.3% 2 → 4 councillors
  5. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 8.0% → 5.6% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.1% → 3.0% 1 → 0 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 1.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. QHGLocal lists 0.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. PCTELocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. ANDECHA ASTURLocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  11. SMPLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  12. VERDES-EQUOSumar, Podemos and allies 0.7% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 140,208 valid votes including 2,050 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Gijón in size, in Asturias

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